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Author: Haizheng Zhang (Ph. D.) Publisher: ISBN: Category : Languages : en Pages : 152
Book Description
The severity of traffic congestion is increasing each year in the US, resulting in higher travel times, and increased energy consumption and emissions. They have led to an increasing emphasis on the development of tools for trac management, which intends to alleviate congestion by more eciently utilizing the existing infrastructure. Eective trac management necessitates the generation of accurate short-term predictions of trac states and in this context, simulation-based Dynamic Trac Assignment (DTA) systems have gained prominence over the years. However, a key challenge that remains to be addressed with real-time DTA systems is their scalability and accuracy for applications to large-scale urban networks. A key component of real-time DTA systems that impacts scalability and accuracy is online calibration which attempts to adjust simulation parameters in real-time to match as closely as possible simulated measurements with real-time surveillance data. This thesis contributes to the existing literature on online calibration of DTA systems in three respects: (1) modeling explicitly the stochasticity in simulators and thereby improving accuracy; (2) augmenting the State Space Model (SSM) to capture the delayed measurements on large-scale and congested networks; (3) presenting a gradient estimation procedure called partitioned simultaneous perturbation (PSP) that utilizes an assumed sparse gradient structure to facilitate real-time performance. The results demonstrate that, first, the proposed approach to address stochasticity improves the accuracy of supply calibration on a synthetic network. Second, the augmented SSM improves both estimation and prediction accuracy on a congested synthetic network and the large-scale Singapore expressway network. Finally, compared with the traditional finite difference method, the PSP reduces the number of computations by 90% and achieves the same calibration accuracy on the Singapore expressway network. The proposed methodologies have important applications in the deployment of real-time DTA systems for large scale urban networks.
Author: Haizheng Zhang (Ph. D.) Publisher: ISBN: Category : Languages : en Pages : 152
Book Description
The severity of traffic congestion is increasing each year in the US, resulting in higher travel times, and increased energy consumption and emissions. They have led to an increasing emphasis on the development of tools for trac management, which intends to alleviate congestion by more eciently utilizing the existing infrastructure. Eective trac management necessitates the generation of accurate short-term predictions of trac states and in this context, simulation-based Dynamic Trac Assignment (DTA) systems have gained prominence over the years. However, a key challenge that remains to be addressed with real-time DTA systems is their scalability and accuracy for applications to large-scale urban networks. A key component of real-time DTA systems that impacts scalability and accuracy is online calibration which attempts to adjust simulation parameters in real-time to match as closely as possible simulated measurements with real-time surveillance data. This thesis contributes to the existing literature on online calibration of DTA systems in three respects: (1) modeling explicitly the stochasticity in simulators and thereby improving accuracy; (2) augmenting the State Space Model (SSM) to capture the delayed measurements on large-scale and congested networks; (3) presenting a gradient estimation procedure called partitioned simultaneous perturbation (PSP) that utilizes an assumed sparse gradient structure to facilitate real-time performance. The results demonstrate that, first, the proposed approach to address stochasticity improves the accuracy of supply calibration on a synthetic network. Second, the augmented SSM improves both estimation and prediction accuracy on a congested synthetic network and the large-scale Singapore expressway network. Finally, compared with the traditional finite difference method, the PSP reduces the number of computations by 90% and achieves the same calibration accuracy on the Singapore expressway network. The proposed methodologies have important applications in the deployment of real-time DTA systems for large scale urban networks.
Author: Constantinos Antoniou Publisher: VDM Publishing ISBN: Category : Computers Languages : en Pages : 164
Book Description
Traffic estimation and prediction (or dynamic traffic assignment) models are expected to contribute to the reduction of travel time delays. In this book, an on-line calibration approach that jointly estimates all model parameters is presented. The methodology imposes no restrictions on the models, the parameters or the data that can be handled, and emerging or future data can be easily incorporated. The modeling approach is applicable to any simulation model and is not restricted to the application domain covered in this book. Several modified, non-linear Kalman Filter methodologies are presented, e.g. Extended Kalman Filter (EKF), Iterated EKF, Limiting EKF, and Unscented Kalman Filter. Extensive case studies on freeway networks in Europe and the US are used to demonstrate the approach, to verify the importance of on-line calibration, and to test the presented algorithms. The main target audience of this book comprises Intelligent Transportation Systems researchers and graduate students, as well as practitioners, including Metropolitan Planning Organization engineers and Traffic Management Center operators, and any reader with an interest in dynamic state and parameter estimation.
Author: Andreas Horni Publisher: Ubiquity Press ISBN: 190918876X Category : Technology & Engineering Languages : en Pages : 620
Book Description
The MATSim (Multi-Agent Transport Simulation) software project was started around 2006 with the goal of generating traffic and congestion patterns by following individual synthetic travelers through their daily or weekly activity programme. It has since then evolved from a collection of stand-alone C++ programs to an integrated Java-based framework which is publicly hosted, open-source available, automatically regression tested. It is currently used by about 40 groups throughout the world. This book takes stock of the current status. The first part of the book gives an introduction to the most important concepts, with the intention of enabling a potential user to set up and run basic simulations. The second part of the book describes how the basic functionality can be extended, for example by adding schedule-based public transit, electric or autonomous cars, paratransit, or within-day replanning. For each extension, the text provides pointers to the additional documentation and to the code base. It is also discussed how people with appropriate Java programming skills can write their own extensions, and plug them into the MATSim core. The project has started from the basic idea that traffic is a consequence of human behavior, and thus humans and their behavior should be the starting point of all modelling, and with the intuition that when simulations with 100 million particles are possible in computational physics, then behavior-oriented simulations with 10 million travelers should be possible in travel behavior research. The initial implementations thus combined concepts from computational physics and complex adaptive systems with concepts from travel behavior research. The third part of the book looks at theoretical concepts that are able to describe important aspects of the simulation system; for example, under certain conditions the code becomes a Monte Carlo engine sampling from a discrete choice model. Another important aspect is the interpretation of the MATSim score as utility in the microeconomic sense, opening up a connection to benefit cost analysis. Finally, the book collects use cases as they have been undertaken with MATSim. All current users of MATSim were invited to submit their work, and many followed with sometimes crisp and short and sometimes longer contributions, always with pointers to additional references. We hope that the book will become an invitation to explore, to build and to extend agent-based modeling of travel behavior from the stable and well tested core of MATSim documented here.
Author: Vikrant Suhas Vaze Publisher: ISBN: Category : Languages : en Pages : 180
Book Description
(Cont.) The estimation results are tested using a calibrated Microscopic Traffic Simulator (MITSIMLab). The results are compared to the base case of calibration using only the conventional point sensor data. The results indicate that the utilization of AVI data significantly improves the calibration accuracy.
Author: Jaume Barceló Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media ISBN: 1441961429 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 450
Book Description
The increasing power of computer technologies, the evolution of software en- neering and the advent of the intelligent transport systems has prompted traf c simulation to become one of the most used approaches for traf c analysis in s- port of the design and evaluation of traf c systems. The ability of traf c simulation to emulate the time variability of traf c phenomena makes it a unique tool for capturing the complexity of traf c systems. In recent years, traf c simulation – and namely microscopic traf c simulation – has moved from the academic to the professional world. A wide variety of traf- c simulation software is currently available on the market and it is utilized by thousands of users, consultants, researchers and public agencies. Microscopic traf c simulation based on the emulation of traf c ows from the dynamics of individual vehicles is becoming one the most attractive approaches. However, traf c simulation still lacks a uni ed treatment. Dozens of papers on theory and applications are published in scienti c journals every year. A search of simulation-related papers and workshops through the proceedings of the last annual TRB meetings would support this assertion, as would a review of the minutes from speci cally dedicated meetings such as the International Symposiums on Traf c Simulation (Yokohama, 2002; Lausanne, 2006; Brisbane, 2008) or the International Workshops on Traf c Modeling and Simulation (Tucson, 2001; Barcelona, 2003; Sedona, 2005; Graz 2008). Yet, the only comprehensive treatment of the subject to be found so far is in the user’s manuals of various software products.
Author: Constantinos Antoniou Publisher: Elsevier ISBN: 012815019X Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 314
Book Description
Demand for Emerging Transportation Systems: Modeling Adoption, Satisfaction, and Mobility Patterns comprehensively examines the concepts and factors affecting user quality-of-service satisfaction. The book provides an introduction to the latest trends in transportation, followed by a critical review of factors affecting traditional and emerging transportation system adoption rates and user retention. This collection includes a rigorous introduction to the tools necessary for analyzing these factors, as well as Big Data collection methodologies, such as smartphone and social media analysis. Researchers will be guided through the nuances of transport and mobility services adoption, closing with an outlook of, and recommendations for, future research on the topic. This resource will appeal to practitioners and graduate students. Examines the dynamics affecting adoption rates for public transportation, vehicle-sharing, ridesharing systems and autonomous vehicles Covers the rationale behind travelers’ continuous use of mobility services and their satisfaction and development Includes case studies, featuring mobility stats and contributions from around the world
Author: Ramachandran Balakrishna Publisher: VDM Publishing ISBN: 9783836420891 Category : Education Languages : en Pages : 208
Book Description
Dynamic Traffic Assignment (DTA) models estimate and predict the evolution of congestion through detailed models and algorithms that capture travel demand, network supply and their complex interactions. The availability of rich time-varying traffic data spanning multiple days, collected by automatic surveillance technology, provides the opportunity to calibrate such a DTA model's many inputs and parameters so that its outputs reflect field conditions. DTA models are generally calibrated sequentially: supply model calibration (assuming known demand inputs) is followed by demand calibration with fixed supply parameters. This book develops an off-line DTA model calibration methodology for the simultaneous estimation of all demand and supply inputs and parameters, using sensor data. A complex, non-linear, stochastic optimization problem is solved, using any general traffic data. Case studies with DynaMIT, a DTA model with traffic estimation and prediction capabilities, indicate that the simultaneous approach significantly outperforms the sequential state of the art. This book is addressed to professionals and researchers who apply large-scale transportation models.
Author: Ramachandran Balakrishna Publisher: ISBN: Category : Languages : en Pages : 212
Book Description
(Cont.) Case studies with DynaMIT, a DTA model with traffic estimation and prediction capabilities, are used to demonstrate and validate the proposed methodology. A synthetic traffic network with known demand parameters and simulated sensor data is used to illustrate the improvement over the sequential approach, the ability to accurately recover underlying model parameters, and robustness in a variety of demand and supply situations. Archived sensor data and a network from Los Angeles, CA are then used to demonstrate scalability. The benefit of the proposed methodology is validated through a real-time test of the calibrated DynaMIT's estimation and prediction accuracy, based on sensor data not used for calibration. Results indicate that the simultaneous approach significantly outperforms the sequential state of the art.
Author: Haizheng Zhang (Ph. D.)
Author: Haizheng Zhang (Ph. D.)
Author: Kunal Kamlakar Kundé
Author: Ramachandran Balakrishna
Author: Constantinos Antoniou
Author: Andreas Horni
Author: Vikrant Suhas Vaze
Author: Jaume Barceló
Author: Constantinos Antoniou
Author: Ramachandran Balakrishna
Author: Ramachandran Balakrishna