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Author: Philipp Kirchner Publisher: ISBN: Category : Languages : en Pages :
Book Description
At the forefront of macroeconomic research on the causes of the Great Financial Cri- sis (GFC) was and still is the usage of dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models. To capture the nonlinearities of the GFC, these models were enriched with a variety of financial frictions. This paper focuses on a special subset of these frictions, the shadow banking system. We provide a structured review of the strand of literature that considers shadow banking in DSGE setups and draw particular attention to the mod- eling approach as well as impact of shadow banking. Our analysis allows the following conclusions: firstly, models featuring shadow banking are better able to simulate realistic movements in the business cycle that are of comparable magnitude to the GFC. Secondly, the models consider amplification channels between the financial sector and the real econ- omy that proved to be of importance during the crisis. Thirdly, the models display a good explanatory power of financial stability measures in the light of shadow banking.
Author: Philipp Kirchner Publisher: ISBN: Category : Languages : en Pages :
Book Description
At the forefront of macroeconomic research on the causes of the Great Financial Cri- sis (GFC) was and still is the usage of dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models. To capture the nonlinearities of the GFC, these models were enriched with a variety of financial frictions. This paper focuses on a special subset of these frictions, the shadow banking system. We provide a structured review of the strand of literature that considers shadow banking in DSGE setups and draw particular attention to the mod- eling approach as well as impact of shadow banking. Our analysis allows the following conclusions: firstly, models featuring shadow banking are better able to simulate realistic movements in the business cycle that are of comparable magnitude to the GFC. Secondly, the models consider amplification channels between the financial sector and the real econ- omy that proved to be of importance during the crisis. Thirdly, the models display a good explanatory power of financial stability measures in the light of shadow banking.
Author: Philipp Kirchner Publisher: BoD – Books on Demand ISBN: 3737609039 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 142
Book Description
Since the occurrence of the Great Financial Crisis (GFC) in 2007/2008, our understanding of (macro) economics changed fundamentally. The evolution of the GFC revealed fundamental changes in the structural composition of financial systems in that traditional retail banking services, especially in the U.S., shifted progressively into a market-based banking system called the shadow banking system. Consequently, policy makers were forced to adapt the existing toolkit in two ways: implementing unconventional monetary measures to stimulate markets and introducing macroprudential measures as laid down in the BASEL III-framework geared towards the resilience and stability of the financial sector. This thesis addresses these aspects by using state-of-the-art closed- and open-economy dynamic stochastic general equilibrium models to analyze the impact of shadow banking on the business cycle and on the interaction with monetary and macroprudential policy measures.
Author: Mr.Jaromir Benes Publisher: International Monetary Fund ISBN: 1475524986 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 59
Book Description
This paper presents the theoretical structure of MAPMOD, a new IMF model designed to study vulnerabilities associated with excessive credit expansions, and to support macroprudential policy analysis. In MAPMOD, bank loans create purchasing power that facilitates adjustments in the real economy. But excessively large and risky loans can impair balance sheets and sow the seeds of a financial crisis. Banks respond to losses through higher spreads and rapid credit cutbacks, with adverse effects for the real economy. These features allow the model to capture the basic facts of financial cycles. A companion paper studies the simulation properties of MAPMOD.
Author: Wondemhunegn Ezezew Melesse Publisher: ISBN: Category : Languages : en Pages : 35
Book Description
In the last few years, macroeconomic modelling has emphasised the role of credit market frictions in magnifying and transmitting nominal and real disturbances and their implication for macro-prudential policy design. In this paper, we construct a modest New Keynesian general equilibrium model with active banking sector. In this set-up, the financial sector interacts with the real side of the economy via firm balance sheet and bank capital conditions and their impact on investment and production decisions. We rely on the financial accelerator mechanism due to Bernanke et al. (1999) and combine it with a bank capital channel as demonstrated by Aguiar and Drumond (2007). We calibrate the resulting model from the perspective of a low income economy reflecting the existence of relatively high investment adjustment cost, strong fiscal dominance, and underdeveloped financial and capital markets where the central bank uses money growth in stabilizing the national economy. Then we examine the impulse response of selected endogenous variables to shocks stemming from the fiscal authority, the monetary policy process, and technological progress. The findings are broadly consistent with previous studies that demonstrated stronger role for credit market imperfections in amplifying and propagating monetary policy shocks. Moreover, we also compare the trajectory of the model economy under alternative monetary policy instruments. The results suggest that the model with money growth rule generates higher volatility in output and inflation than the one with interest rate rule.
Author: Mr.Jaromir Benes Publisher: International Monetary Fund ISBN: 1475540892 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 59
Book Description
This paper presents the theoretical structure of MAPMOD, a new IMF model designed to study vulnerabilities associated with excessive credit expansions, and to support macroprudential policy analysis. In MAPMOD, bank loans create purchasing power that facilitates adjustments in the real economy. But excessively large and risky loans can impair balance sheets and sow the seeds of a financial crisis. Banks respond to losses through higher spreads and rapid credit cutbacks, with adverse effects for the real economy. These features allow the model to capture the basic facts of financial cycles. A companion paper studies the simulation properties of MAPMOD.
Author: František Brázdik Publisher: ISBN: Category : Languages : en Pages : 26
Book Description
This survey gives insight into the ongoing research in financial frictions modeling. The recent financial turmoil has fueled interest in operationalizing financial frictions concepts. The rapid growth of the literature on financial frictions motivates this review. The empirical facts that motivate the inclusion of financial frictions are surveyed. This survey provides a description of the basic approaches for introducing financial frictions into dynamic stochastic general equilibrium models. The significance and empirical identification of the financial accelerator effect is then discussed. The role of financial frictions models in CNB monetary and macroprudential policy is described. It is concluded that given the heterogeneity of the approaches to financial frictions it is beneficial for the conduct of monetary policy to focus on the development of satellite approaches. DSGE models with financial frictions used to generate stress-testing scenarios could complement current stress-testing practice, but are not able to replace it.
Author: Rossana Merola Publisher: ISBN: Category : Languages : en Pages : 55
Book Description
Episodes of crises that have recently plagued many emerging market economies have lead to a wide-spread questioning of the two traditional generations of models of currency crises. Distressed banking system and adverse credit-markets conditions have been pointed as sources of serious macroeconomics contractions, so introducing these imperfections into standard economic models can help to explain the more recent crises. This paper introduces financial frictions à la Bernanke Gertler and Gilchrist in a two-sector small open economy, suited to analyze an emerging country. The model is estimated on simulated data applying both Bayesian techniques and maximum likelihood method and comparing the results under the two di¤erent estimation procedures. First, I analyze the inĵuence of the prior on the estimation outcomes. Results seems to conijrm that one of the main advantages of Bayesian approach is the ability of providing a framework for evaluating fundamentally mis-specified models. Second, I test the sensitivity of estimation outcomes to the sample size, showing how, for large samples, results under Bayesian estimation converges asymptotically to those obtained applying maximum likelihood. A further extension would be to perform the estimation on historical data for an emerging economy that have recently experienced a financial crisis.
Author: Philipp Kirchner
Author: Philipp Kirchner
Author: Philipp Kirchner
Author: Mr.Jaromir Benes
Author: Rossana Merola
Author: Wondemhunegn Ezezew Melesse
Author: Uluc Aysun
Author: Mr.Jaromir Benes
Author: František Brázdik
Author: Rossana Merola
Author: Yuliya Rychalovská