Optimal Recursive Refinancing and the Valuation of Mortgage-backed Securities

Optimal Recursive Refinancing and the Valuation of Mortgage-backed Securities PDF Author: Francis A. Longstaff
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Mortgage loans
Languages : en
Pages : 28

Book Description
We study the optimal recursive refinancing problem where a borrower minimizes his lifetime mortgage costs by repeatedly refinancing when rates drop sufficiently. Key factors affecting the optimal decision are the cost of refinancing and the possibility that the mortgagor may have to refinance at a premium rate because of his credit. The optimal recursive strategy often results in prepayment being delayed significantly relative to traditional models. Furthermore, mortgage values can exceed par by much more than the cost of refinancing. Applying the recursive model to an extensive sample of mortgage-backed security prices, we find that the implied credit spreads that match these prices closely parallel borrowers' actual spreads at the origination of the mortgage. These results suggest that optimal recursive models may provide a promising alternative to the reduced-form prepayment models widely used in practice.

Optimal Recursive Refinancinf and the Valuation of Mortgage-backed Securities

Optimal Recursive Refinancinf and the Valuation of Mortgage-backed Securities PDF Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 28

Book Description


Rational Mortgage Valuation Using Optimal Refinancing Strategies and Heterogeneous Borrowers

Rational Mortgage Valuation Using Optimal Refinancing Strategies and Heterogeneous Borrowers PDF Author: John Patrick Harding
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 414

Book Description


Modelling of Mortgage Prepayment and the Valuation of Mortgage-backed Securities

Modelling of Mortgage Prepayment and the Valuation of Mortgage-backed Securities PDF Author: Yanli Cheng
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :

Book Description
While option-theoretic models are widely used in valuation of other fixed-income instruments, their applications for the valuation of mortgage-backed securities face challenges. Mortgages are explicitly written with a call option, which allows mortgagors to prepay their mortgages any time before the maturity. The magnitude and timing of exercising the prepayment options are not purely driven by economic factors, but also the mortgagor's individual preferences and personal behaviours. This brings difficulties to valuing mortgage-backed securities with conventional models. In this thesis we aim to explore the prepayment risk caused uncertainties in valuation of mortgage-backed securities. We start with empirically examining an option-theoretic model proposed by Kalotay, Yang and Fabozzi (2004). This model has special features to treat borrower heterogeneity and suboptimal exercises of the prepayment options. Based on the empirical results, we propose to employ linear prepayment functions to model borrower heterogeneity. The new MBS valuation model with the integration of linear prepayment functions is also tested with empirical data. Our results suggest that mortgages with different coupon rates have different refinancing tendencies even towards the same market rate change. Therefore, assuming the same refinancing pattern to all classes of mortgages may lead to errors in pricing mortgages and MBSs. For mortgages with coupon rate below the prevailing refinancing rate (as proxied by the 30 year libor rate) plus the refinancing cost, a prepayment function with a low initial prepayment rate and a high slope will model the prepayments best. On the other hand, for mortgages with coupon rate above the current refinancing rate plus the refinancing cost, a prepayment function with a high initial prepayment and a mild slope will perform best. Meanwhile, refinancing burnout is also an important factor in modelling mortgage prepayment. Our results suggest that when the underlying mortgages are seasoned mortgages, especially when the prepayment option has been deep-in-the-money for a long time, the low initial prepayment high slope function will model their prepayments the best. Once these different refinancing tendencies are factored in the modelling of mortgage prepayment, the accuracy of the MBS valuation model is greatly improved.

Investing in Mortgage-Backed and Asset-Backed Securities, + Website

Investing in Mortgage-Backed and Asset-Backed Securities, + Website PDF Author: Glenn M. Schultz
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 1118944003
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 421

Book Description
A complete guide to investing in and managing a portfolio of mortgage- and asset-backed securities Mortgage- and asset-backed securities are not as complex as they might seem. In fact, all of the information, financial models, and software needed to successfully invest in and manage a portfolio of these securities are available to the investment professional through open source software. Investing in Mortgage and Asset-Backed Securities + Website shows you how to achieve this goal. The book draws entirely on publicly available data and open source software to construct a complete analytic framework for investing in these securities. The analytic models used throughout the book either exist in the quantlib library, as an R package, or are programmed in R and incorporated into the analytic framework used. Examines the valuation of fixed-income securities—metrics, valuation framework, and return analysis Covers residential mortgage-backed securities—security cash flow, mortgage dollar roll, adjustable rate mortgages, and private label MBS Discusses prepayment modeling and the valuation of mortgage credit Presents mortgage-backed securities valuation techniques—pass-through valuation and interest rate models Engaging and informative, this book skillfully shows you how to build, rather than buy, models and proprietary analytical platforms that will allow you to invest in mortgage- and asset-backed securities.

Encyclopedia of Financial Models

Encyclopedia of Financial Models PDF Author: Frank J. Fabozzi
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 1118539958
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 3180

Book Description
An essential reference dedicated to a wide array of financial models, issues in financial modeling, and mathematical and statistical tools for financial modeling The need for serious coverage of financial modeling has never been greater, especially with the size, diversity, and efficiency of modern capital markets. With this in mind, the Encyclopedia of Financial Models, 3 Volume Set has been created to help a broad spectrum of individuals—ranging from finance professionals to academics and students—understand financial modeling and make use of the various models currently available. Incorporating timely research and in-depth analysis, the Encyclopedia of Financial Models is an informative 3-Volume Set that covers both established and cutting-edge models and discusses their real-world applications. Edited by Frank Fabozzi, this set includes contributions from global financial experts as well as academics with extensive consulting experience in this field. Organized alphabetically by category, this reliable resource consists of three separate volumes and 127 entries—touching on everything from asset pricing and bond valuation models to trading cost models and volatility—and provides readers with a balanced understanding of today's dynamic world of financial modeling. Frank Fabozzi follows up his successful Handbook of Finance with another major reference work, The Encyclopedia of Financial Models Covers the two major topical areas: asset valuation for cash and derivative instruments, and portfolio modeling Fabozzi explores the critical background tools from mathematics, probability theory, statistics, and operations research needed to understand these complex models Organized alphabetically by category, this book gives readers easy and quick access to specific topics sorted by an applicable category among them Asset Allocation, Credit Risk Modeling, Statistical Tools 3 Volumes onlinelibrary.wiley.com Financial models have become increasingly commonplace, as well as complex. They are essential in a wide range of financial endeavors, and this 3-Volume Set will help put them in perspective.

Encyclopedia of Financial Models, Volume III

Encyclopedia of Financial Models, Volume III PDF Author: Frank J. Fabozzi
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 1118539907
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 734

Book Description
Volume 3 of the Encyclopedia of Financial Models The need for serious coverage of financial modeling has never been greater, especially with the size, diversity, and efficiency of modern capital markets. With this in mind, the Encyclopedia of Financial Models has been created to help a broad spectrum of individuals—ranging from finance professionals to academics and students—understand financial modeling and make use of the various models currently available. Incorporating timely research and in-depth analysis, Volume 3 of the Encyclopedia of Financial Models covers both established and cutting-edge models and discusses their real-world applications. Edited by Frank Fabozzi, this volume includes contributions from global financial experts as well as academics with extensive consulting experience in this field. Organized alphabetically by category, this reliable resource consists of forty-four informative entries and provides readers with a balanced understanding of today’s dynamic world of financial modeling. Volume 3 covers Mortgage-Backed Securities Analysis and Valuation, Operational Risk, Optimization Tools, Probability Theory, Risk Measures, Software for Financial Modeling, Stochastic Processes and Tools, Term Structure Modeling, Trading Cost Models, and Volatility Emphasizes both technical and implementation issues, providing researchers, educators, students, and practitioners with the necessary background to deal with issues related to financial modeling The 3-Volume Set contains coverage of the fundamentals and advances in financial modeling and provides the mathematical and statistical techniques needed to develop and test financial models Financial models have become increasingly commonplace, as well as complex. They are essential in a wide range of financial endeavors, and the Encyclopedia of Financial Models will help put them in perspective.

Implementing Models in Quantitative Finance: Methods and Cases

Implementing Models in Quantitative Finance: Methods and Cases PDF Author: Gianluca Fusai
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 3540499598
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 606

Book Description
This book puts numerical methods in action for the purpose of solving practical problems in quantitative finance. The first part develops a toolkit in numerical methods for finance. The second part proposes twenty self-contained cases covering model simulation, asset pricing and hedging, risk management, statistical estimation and model calibration. Each case develops a detailed solution to a concrete problem arising in applied financial management and guides the user towards a computer implementation. The appendices contain "crash courses" in VBA and Matlab programming languages.

Rational Prepayment and the Valuation of Mortgage-Backed Securities

Rational Prepayment and the Valuation of Mortgage-Backed Securities PDF Author: Richard Stanton
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :

Book Description
This article presents a new model of mortgage prepayments, based on rational decisions by mortgage holders. These mortgage holders face heterogeneous transaction costs, which are explicitly modeled. The model is estimated using a version of Hansen's (1982) generalized method of moments, and shown to capture many of the empirical features of mortgage prepayment. Estimation results indicate that mortgage holders act as though they face transaction costs that far exceed the explicit costs usually incurred on refinancing. They also wait an average of more than a year before refinancing, even when it is optimal to do so. The model fits observed prepayment behavior as well as the recent empirical model of Schwartz and Torous (1989) Implications for pricing mortgage-backed securities are discussed.

Handbook of Mortgage Backed Securities

Handbook of Mortgage Backed Securities PDF Author: Frank J. Fabozzi
Publisher: McGraw Hill Professional
ISBN: 9780071663236
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 912

Book Description
The definitive guide to mortgage-backed securities --now revised and updated The classic -- and single best -- resource for understanding and trading mortgage-backed securities has been brought fully up to date with The Handbook of Mortgage-Backed Securities, Fifth Edition, giving you timely insights into everything from fundamentals to investment characteristics of mortgage-backed securities, as well as state-of-the-art strategies for capitalizing on opportunities. The Handbook’s seven sections bring you up to speed on mortgages and pass-through securities; stripped mortgage-backed securities and collateralized mortgage obligations; credit-sensitive mortgage-backed securities; prepayment modeling; valuation techniques, relative value analysis, and portfolio strategies; commercial mortgage-backed securities; and non-U.S. mortgage-backed securities. This edition is more than just a revised edition – it’s practically a new book: twenty-nine of the chapters are either new or have been substantially revised, reflecting the most recent developments in the mortgage-backed securities market, in terms of both product development and financial technology. These entirely new sections give you a seamless transition into the 24-hour, global financial markets of the 21st century.