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Author: International Monetary Fund. Policy Development and Review Dept. Publisher: International Monetary Fund ISBN: 1498331777 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 57
Book Description
The discussion in this paper of the causes and consequences of recent oil price increases, and the appropriate policy response, is framed by the volatility and uncertainty that characterize the oil market. Volatile prices arise from supply and demand that are both highly inelastic in the short run, with the result that even small shocks can have large effects on price. The difficulty of predicting long-run supply and demand creates uncertainty about future prices. Further, even current supply and demand data are lacking, which results in additional uncertainty. These features of uncertainty and volatility of prices make it difficult to reach simple conclusions about how oil producers and consumers should respond to price changes.
Author: International Monetary Fund. Policy Development and Review Dept. Publisher: International Monetary Fund ISBN: 1498331777 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 57
Book Description
The discussion in this paper of the causes and consequences of recent oil price increases, and the appropriate policy response, is framed by the volatility and uncertainty that characterize the oil market. Volatile prices arise from supply and demand that are both highly inelastic in the short run, with the result that even small shocks can have large effects on price. The difficulty of predicting long-run supply and demand creates uncertainty about future prices. Further, even current supply and demand data are lacking, which results in additional uncertainty. These features of uncertainty and volatility of prices make it difficult to reach simple conclusions about how oil producers and consumers should respond to price changes.
Author: Internationaler Währungsfonds Publisher: ISBN: Category : Languages : en Pages : 0
Book Description
The discussion in this paper of the causes and consequences of recent oil price increases, and the appropriate policy response, is framed by the volatility and uncertainty that characterize the oil market. Volatile prices arise from supply and demand that are both highly inelastic in the short run, with the result that even small shocks can have large effects on price. The difficulty of predicting long-run supply and demand creates uncertainty about future prices. Further, even current supply and demand data are lacking, which results in additional uncertainty. These features of uncertainty and volatility of prices make it difficult to reach simple conclusions about how oil producers and consumers should respond to price changes.
Author: International Monetary Fund. Policy Development and Review Department Publisher: ISBN: Category : Petroleum industry and trade Languages : en Pages : 56
Author: The Emirates Center for Strategic Studies and Research Publisher: Emirates Center for Strategic Studies and Research ISBN: 9948245458 Category : Antiques & Collectibles Languages : en Pages : 26
Book Description
Current Oil Market Developments and Their Impacts on the GCC comes at a time when global oil markets are witnessing substantial change. Oil prices have fluctuated from unprecedented highs to free falling by the end of 2008, and experiencing another steep drop by 2014. Other dramatic changes include a surge in global oil supply, weakness in demand (partly caused by slow growth in emerging countries), exploitation of oil shale, advancements in oil-extraction technology, and the emergence of renewable and clean energy sources. These developments have all impacted oil markets in particular and the global economy in general. In addressing the topic, this book consists of four chapters that examine these developments in depth to determine their implications and potential effects, suggesting recommendations that will serve the goals and development objectives of the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries and beyond. It focuses on global oil supply and demand, geopolitical factors related to the Russian–Ukrainian crisis, potential Iranian–Western convergence, and the implications of all these factors on both GCC and global energy markets. Its chapters examine issues such as the latest energy market developments and challenges to conventional oil supply. The developments detailed require constant monitoring to safeguard global energy security and serve development goals around the world. While the GCC has great interest in oil-related issues, the countries are also planning for the future by simultaneously working on establishing diversified, knowledge-based economies that are less dependent on conventional resources.
Author: Mr.Rabah Arezki Publisher: International Monetary Fund ISBN: 1475572360 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 30
Book Description
This paper presents a simple macroeconomic model of the oil market. The model incorporates features of oil supply such as depletion, endogenous oil exploration and extraction, as well as features of oil demand such as the secular increase in demand from emerging-market economies, usage efficiency, and endogenous demand responses. The model provides, inter alia, a useful analytical framework to explore the effects of: a change in world GDP growth; a change in the efficiency of oil usage; and a change in the supply of oil. Notwithstanding that shale oil production today is more responsive to prices than conventional oil, our analysis suggests that an era of prolonged low oil prices is likely to be followed by a period where oil prices overshoot their long-term upward trend.
Author: R. W. Ferrier Publisher: Routledge ISBN: 1317234952 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 137
Book Description
This book discusses the oil industry and its impact on the world economy in the twentieth century. It examines the importance of oil in different sectors, from 1900-1973 and stresses the relevance of oil as a factor in modern economic history not only in national terms but also within an international context. The book includes chapters on American policy towards developing economies in the first half of the 20th century; the policy of Russian oil exports in the 20s and 30s; the financing of the German and French oil industries; and the role of oil in the Japanese economy, a major industrial country without oil resources. On the international front, the book covers the impact of the Middle East national oil companies, the effect of oil on the developing countries of South Ameirca and the relevance of the oil crisis of 1973.
Author: Mr.Tokhir N Mirzoev Publisher: International Monetary Fund ISBN: 1513525905 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 55
Book Description
The oil market is undergoing fundamental change. New technologies are increasing the supply of oil from old and new sources, while rising concerns over the environment are seeing the world gradually moving away from oil. This spells a significant challenge for oil-exporting countries, including those of the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) who account for a fifth of the world’s oil production. The GCC countries have recognized the need to reduce their reliance on oil and are all implementing reforms to diversify their economies as well as fiscal and external revenues. Nevertheless, as global oil demand is expected to peak in the next two decades, the associated fiscal imperative could be both larger and more urgent than implied by the GCC countries’ existing plans.
Author: Michael L. Ross Publisher: Princeton University Press ISBN: 0691159637 Category : Political Science Languages : en Pages : 314
Book Description
Countries that are rich in petroleum have less democracy, less economic stability, and more frequent civil wars than countries without oil. What explains this oil curse? And can it be fixed? In this groundbreaking analysis, Michael L. Ross looks at how developing nations are shaped by their mineral wealth--and how they can turn oil from a curse into a blessing. Ross traces the oil curse to the upheaval of the 1970s, when oil prices soared and governments across the developing world seized control of their countries' oil industries. Before nationalization, the oil-rich countries looked much like the rest of the world; today, they are 50 percent more likely to be ruled by autocrats--and twice as likely to descend into civil war--than countries without oil. The Oil Curse shows why oil wealth typically creates less economic growth than it should; why it produces jobs for men but not women; and why it creates more problems in poor states than in rich ones. It also warns that the global thirst for petroleum is causing companies to drill in increasingly poor nations, which could further spread the oil curse. This landmark book explains why good geology often leads to bad governance, and how this can be changed.
Author: Arnim Langer Publisher: Leuven University Press ISBN: 9462702004 Category : Social Science Languages : en Pages : 396
Book Description
Multidisciplinary perspectives to governance of oil in African countries Large quantities of oil were discovered in the Albertine Rift Valley in Western Uganda in 2006. The sound management of these oil resources and revenues is undoubtedly one of the key public policy challenges for Uganda as it is for other African countries with large oil and/or gas endowments. With oil expected to start flowing in 2021, the current book analyses how this East African country is preparing for the challenge of effectively, efficiently, and transparently managing its oil sector and resources. Adopting a multidisciplinary, comprehensive, and comparative approach, the book identifies a broad scope of issues that need to be addressed in order for Uganda to realise the full potential of its oil wealth for national economic transformation. Predominantly grounded in local scholarship and including chapters drawing on the experiences of Nigeria, Ghana, and Kenya, the book blazes a trail on governance of African oil in an era of emerging producers. Oil Wealth and Development in Uganda and Beyond will be of great interest to social scientists and economic and social policy makers in oil-producing countries. It is suitable for course adoption across such disciplines as International/Global Affairs, Political Economy, Geography, Environmental Studies, Economics, Energy Studies, Development, Politics, Peace, Security and African Studies. Contributors: Badru Bukenya (Makerere University), Moses Isabirye (Busitema University), Wilson Bahati Kazi (Uganda Revenue Authority), Corti Paul Lakuma (Economic Policy Research Centre), Joseph Mawejje (Economic Policy Research Centre), Pamela Mbabazi (Uganda National Planning Authority), Martin Muhangi (independent researcher), Roberts Muriisa (Mbarara University of Science and Technology), Chris Byaruhanga Musiime (independent researcher), Germano Mwabu (University of Nairobi), Jackson A. Mwakali (Makerere University), Tom Owang (Mbarara University of Science and Technology), Joseph Oloka-Onyango (Makerere University), Peter Quartey (University of Ghana), Peter Wandera (Transparency International Uganda), Kathleen Brophy (Transparency International Uganda), Jaqueline Nakaiza (independent researcher), Babra Beyeza (independent researcher), Jackson Byaruhanga (Bank of Uganda), Emmanuel Abbey (University of Ghana).
Author: Silvana Tordo Publisher: World Bank Publications ISBN: 0821388312 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 149
Book Description
National Oil Companies (NOCs) directly or indirectly control the majority of oil and gas reserves. As such, they are of great consequence to their country's economy, to importing countries' energy security, and to the stability of oil and gas markets. The paper analyzes the available evidence on the objectives, governance and performance of 20 NOCs from both net importing and net exporting countries, and draws conclusions about the design of policies and measures that are more likely to lead to social value creation. NOCs differ from private companies on a number of very important variables, including the level of competition in the market in which they operate, their business profile along the sector value chain, and their degree of commercial orientation and internationalization. Most share some core characteristics: they are usually tied to the 'national purpose' and serve political and economic goals other than maximizing the firm's profits. This paper introduces a conceptual model to analyze value creation by NOCs that takes into consideration their complex objective function. Our analysis aims to answer the following questions: Are certain corporate governance arrangements more suited than others to promote value creation? Is good geology a pre-condition for NOC value creation? Are there benefits from exposing the NOC to competition from private oil companies? Does the development of forward and backward linkages hamper NOC value creation?
Author: International Monetary Fund. Policy Development and Review Dept.
Author: International Monetary Fund. Policy Development and Review Dept.
Author: Internationaler Währungsfonds
Author: International Monetary Fund. Policy Development and Review Department
Author: The Emirates Center for Strategic Studies and Research
Author: Mr.Rabah Arezki
Author: R. W. Ferrier
Author: Mr.Tokhir N Mirzoev
Author: Michael L. Ross
Author: Arnim Langer
Author: Silvana Tordo