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Author: Michael C. I. Nwogugu Publisher: ISBN: Category : Languages : en Pages : 51
Book Description
Investment Decision Analysis using NPV and or the Mean-Variance Model has become the primary method of investment evaluation. However, these approaches are deeply flawed and are very sensitive to the time horizon, the signs of the periodic cash flows, and discount rates that exceed 100% or are below -100%; and do not account for Real Options, Regret or Rejoice in decision making. This article contributes to the existing literature by: i) explaining behavioral and psychological biases inherent in financing decisions which contradict the NPV-MIRR model, ii) explaining existing and new Framing Effects inherent in the NPV-MIRR model - and critiquing Iturbe-Ormaetxe, Ponti, Tomás & Ubeda (2010); iii) surveying the recent and relevant literature on Regret Theory which explain how Regret Theory can serve as an alternative to the NPV-MIRR model for decision making; iv) explaining how the use of the NPV-IRR model is similar to ultimatum games and Rights-of-First-Refusal (ROFR) and critiquing Grosskopf & Roth (2009); v) explaining the biases and Framing Effects inherent in the Mean-Variance model.
Author: Michael C. I. Nwogugu Publisher: ISBN: Category : Languages : en Pages : 51
Book Description
Investment Decision Analysis using NPV and or the Mean-Variance Model has become the primary method of investment evaluation. However, these approaches are deeply flawed and are very sensitive to the time horizon, the signs of the periodic cash flows, and discount rates that exceed 100% or are below -100%; and do not account for Real Options, Regret or Rejoice in decision making. This article contributes to the existing literature by: i) explaining behavioral and psychological biases inherent in financing decisions which contradict the NPV-MIRR model, ii) explaining existing and new Framing Effects inherent in the NPV-MIRR model - and critiquing Iturbe-Ormaetxe, Ponti, Tomás & Ubeda (2010); iii) surveying the recent and relevant literature on Regret Theory which explain how Regret Theory can serve as an alternative to the NPV-MIRR model for decision making; iv) explaining how the use of the NPV-IRR model is similar to ultimatum games and Rights-of-First-Refusal (ROFR) and critiquing Grosskopf & Roth (2009); v) explaining the biases and Framing Effects inherent in the Mean-Variance model.
Author: Michael C. I. Nwogugu Publisher: Springer ISBN: 1137446986 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 336
Book Description
This book explores why Modified Internal Rate of Return (MIRR) and Net Present Value (NPV) are not necessarily accurate or efficient tools for valuation and decision-making. The author specifically addresses the biases and framing effects inherent in the NPV/MIRR/IRR model and in related approaches such as Adjusted Present Value (APV), Net Future Value (NFV), and by extension, Polynomials. In doing so, the book presents new ways of solving higher order polynomials using invariants and homomorphisms and explains why the “Fundamental Theorem of Algebra”, the Binomial Theorem and the “Descartes Sign Rule” are unreliable. Chapters also discuss how International Asset Pricing Theory (IAPT) and Intertemporal Capital Asset Pricing Models (ICAPM) can produce inaccurate results in certain circumstances. The conditions under which ICAPM and IAPT may be accurate are described; as well as why those conditions cannot, or are unlikely to, exist. The conditions under which negative interest rates may exist or are justified are also outlined. Moreover, the author explains why traditional Consumption-Savings-Investment-Production models of allocation can be inefficient, and then introduces a new model of allocation that can be applied to individuals, households and companies. Finally, the book explains why the Elasticity of Intertemporal Substitution is a flawed concept and introduces the Marginal Rate of Intertemporal Joint Substitution as a solution.
Author: G. Constantinides Publisher: Elsevier ISBN: 9780444513632 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 698
Book Description
Arbitrage, State Prices and Portfolio Theory / Philip h. Dybvig and Stephen a. Ross / - Intertemporal Asset Pricing Theory / Darrell Duffle / - Tests of Multifactor Pricing Models, Volatility Bounds and Portfolio Performance / Wayne E. Ferson / - Consumption-Based Asset Pricing / John y Campbell / - The Equity Premium in Retrospect / Rainish Mehra and Edward c. Prescott / - Anomalies and Market Efficiency / William Schwert / - Are Financial Assets Priced Locally or Globally? / G. Andrew Karolyi and Rene M. Stuli / - Microstructure and Asset Pricing / David Easley and Maureen O'hara / - A Survey of Behavioral Finance / Nicholas Barberis and Richard Thaler / - Derivatives / Robert E. Whaley / - Fixed-Income Pricing / Qiang Dai and Kenneth J. Singleton.
Author: Wing-Keung Wong Publisher: Mdpi AG ISBN: 9783036530802 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 232
Book Description
The Efficient Market Hypothesis believes that it is impossible for an investor to outperform the market because all available information is already built into stock prices. However, some anomalies could persist in stock markets while some other anomalies could appear, disappear and re-appear again without any warning. A Special Issue on "Efficiency and Anomalies in Stock Markets" will be devoted to advancements in the theoretical development of market efficiency and anomaly in the Stock Market, as well as applications in Stock Market efficiency and anomalies.
Author: Leonard C. MacLean Publisher: World Scientific ISBN: 9814417351 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 941
Book Description
This handbook in two parts covers key topics of the theory of financial decision making. Some of the papers discuss real applications or case studies as well. There are a number of new papers that have never been published before especially in Part II.Part I is concerned with Decision Making Under Uncertainty. This includes subsections on Arbitrage, Utility Theory, Risk Aversion and Static Portfolio Theory, and Stochastic Dominance. Part II is concerned with Dynamic Modeling that is the transition for static decision making to multiperiod decision making. The analysis starts with Risk Measures and then discusses Dynamic Portfolio Theory, Tactical Asset Allocation and Asset-Liability Management Using Utility and Goal Based Consumption-Investment Decision Models.A comprehensive set of problems both computational and review and mind expanding with many unsolved problems are in an accompanying problems book. The handbook plus the book of problems form a very strong set of materials for PhD and Masters courses both as the main or as supplementary text in finance theory, financial decision making and portfolio theory. For researchers, it is a valuable resource being an up to date treatment of topics in the classic books on these topics by Johnathan Ingersoll in 1988, and William Ziemba and Raymond Vickson in 1975 (updated 2 nd edition published in 2006).
Author: David E. Bell Publisher: Thomson South-Western ISBN: Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 228
Book Description
These authors draw on nearly 50 years of combined teaching and consulting experience to give readers a straightforward yet systematic approach for making estimates about the likelihood and consequences of future events -- and then using those assessments to arrive at sound decisions. The book's real-world cases, supplemented with expository text and spreadsheets, help readers master such techniques as decision trees and simulation, such concepts as probability, the value of information, and strategic gaming; and such applications as inventory stocking problems, bidding situations, and negotiating.
Author: Patrick A. Ray Publisher: World Bank Publications ISBN: 1464804788 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 149
Book Description
Confronting Climate Uncertainty in Water Resources Planning and Project Design describes an approach to facing two fundamental and unavoidable issues brought about by climate change uncertainty in water resources planning and project design. The first is a risk assessment problem. The second relates to risk management. This book provides background on the risks relevant in water systems planning, the different approaches to scenario definition in water system planning, and an introduction to the decision-scaling methodology upon which the decision tree is based. The decision tree is described as a scientifically defensible, repeatable, direct and clear method for demonstrating the robustness of a project to climate change. While applicable to all water resources projects, it allocates effort to projects in a way that is consistent with their potential sensitivity to climate risk. The process was designed to be hierarchical, with different stages or phases of analysis triggered based on the findings of the previous phase. An application example is provided followed by a descriptions of some of the tools available for decision making under uncertainty and methods available for climate risk management. The tool was designed for the World Bank but can be applicable in other scenarios where similar challenges arise.
Author: H. Kent Baker Publisher: John Wiley & Sons ISBN: 1118492986 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 645
Book Description
WINNER, Business: Personal Finance/Investing, 2015 USA Best Book Awards FINALIST, Business: Reference, 2015 USA Best Book Awards Investor Behavior provides readers with a comprehensive understanding and the latest research in the area of behavioral finance and investor decision making. Blending contributions from noted academics and experienced practitioners, this 30-chapter book will provide investment professionals with insights on how to understand and manage client behavior; a framework for interpreting financial market activity; and an in-depth understanding of this important new field of investment research. The book should also be of interest to academics, investors, and students. The book will cover the major principles of investor psychology, including heuristics, bounded rationality, regret theory, mental accounting, framing, prospect theory, and loss aversion. Specific sections of the book will delve into the role of personality traits, financial therapy, retirement planning, financial coaching, and emotions in investment decisions. Other topics covered include risk perception and tolerance, asset allocation decisions under inertia and inattention bias; evidenced based financial planning, motivation and satisfaction, behavioral investment management, and neurofinance. Contributions will delve into the behavioral underpinnings of various trading and investment topics including trader psychology, stock momentum, earnings surprises, and anomalies. The final chapters of the book examine new research on socially responsible investing, mutual funds, and real estate investing from a behavioral perspective. Empirical evidence and current literature about each type of investment issue are featured. Cited research studies are presented in a straightforward manner focusing on the comprehension of study findings, rather than on the details of mathematical frameworks.
Author: Leonard Zacks Publisher: John Wiley & Sons ISBN: 1118127765 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 352
Book Description
Investment pioneer Len Zacks presents the latest academic research on how to beat the market using equity anomalies The Handbook of Equity Market Anomalies organizes and summarizes research carried out by hundreds of finance and accounting professors over the last twenty years to identify and measure equity market inefficiencies and provides self-directed individual investors with a framework for incorporating the results of this research into their own investment processes. Edited by Len Zacks, CEO of Zacks Investment Research, and written by leading professors who have performed groundbreaking research on specific anomalies, this book succinctly summarizes the most important anomalies that savvy investors have used for decades to beat the market. Some of the anomalies addressed include the accrual anomaly, net stock anomalies, fundamental anomalies, estimate revisions, changes in and levels of broker recommendations, earnings-per-share surprises, insider trading, price momentum and technical analysis, value and size anomalies, and several seasonal anomalies. This reliable resource also provides insights on how to best use the various anomalies in both market neutral and in long investor portfolios. A treasure trove of investment research and wisdom, the book will save you literally thousands of hours by distilling the essence of twenty years of academic research into eleven clear chapters and providing the framework and conviction to develop market-beating strategies. Strips the academic jargon from the research and highlights the actual returns generated by the anomalies, and documented in the academic literature Provides a theoretical framework within which to understand the concepts of risk adjusted returns and market inefficiencies Anomalies are selected by Len Zacks, a pioneer in the field of investing As the founder of Zacks Investment Research, Len Zacks pioneered the concept of the earnings-per-share surprise in 1982 and developed the Zacks Rank, one of the first anomaly-based stock selection tools. Today, his firm manages U.S. equities for individual and institutional investors and provides investment software and investment data to all types of investors. Now, with his new book, he shows you what it takes to build a quant process to outperform an index based on academically documented market inefficiencies and anomalies.
Author: Michael C. I. Nwogugu
Author: Michael C. I. Nwogugu
Author: Michael C. I. Nwogugu
Author: G. Constantinides
Author: Wing-Keung Wong
Author: Leonard C. MacLean
Author: Rose McDermott
Author: David E. Bell
Author: Patrick A. Ray
Author: H. Kent Baker
Author: Leonard Zacks