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Author: Hana Polackova Publisher: ISBN: Category : Languages : en Pages :
Book Description
How a price increase in the nontradables sector of a transition economy affects the exchange rate, relative prices, wages, and, indirectly, the movement of factors of production. Polackova analyzes the macroeconomic effects of inflation in the nontradables sector of a small open economy to suggest how different macroeconomic policies would facilitate structural adjustment after price liberalization in a transition economy. She uses a Mundell-Fleming rational expectations model of a two-sector economy to study how inflation in the nontradables sector affects the exchange rate, relative prices, wages, and, indirectly, the movement of factors of production. She applies the analysis to a cut in producer subsidies in the nontradables sector and assesses how macroeconomic policies involving the management of supply and demand might affect government objectives for the economy and redistribution. She concludes that to alleviate the transitory negative effects of a cut in producer subsidies, targeted household transfers combined with a tax cut, if possible, are superior to expansionary monetary and fiscal policies. Making the tax cut less than the cut in subsidies and financing targeted lump-sum household transfers from government savings reduce the risk of poverty and external imbalances. The potential benefits from exchange rate management depend greatly on the level of wage discipline. This paper - a product of the Country Operations Division, Europe and Central Asia, Country Department II - is part of a larger effort in the department to support countries in continuing and sustaining social and economic growth.
Author: Hana Polackova Publisher: ISBN: Category : Languages : en Pages :
Book Description
How a price increase in the nontradables sector of a transition economy affects the exchange rate, relative prices, wages, and, indirectly, the movement of factors of production. Polackova analyzes the macroeconomic effects of inflation in the nontradables sector of a small open economy to suggest how different macroeconomic policies would facilitate structural adjustment after price liberalization in a transition economy. She uses a Mundell-Fleming rational expectations model of a two-sector economy to study how inflation in the nontradables sector affects the exchange rate, relative prices, wages, and, indirectly, the movement of factors of production. She applies the analysis to a cut in producer subsidies in the nontradables sector and assesses how macroeconomic policies involving the management of supply and demand might affect government objectives for the economy and redistribution. She concludes that to alleviate the transitory negative effects of a cut in producer subsidies, targeted household transfers combined with a tax cut, if possible, are superior to expansionary monetary and fiscal policies. Making the tax cut less than the cut in subsidies and financing targeted lump-sum household transfers from government savings reduce the risk of poverty and external imbalances. The potential benefits from exchange rate management depend greatly on the level of wage discipline. This paper - a product of the Country Operations Division, Europe and Central Asia, Country Department II - is part of a larger effort in the department to support countries in continuing and sustaining social and economic growth.
Author: Mr.Marco Airaudo Publisher: International Monetary Fund ISBN: 1475523165 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 65
Book Description
We analyze coordination of monetary and exchange rate policy in a two-sector model of a small open economy featuring imperfect substitution between domestic and foreign financial assets. Our central finding is that management of the exchange rate greatly enhances the efficacy of inflation targeting. In a flexible exchange rate system, inflation targeting incurs a high risk of indeterminacy where macroeconomic fluctuations can be driven by self-fulfilling expectations. Moreover, small inflation shocks may escalate into much larger increases in inflation ex post. Both problems disappear when the central bank leans heavily against the wind in a managed float.
Author: Ms.Sharmini Coorey Publisher: International Monetary Fund ISBN: 1451930062 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 98
Book Description
In light of the persistence of moderate inflation in many transition economies, this paper analyzes whether inflation resulted from insufficiently tight financial policies and wage pressures or from the protracted adjustment of relative prices. Using a new database for 21 countries, the effect of relative price variability on inflation is estimated within a framework controlling for nominal and real shocks. Money and wage growth were the most important determinants of inflation; relative price variability had a sizable effect at high inflation during initial liberalization and a small effect at moderate inflation. Cost recovery may contribute to variability, particularly in the advanced stages of the transition.
Author: Alejandro López Publisher: World Bank Publications ISBN: Category : Languages : en Pages : 40
Book Description
January 1997 The sharp drop in private savings in the 1990s in Colombia can be attributed to a decline in private disposable income and, to a lesser extent, to growth in consumption. The sharp drop in private savings in the 1990s in Colombia can be attributed to a decline in private disposable income and, to a lesser extent, to growth in consumption. The permanent decline in private disposable income in Colombia between 1950 and 1990 is closely linked to tax increases. This trend was accentuated in the early 1990s by a reduction in corporations' gross operating surplus. Contrary to the usual hypothesis, López shows that in the 1990s private consumption had a relatively minor effect on national savings. He highlights two findings: * Private consumption's recent behavior can hardly be called a boom. It declined throughout the second half of the 1980s before finally showing an upturn in 1992 equivalent to 2 percent of gross national product. * Consumption of durable goods after trade reform cannot be blamed for the decline in private savings. In fact, savings began falling in 1988 and, until 1993, trade reform did not cause a stock adjustment of durable goods. This paper - a product of the Macroeconomics and Growth Division, Policy Research Department - is part of a larger effort in the department to assess the determinants of saving.
Author: Hana Polackova
Author: Hana Polackova
Author: Hana Polackova
Author: 
Author: Hana Polackova
Author: Mr.Marco Airaudo
Author: Martha De Melo
Author: Jean Olson Lanjouw
Author: William Easterly
Author: Ms.Sharmini Coorey
Author: Alejandro López