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Discrete Choice Methods with Simulation

Discrete Choice Methods with Simulation PDF Author: Kenneth Train
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 0521766559
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 399

Book Description
This book describes the new generation of discrete choice methods, focusing on the many advances that are made possible by simulation. Researchers use these statistical methods to examine the choices that consumers, households, firms, and other agents make. Each of the major models is covered: logit, generalized extreme value, or GEV (including nested and cross-nested logits), probit, and mixed logit, plus a variety of specifications that build on these basics. Simulation-assisted estimation procedures are investigated and compared, including maximum stimulated likelihood, method of simulated moments, and method of simulated scores. Procedures for drawing from densities are described, including variance reduction techniques such as anithetics and Halton draws. Recent advances in Bayesian procedures are explored, including the use of the Metropolis-Hastings algorithm and its variant Gibbs sampling. The second edition adds chapters on endogeneity and expectation-maximization (EM) algorithms. No other book incorporates all these fields, which have arisen in the past 25 years. The procedures are applicable in many fields, including energy, transportation, environmental studies, health, labor, and marketing.

A Note on Discrete Choice Under Uncertainty

A Note on Discrete Choice Under Uncertainty PDF Author: J. Rouwendal
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 18

Book Description


Discrete Choice Methods with Simulation

Discrete Choice Methods with Simulation PDF Author: Kenneth Train
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 0521766559
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 399

Book Description
This book describes the new generation of discrete choice methods, focusing on the many advances that are made possible by simulation. Researchers use these statistical methods to examine the choices that consumers, households, firms, and other agents make. Each of the major models is covered: logit, generalized extreme value, or GEV (including nested and cross-nested logits), probit, and mixed logit, plus a variety of specifications that build on these basics. Simulation-assisted estimation procedures are investigated and compared, including maximum stimulated likelihood, method of simulated moments, and method of simulated scores. Procedures for drawing from densities are described, including variance reduction techniques such as anithetics and Halton draws. Recent advances in Bayesian procedures are explored, including the use of the Metropolis-Hastings algorithm and its variant Gibbs sampling. The second edition adds chapters on endogeneity and expectation-maximization (EM) algorithms. No other book incorporates all these fields, which have arisen in the past 25 years. The procedures are applicable in many fields, including energy, transportation, environmental studies, health, labor, and marketing.

On Discrete Choice Under Uncertainty

On Discrete Choice Under Uncertainty PDF Author: Jan Rouwendal
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 32

Book Description


Discrete Choice Models with Different Levels of Utility Uncertainty

Discrete Choice Models with Different Levels of Utility Uncertainty PDF Author: Ruxian Wang
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 36

Book Description
In this paper, we relax the restriction on the identical distribution for the random utility parts under discrete choice models. The derived new choice model can allow more flexible substitution pattern, and has the potential to describe choice behavior more accurately. If an alternative's nominal utility is relatively high, its choice probability is higher when an individual uses its mean of utility in her choice process, whereas the choice probabilities for other alternatives are lower. We show that in the pricing problem the optimal prices are product-invariant for products with the same levels of utility uncertainty and use this result to simplify the multi-product pricing problem. We also characterize the oligopolistic problems for competition in price and choice probability respectively, and provide efficient algorithms to compute the Nash equilibrium. The assortment problem is generally NP-hard, so we develop a fully polynomial-time approximation scheme that can find an arbitrarily near-optimal solution in a timely manner. Surprisingly, if the utility of a product of the focal firm rather than the outside option is deterministic, the revenue-ordered assortment is optimal for the assortment problem. To implement the newly proposed choice model with different levels of utility uncertainty, we develop an efficient estimation algorithm with estimated product attractiveness in closed form. Several extensions are also considered, including relaxing the restriction under the multi-stage nested logit model.

Random Regret-based Discrete Choice Modeling

Random Regret-based Discrete Choice Modeling PDF Author: Caspar G. Chorus
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 3642291511
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 60

Book Description
This tutorial presents a hands-on introduction to a new discrete choice modeling approach based on the behavioral notion of regret-minimization. This so-called Random Regret Minimization-approach (RRM) forms a counterpart of the Random Utility Maximization-approach (RUM) to discrete choice modeling, which has for decades dominated the field of choice modeling and adjacent fields such as transportation, marketing and environmental economics. Being as parsimonious as conventional RUM-models and compatible with popular software packages, the RRM-approach provides an alternative and appealing account of choice behavior. Rather than providing highly technical discussions as usually encountered in scholarly journals, this tutorial aims to allow readers to explore the RRM-approach and its potential and limitations hands-on and based on a detailed discussion of examples. This tutorial is written for students, scholars and practitioners who have a basic background in choice modeling in general and RUM-modeling in particular. It has been taken care of that all concepts and results should be clear to readers that do not have an advanced knowledge of econometrics.

Discrete Choice Under Preference Uncertainty

Discrete Choice Under Preference Uncertainty PDF Author: Chuan-Zhong Li
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 14

Book Description


Nonparametric Estimation of Expectations in the Analysis of Discrete Choice Under Uncertainty

Nonparametric Estimation of Expectations in the Analysis of Discrete Choice Under Uncertainty PDF Author: Charles F. Manski
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Decision making
Languages : en
Pages : 20

Book Description


Interpreting Discrete Choice Models

Interpreting Discrete Choice Models PDF Author: Garrett Glasgow
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 1108877184
Category : Political Science
Languages : en
Pages : 131

Book Description
In discrete choice models the relationships between the independent variables and the choice probabilities are nonlinear, depending on both the value of the particular independent variable being interpreted and the values of the other independent variables. Thus, interpreting the magnitude of the effects (the “substantive effects”) of the independent variables on choice behavior requires the use of additional interpretative techniques. Three common techniques for interpretation are described here: first differences, marginal effects and elasticities, and odds ratios. Concepts related to these techniques are also discussed, as well as methods to account for estimation uncertainty. Interpretation of binary logits, ordered logits, multinomial and conditional logits, and mixed discrete choice models such as mixed multinomial logits and random effects logits for panel data are covered in detail. The techniques discussed here are general, and can be applied to other models with discrete dependent variables which are not specifically described here.

Applied Discrete-Choice Modelling

Applied Discrete-Choice Modelling PDF Author: David A. Hensher
Publisher: Routledge
ISBN: 1351140744
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 280

Book Description
Originally published in 1981. Discrete-choice modelling is an area of econometrics where significant advances have been made at the research level. This book presents an overview of these advances, explaining the theory underlying the model, and explores its various applications. It shows how operational choice models can be used, and how they are particularly useful for a better understanding of consumer demand theory. It discusses particular problems connected with the model and its use, and reports on the authors’ own empirical research. This is a comprehensive survey of research developments in discrete choice modelling and its applications.

Nonparametric and Semiparametric Methods in Econometrics and Statistics

Nonparametric and Semiparametric Methods in Econometrics and Statistics PDF Author: William A. Barnett
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 9780521424318
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 512

Book Description
Papers from a 1988 symposium on the estimation and testing of models that impose relatively weak restrictions on the stochastic behaviour of data.