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Optimal Ordering Policy and Value of Information Under Delayed Lost Sales Observations

Optimal Ordering Policy and Value of Information Under Delayed Lost Sales Observations PDF Author: Alain Bensoussan
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 0

Book Description
Under many circumstances, demand observations are often censored due to the lack of tracking lost sales caused by stockouts. To understand the impact of the lost sales information on the ordering decisions, a periodic-review inventory model is formulated in which only the sales information is obtained immediately upon the realization of the demand. This is equivalent to observing the demand when the sales are less than the available stock and to inferring that the demand is higher than the stock when there is a stockout. Subsequently, the lost sales information is obtained after a delay. In the resulting model, an optimal policy, if exists, reveals a very complex structure. By decomposing the derivative of the value function, we demonstrate two different roles of inventory in our model: satisfying the demand and extracting the demand information. We show that the optimal inventory levels under the delayed observation of the lost sales are always higher than those for which the demands are fully observed. Moreover, as illustrated in numerical examples, the optimal policy possesses a counterintuitive behavior with respect to the problem parameters. To understand the key drivers of the optimal decisions, we further compare the costs under different demand observations. Two important observations are made. First, a lower cost is obtained when the realized demand is observed than when the demand is only observed to be higher than the inventory level, and, furthermore, the cost difference represents the value of demand information. Second, while a higher inventory level induces a more accurate demand forecast, the value of exact demand observation is not monotone in the procurement cost. Consequently, the optimal ordering quantity is not always decreasing in the procurement cost.

Optimal Ordering Policy and Value of Information Under Delayed Lost Sales Observations

Optimal Ordering Policy and Value of Information Under Delayed Lost Sales Observations PDF Author: Alain Bensoussan
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 0

Book Description
Under many circumstances, demand observations are often censored due to the lack of tracking lost sales caused by stockouts. To understand the impact of the lost sales information on the ordering decisions, a periodic-review inventory model is formulated in which only the sales information is obtained immediately upon the realization of the demand. This is equivalent to observing the demand when the sales are less than the available stock and to inferring that the demand is higher than the stock when there is a stockout. Subsequently, the lost sales information is obtained after a delay. In the resulting model, an optimal policy, if exists, reveals a very complex structure. By decomposing the derivative of the value function, we demonstrate two different roles of inventory in our model: satisfying the demand and extracting the demand information. We show that the optimal inventory levels under the delayed observation of the lost sales are always higher than those for which the demands are fully observed. Moreover, as illustrated in numerical examples, the optimal policy possesses a counterintuitive behavior with respect to the problem parameters. To understand the key drivers of the optimal decisions, we further compare the costs under different demand observations. Two important observations are made. First, a lower cost is obtained when the realized demand is observed than when the demand is only observed to be higher than the inventory level, and, furthermore, the cost difference represents the value of demand information. Second, while a higher inventory level induces a more accurate demand forecast, the value of exact demand observation is not monotone in the procurement cost. Consequently, the optimal ordering quantity is not always decreasing in the procurement cost.

Optimal Ordering Policies for Inventory Problems with Dynamic Information Delays

Optimal Ordering Policies for Inventory Problems with Dynamic Information Delays PDF Author: Alain Bensoussan
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 0

Book Description
Information delays exist when the most recent inventory information available to the Inventory Manager (IM) is dated. In other words, the IM observes only the inventory level that belongs to an earlier period. Such situations are not uncommon, and they arise when it takes a while to process the demand data and pass the results to the IM. We introduce dynamic information delays as a Markov process into the standard multiperiod stochastic inventory problem with backorders. We develop the concept of a reference inventory position. We show that this position observed delay and the age of this observation are sufficient statistics for finding the optimal order quantities. Furthermore, we establish that the optimal ordering policy is of state-dependent base-stock type with respect to the reference inventory position (or state-dependent (s, S) type if there is a fixed ordering cost). The optimal base stock and (s, S) levels depend on the magnitude of the latest observed delay and the age of this observation. Finally, we study the sensitivity of the optimal base stock and the optimal cost with respect to the sufficient statistics.

Optimal Ordering Policies for Stochastic Inventory Problems with Observed Information Delays

Optimal Ordering Policies for Stochastic Inventory Problems with Observed Information Delays PDF Author: Alain Bensoussan
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 0

Book Description
Information delays exist in an inventory system when it takes time to collect, process, validate, and transmit inventory/demand data. A general framework is developed in this paper to describe information flows in an inventory system with information delays. We characterize the suffcient statistics for making optimal decisions. When the ordering cost is linear, the optimality of a state-dependent base-stock policy is established even when information flows are allowed to cross over time. Additional insights into the problem are obtained via a comparison between our models and the models with stochastic order lead times. We also show that inventory can substitute for information and vice versa.

SIAM Journal on Control and Optimization

SIAM Journal on Control and Optimization PDF Author: Society for Industrial and Applied Mathematics
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Control theory
Languages : en
Pages : 1200

Book Description


INFORMS Annual Meeting

INFORMS Annual Meeting PDF Author: Institute for Operations Research and the Management Sciences. National Meeting
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Industrial management
Languages : en
Pages : 480

Book Description


Optimal Pricing and Inventory Control Policy in Periodic-Review Systems with Fixed Ordering Cost and Lost Sales

Optimal Pricing and Inventory Control Policy in Periodic-Review Systems with Fixed Ordering Cost and Lost Sales PDF Author: Frank Chen
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 20

Book Description
This paper studies a periodic-review pricing and inventory control problem for a retailer, which faces stochastic price-sensitive demand, under quite general modeling assumptions. Any unsatisfied demand is lost, and any leftover inventory at the end of the finite selling horizon has a salvage value. The cost component for the retailer includes holding, shortage, and both variable and fixed ordering costs. The retailer's objective is to maximize its discounted expected profit over the selling horizon by dynamically deciding on the optimal pricing and replenishment policy for each period. We show that, under a mild assumption on the additive demand function, at the beginning of each period an (s, S) policy is optimal for replenishment, and the value of the optimal price depends on the inventory level after the replenishment decision has been done. Our numerical study also suggests that for a sufficiently long selling horizon, the optimal policy is almost stationary. Furthermore, the fixed ordering cost (K) plays a significant role in our modeling framework. Specifically, any increase in K results in lower s and higher S. On the other hand, the profit impact of dynamically changing the retail price, contrasted with a single fixed price throughout the selling horizon, also increases with K. We demonstrate that using the optimal policy values from a model with backordering of unmet demands as approximations in our model might result in significant profit penalty.

INFORMS Conference Program

INFORMS Conference Program PDF Author: Institute for Operations Research and the Management Sciences. National Meeting
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Industrial management
Languages : en
Pages : 172

Book Description


Foundations of Stochastic Inventory Theory

Foundations of Stochastic Inventory Theory PDF Author: Evan L. Porteus
Publisher: Stanford University Press
ISBN: 9780804743990
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 330

Book Description
This book has a dual purpose?serving as an advanced textbook designed to prepare doctoral students to do research on the mathematical foundations of inventory theory, and as a reference work for those already engaged in such research. All chapters conclude with exercises that either solidify or extend the concepts introduced.

Industrial Quality Control

Industrial Quality Control PDF Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Quality control
Languages : en
Pages : 44

Book Description


Recent Advances in Intelligent Information Systems and Applied Mathematics

Recent Advances in Intelligent Information Systems and Applied Mathematics PDF Author: Oscar Castillo
Publisher: Springer Nature
ISBN: 3030341526
Category : Technology & Engineering
Languages : en
Pages : 903

Book Description
This book describes the latest advances in intelligent techniques such as fuzzy logic, neural networks, and optimization algorithms, and their relevance in building intelligent information systems in combination with applied mathematics. The authors also outline the applications of these systems in areas like intelligent control and robotics, pattern recognition, medical diagnosis, time series prediction, and optimization of complex problems. By sharing fresh ideas and identifying new targets/problems it offers young researchers and students new directions for their future research. The book is intended for readers from mathematics and computer science, in particular professors and students working on theory and applications of intelligent systems for real-world applications.