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Over the Horizon Proliferation Threats

Over the Horizon Proliferation Threats PDF Author: James J. Wirtz
Publisher: Stanford University Press
ISBN: 0804783721
Category : Political Science
Languages : en
Pages : 329

Book Description
In every decade of the nuclear era, one or two states have developed nuclear weapons despite the international community's opposition to proliferation. In the coming years, the breakdown of security arrangements, especially in the Middle East and Northeast Asia, could drive additional countries to seek their own nuclear, biological, or chemical (NBC) weapons and missiles. This likely would produce greater instability, more insecure states, and further proliferation. Are there steps concerned countries can take to anticipate, prevent, or dissuade the next generation of proliferators? Are there countries that might reassess their decision to forgo a nuclear arsenal? This volume brings together top international security experts to examine the issues affecting a dozen or so countries' nuclear weapons policies over the next decade. In Part I, National Decisions in Perspective, the work describes the domestic political consideration and international pressures that shape national nuclear policies of several key states. In Part II, Fostering Nonproliferation, the contributors discuss the factors that shape the future motivations and capabilities of various states to acquire nuclear weapons, and assess what the world community can do to counter this process. The future utility of bilateral and multilateral security assurances, treaty-based nonproliferation regimes, and other policy instruments are covered thoroughly.

Over the Horizon Proliferation Threats

Over the Horizon Proliferation Threats PDF Author: James J. Wirtz
Publisher: Stanford University Press
ISBN: 0804783721
Category : Political Science
Languages : en
Pages : 329

Book Description
In every decade of the nuclear era, one or two states have developed nuclear weapons despite the international community's opposition to proliferation. In the coming years, the breakdown of security arrangements, especially in the Middle East and Northeast Asia, could drive additional countries to seek their own nuclear, biological, or chemical (NBC) weapons and missiles. This likely would produce greater instability, more insecure states, and further proliferation. Are there steps concerned countries can take to anticipate, prevent, or dissuade the next generation of proliferators? Are there countries that might reassess their decision to forgo a nuclear arsenal? This volume brings together top international security experts to examine the issues affecting a dozen or so countries' nuclear weapons policies over the next decade. In Part I, National Decisions in Perspective, the work describes the domestic political consideration and international pressures that shape national nuclear policies of several key states. In Part II, Fostering Nonproliferation, the contributors discuss the factors that shape the future motivations and capabilities of various states to acquire nuclear weapons, and assess what the world community can do to counter this process. The future utility of bilateral and multilateral security assurances, treaty-based nonproliferation regimes, and other policy instruments are covered thoroughly.

Over the Horizon Proliferation Threats

Over the Horizon Proliferation Threats PDF Author: James Wirtz
Publisher: Stanford University Press
ISBN: 0804774013
Category : Political Science
Languages : en
Pages : 329

Book Description
In every decade of the nuclear era, one or two states have developed nuclear weapons despite the international community's opposition to proliferation. In the coming years, the breakdown of security arrangements, especially in the Middle East and Northeast Asia, could drive additional countries to seek their own nuclear, biological, or chemical (NBC) weapons and missiles. This likely would produce greater instability, more insecure states, and further proliferation. Are there steps concerned countries can take to anticipate, prevent, or dissuade the next generation of proliferators? Are there countries that might reassess their decision to forgo a nuclear arsenal? This volume brings together top international security experts to examine the issues affecting a dozen or so countries' nuclear weapons policies over the next decade. In Part I, National Decisions in Perspective, the work describes the domestic political consideration and international pressures that shape national nuclear policies of several key states. In Part II, Fostering Nonproliferation, the contributors discuss the factors that shape the future motivations and capabilities of various states to acquire nuclear weapons, and assess what the world community can do to counter this process. The future utility of bilateral and multilateral security assurances, treaty-based nonproliferation regimes, and other policy instruments are covered thoroughly.

Proliferation

Proliferation PDF Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Arms race
Languages : en
Pages : 120

Book Description


The Politics of Weapons Inspections

The Politics of Weapons Inspections PDF Author: Nathan E. Busch
Publisher: Stanford University Press
ISBN: 1503601625
Category : Political Science
Languages : en
Pages : 401

Book Description
Given recent controversies over suspected WMD programs in proliferating countries, there is an increasingly urgent need for effective monitoring and verification regimes—the international mechanisms, including on-site inspections, intended in part to clarify the status of WMD programs in suspected proliferators. Yet the strengths and limitations of these nonproliferation and arms control mechanisms remain unclear. How should these regimes best be implemented? What are the technological, political, and other limitations to these tools? What technologies and other innovations should be utilized to make these regimes most effective? How should recent developments, such as the 2015 Iran nuclear deal or Syria's declared renunciation and actual use of its chemical weapons, influence their architecture? The Politics of Weapons Inspections examines the successes, failures, and lessons that can be learned from WMD monitoring and verification regimes in order to help determine how best to maintain and strengthen these regimes in the future. In addition to examining these regimes' technological, political, and legal contexts, Nathan E. Busch and Joseph F. Pilat reevaluate the track record of monitoring and verification in the historical cases of South Africa, Libya, and Iraq; assess the prospects of using these mechanisms in verifying arms control and disarmament; and apply the lessons learned from these cases to contemporary controversies over suspected or confirmed programs in North Korea, Iran, and Syria. Finally, they provide a forward-looking set of policy recommendations for the future.

Responding to Proliferation Threats

Responding to Proliferation Threats PDF Author: Mitchel B. Wallerstein
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Nuclear nonproliferation
Languages : en
Pages : 4

Book Description
Iraq's possession of biological and chemical weapons is indicative that proliferation presents not "theoretical" military problems but significant military threats today. Countries of moderate technical capability and economic means are readily able to develop biological weapons. The development of biological weapons can be masked by other weapons programs, as well as by dual-use technologies in legitimate biological/pesticide manufacturing and research facilities. Many states that possess biological or chemical weapons exist in unstable regions where the possibility of U.S. or coalition military involvement is greatest. Most proliferant states aspire to regional hegemony and perceive nuclear, biological, and chemical (NBC) weapons as asymmetrical counters to the superior conventional forces of opponents. A key to deterring the use of biological or chemical weapons lies in developing counterproliferation capabilities (e.g., protective suits, masks, detectors, etc.) that negate the value of using such weapons against U.S. or coalition forces.

Nuclear Proliferation and Arms Control Monitoring, Detection, and Verification

Nuclear Proliferation and Arms Control Monitoring, Detection, and Verification PDF Author: National Academies of Sciences Engineering and Medicine
Publisher:
ISBN: 9780309314343
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages :

Book Description
At the request of Congress, this report presents findings and recommendations related to governance of the U.S. government's monitoring, detection, and verification (MDV) enterprise and offers findings and recommendations related to technical MDV capabilities and research, development, test, and evaluation efforts, focused in particular on the nuclear fuel cycle, nuclear test explosions, and arms control.

On the Brink

On the Brink PDF Author: Van Jackson
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 1108473482
Category : History
Languages : en
Pages : 251

Book Description
Former Pentagon insider Van Jackson explores how Trump and Kim reached - and avoided - the precipice of nuclear war.

Asymmetric Warfare in South Asia

Asymmetric Warfare in South Asia PDF Author: Peter R. Lavoy
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 0521767210
Category : History
Languages : en
Pages : 427

Book Description
A unique account of military conflict under the shadow of nuclear escalation, with access to the soldiers and politicians involved.

Nuclear Nonproliferation

Nuclear Nonproliferation PDF Author: David C. Trimble
Publisher:
ISBN: 9781457871047
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 40

Book Description
The threat posed by the proliferation of nuclear and radiological weapons remains one of the most pressing U.S. national security challenges, and these threats are evolving. Information produced by the National Nuclear Security Administration's (NNSA) "Over the Horizon" (OTH) initiative about future proliferation threats is intended to support long-term Office of Defense Nuclear Nonproliferation (DNN) planning and other DNN management decisions. This report (1) describes how NNSA assessed potential proliferation threats through its OTH initiative and assesses the limitations, if any, in the process used by the initiative; and (2) examines the extent to which NNSA used information about the potential threats assessed through the OTH initiative in DNN organization and planning decisions. Table and figure. This is a print on demand report.

Defending Frenemies

Defending Frenemies PDF Author: Jeffrey W. Taliaferro
Publisher: Oxford University Press, USA
ISBN: 0190939303
Category : History
Languages : en
Pages : 313

Book Description
The United States maintains defense ties with as many as 60 countries, which not only enables its armed forces to maintain command globally and to project its force widely, but also enables its government to exert leverage over allies' foreign policies and military strategies. In Defending Frenemies, Jeffrey W. Taliaferro presents a historical and comparative analysis of how successive US presidential administrations have employed inducements and coercive diplomacy toward Israel, Pakistan, South Korea, and Taiwan over nuclear proliferation. Taliaferro shows that the ultimate goals in each administration, from John F. Kennedy to George H. W. Bush, have been to contain the Soviet Union's influence in the Middle East and South Asia and to enlist China as an ally of convenience against the Soviets in East Asia. Policymakers' inclinations to pursue either accommodative strategies or coercive nonproliferation strategies toward allies have therefore been directly linked to these primary objectives. Defending Frenemies is sharp examination of how regional power dynamics and US domestic politics have shaped the nonproliferation strategies the US has pursued toward vulnerable and often obstreperous allies.