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Author: Wade Donald Pfau Publisher: Retirement Researcher Guid ISBN: 9781945640063 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 368
Book Description
Two fundamentally different philosophies for retirement income planning, which I call probability-based and safety-first, diverge on the critical issue of where a retirement plan is best served: in the risk/reward trade-offs of a diversified and aggressive investment portfolio that relies primarily on the stock market, or in the contractual protections of insurance products that integrate the power of risk pooling and actuarial science alongside investments. The probability-based approach is generally better understood by the public. It advocates using an aggressive investment portfolio with a large allocation to stocks to meet retirement goals. My earlier book How Much Can I Spend in Retirement? A Guide to Investment-Based Retirement Strategies provides an extensive investigation of probability-based approaches. But this investments-only attitude is not the optimal way to build a retirement income plan. There are pitfalls in retirement that we are less familiar with during the accumulation years. The nature of risk changes. Longevity risk is the possibility of living longer than planned, which could mean not having resources to maintain the retiree's standard of living. And once retirement distributions begin, market downturns in the early years can disproportionately harm retirement sustainability. This is sequence-of-returns risk, and it acts to amplify the impacts of market volatility in retirement. Traditional wealth management is not equipped to handle these new risks in a fulfilling way. More assets are required to cover spending goals over a possibly costly retirement triggered by a long life and poor market returns. And yet, there is no assurance that assets will be sufficient. For retirees who are worried about outliving their wealth, probability-based strategies can become excessively conservative and stressful. This book focuses on the other option: safety-first retirement planning. Safety-first advocates support a more bifurcated approach to building retirement income plans that integrates insurance with investments, providing lifetime income protections to cover spending. With risk pooling through insurance, retirees effectively pay an insurance premium that will provide a benefit to support spending in otherwise costly retirements that could deplete an unprotected investment portfolio. Insurance companies can pool sequence and longevity risks across a large base of retirees, much like a traditional defined-benefit company pension plan or Social Security, allowing for retirement spending that is more closely aligned with averages. When bonds are replaced with insurance-based risk pooling assets, retirees can improve the odds of meeting their spending goals while also supporting more legacy at the end of life, especially in the event of a longer-than-average retirement. We walk through this thought process and logic in steps, investigating three basic ways to fund a retirement spending goal: with bonds, with a diversified investment portfolio, and with risk pooling through annuities and life insurance. We consider the potential role for different types of annuities including simple income annuities, variable annuities, and fixed index annuities. I explain how different annuities work and how readers can evaluate them. We also examine the potential for whole life insurance to contribute to a retirement income plan. When we properly consider the range of risks introduced after retirement, I conclude that the integrated strategies preferred by safety-first advocates support more efficient retirement outcomes. Safety-first retirement planning helps to meet financial goals with less worry. This book explains how to evaluate different insurance options and implement these solutions into an integrated retirement plan.
Author: Wade Donald Pfau Publisher: Retirement Researcher Guid ISBN: 9781945640063 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 368
Book Description
Two fundamentally different philosophies for retirement income planning, which I call probability-based and safety-first, diverge on the critical issue of where a retirement plan is best served: in the risk/reward trade-offs of a diversified and aggressive investment portfolio that relies primarily on the stock market, or in the contractual protections of insurance products that integrate the power of risk pooling and actuarial science alongside investments. The probability-based approach is generally better understood by the public. It advocates using an aggressive investment portfolio with a large allocation to stocks to meet retirement goals. My earlier book How Much Can I Spend in Retirement? A Guide to Investment-Based Retirement Strategies provides an extensive investigation of probability-based approaches. But this investments-only attitude is not the optimal way to build a retirement income plan. There are pitfalls in retirement that we are less familiar with during the accumulation years. The nature of risk changes. Longevity risk is the possibility of living longer than planned, which could mean not having resources to maintain the retiree's standard of living. And once retirement distributions begin, market downturns in the early years can disproportionately harm retirement sustainability. This is sequence-of-returns risk, and it acts to amplify the impacts of market volatility in retirement. Traditional wealth management is not equipped to handle these new risks in a fulfilling way. More assets are required to cover spending goals over a possibly costly retirement triggered by a long life and poor market returns. And yet, there is no assurance that assets will be sufficient. For retirees who are worried about outliving their wealth, probability-based strategies can become excessively conservative and stressful. This book focuses on the other option: safety-first retirement planning. Safety-first advocates support a more bifurcated approach to building retirement income plans that integrates insurance with investments, providing lifetime income protections to cover spending. With risk pooling through insurance, retirees effectively pay an insurance premium that will provide a benefit to support spending in otherwise costly retirements that could deplete an unprotected investment portfolio. Insurance companies can pool sequence and longevity risks across a large base of retirees, much like a traditional defined-benefit company pension plan or Social Security, allowing for retirement spending that is more closely aligned with averages. When bonds are replaced with insurance-based risk pooling assets, retirees can improve the odds of meeting their spending goals while also supporting more legacy at the end of life, especially in the event of a longer-than-average retirement. We walk through this thought process and logic in steps, investigating three basic ways to fund a retirement spending goal: with bonds, with a diversified investment portfolio, and with risk pooling through annuities and life insurance. We consider the potential role for different types of annuities including simple income annuities, variable annuities, and fixed index annuities. I explain how different annuities work and how readers can evaluate them. We also examine the potential for whole life insurance to contribute to a retirement income plan. When we properly consider the range of risks introduced after retirement, I conclude that the integrated strategies preferred by safety-first advocates support more efficient retirement outcomes. Safety-first retirement planning helps to meet financial goals with less worry. This book explains how to evaluate different insurance options and implement these solutions into an integrated retirement plan.
Author: Stephen Blumenthal Publisher: Forbesbooks ISBN: 9781946633415 Category : Languages : en Pages : 200
Book Description
HOW TO GROW AND DEFEND YOUR WEALTH What matters when it comes to investing? It's not what you may think. Trade deals, tweets, and more may affect the market for a moment in time, but the reality is most news is just noise-- sound bites that ultimately don't matter. So, what does? Steve Blumenthal has spent his career studying just that. He's seen how that noise encourages investors to behave badly. But you don't have to fall prey to the same mistakes investors routinely make. On My Radar: Navigating Stock Market Cycles explains the ins and outs of what matters: from long- and short-term debt cycles to the merciless math of loss--the concept that compounding interest works differently on the way up than it does on the way down--and the impact of recessions. Then it provides a plan: when to play offense, when to play defense, and how to carefully grow and defend your core wealth in a way that enables you to explore select investment opportunities that may further enhance your wealth. It is a must read for anyone seeking an actionable investment process.
Author: Bernard C. Beaudreau Publisher: Cambridge Scholars Publishing ISBN: 1527542033 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 146
Book Description
In the aftermath of the stock market crash of 1929, Yale University Economics Professor Irving Fisher remained steadfast in his view that the boom in prices had been warranted, pointing to the myriad innovations of the 1920s, including the introduction of the electric unit drive and utility-supplied power. Dismissed by most, this view has since given way to Alan Greenspan’s view of irrational exuberance. This book presents a series of contemporary and period writings which rehabilitate the fundamentals view, showing why Irving Fisher was right. Whereas Fisher was unable to provide a convincing narrative for the crash, these writings point to the Hoover Administration’s tariff initiative, the Smoot-Hawley Tariff Bill, as the key element which contributed to both the boom and the crash.
Author: Chandra Kumar Publisher: Gabbro Books ISBN: 9671260918 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 81
Book Description
It’s May 6, 2010 and in New York it’s 2:40 p.m. You switch to your favorite business channel, wherever you may be in the world, and immediately notice something very unusual going on. Pandemonium comes to mind, and then you see why: The Dow is down almost 1000 points! As you stare at the displayed charts thinking what the hell might be causing this, the major indices almost miraculously recover within minutes. This event, now known as the Flash Crash, changed your perception of the financial markets forever. High Frequency Trading, something you had never heard of, is blamed for the debacle. You listen intently as one expert after another tells you that HFT is the “little guy’s” worst enemy. The machines, the goddamn machines are ruining the markets, you become convinced. Then you hear about Hedge Funds being involved in illegal insider trading, about central banks meddling in the markets, and you throw up your hands in exasperation. Before you decide to give up on the markets, and even if you already have, read this book to separate the facts from the hype. Learn that while there is “bad” HFT, which you must guard against, there is also “good” HFT. On balance, HFT is great for retail investors contrary to the media blitz, and insider trading may become less of an issue in the future. The markets may be treacherous but they are navigable.
Author: Didier Sornette Publisher: Princeton University Press ISBN: 1400885094 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 449
Book Description
The scientific study of complex systems has transformed a wide range of disciplines in recent years, enabling researchers in both the natural and social sciences to model and predict phenomena as diverse as earthquakes, global warming, demographic patterns, financial crises, and the failure of materials. In this book, Didier Sornette boldly applies his varied experience in these areas to propose a simple, powerful, and general theory of how, why, and when stock markets crash. Most attempts to explain market failures seek to pinpoint triggering mechanisms that occur hours, days, or weeks before the collapse. Sornette proposes a radically different view: the underlying cause can be sought months and even years before the abrupt, catastrophic event in the build-up of cooperative speculation, which often translates into an accelerating rise of the market price, otherwise known as a "bubble." Anchoring his sophisticated, step-by-step analysis in leading-edge physical and statistical modeling techniques, he unearths remarkable insights and some predictions--among them, that the "end of the growth era" will occur around 2050. Sornette probes major historical precedents, from the decades-long "tulip mania" in the Netherlands that wilted suddenly in 1637 to the South Sea Bubble that ended with the first huge market crash in England in 1720, to the Great Crash of October 1929 and Black Monday in 1987, to cite just a few. He concludes that most explanations other than cooperative self-organization fail to account for the subtle bubbles by which the markets lay the groundwork for catastrophe. Any investor or investment professional who seeks a genuine understanding of looming financial disasters should read this book. Physicists, geologists, biologists, economists, and others will welcome Why Stock Markets Crash as a highly original "scientific tale," as Sornette aptly puts it, of the exciting and sometimes fearsome--but no longer quite so unfathomable--world of stock markets.
Lobão Publisher: Cambridge Scholars Publishing ISBN: 1527569616 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 260
Book Description
This volume explores some of the latest advances in the field of behavioural finance, one of the most dynamic areas in financial economics today. The book shows how, through its use of insights from psychology to better understand the decisions made by investors and corporate managers, behavioural finance has shed new light on several financial puzzles.
Author: Arshad Khan Publisher: Walter de Gruyter GmbH & Co KG ISBN: 1501519689 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 342
Book Description
This book is ideal for individual investors, financial analysts, portfolio managers, and anyone interested in gaining a deeper understanding of stock market investing. It demystifies the complexities of the stock market, offering insightful strategies and practical advice for investors of all levels. Key topics include laying the groundwork of investing through research, numerous buying strategies, techniques for selling to maximize returns and minimize losses, and using AI integration to master the nuances of risk management. The book covers a wide array of topics to equip you with the knowledge and tools necessary for successful stock investing. FEATURES: Explores the impact of artificial intelligence on stock market investing and how to leverage it for better decision-making Covers foundational concepts to advanced topics to provide a thorough understanding of stock market dynamics Discusses numerous buying and selling techniques for maximizing returns and minimizing losses
Author: Olumayowa Okediran Publisher: War Room Associates ISBN: Category : Social Science Languages : en Pages : 274
Book Description
There are many reasons we all want to see how our future unfolds. Sometimes it is to pre-empt it, other times to prepare for it. Navigate is scenario planning taken on the world's most populous black nation. This book presents a clearer view of how Nigeria's future unfolds from now to 2030. What this book is not is a forecast. Forecast tend to assume the future as a trajectory of the present. Forecasts develop a single certain future around which a strategy must be built. There is not much early warning that the forecast may be wrong. Scenario planning instead understands that there are several possibilities of how the future may play out. Thus, Navigate develops multiple plausible futures for Nigeria to 2030. This will help you decide what strategies to build around those futures so that you, your business or your organization are adequately prepared for multiple eventualities.
Author: Michael Edmondson, Ph.D. Publisher: Lulu.com ISBN: 179470289X Category : Self-Help Languages : en Pages : 452
Book Description
This publication represents over ten years of note taking involving backstories, historical events, and academic research. Once the notes exceeded 200 the idea of a daily question came to mind. This is the third year for the Navigate the Chaos publication that contains 366 daily questions to consider. (2020 is a leap year) Since self-awareness forms the foundation for both personal growth and professional development, these questions served as a daily reminder to think about a critical issue related to your growth as a person and as a professional. Before you start your day, during lunch, or prior to going to bed, consider asking yourself the daily Navigate the Chaos question. See if you can find a few minutes to reflect upon a specific trait, habit, or idea. Dedicating a few minutes each day can help you increase your self-awareness as you look to grow personally and professionally.
Author: Peter D. Schiff Publisher: John Wiley & Sons ISBN: 111877020X Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 415
Book Description
Straight answers to every question you've ever had about how the economy works and how it affects your life In this Collector's Edition of their celebrated How an Economy Grows and Why It Crashes, Peter Schiff, economic expert and bestselling author of Crash Proof and The Real Crash, once again teams up with his brother Andrew to spin a lively economic fable that untangles many of the fallacies preventing people from really understanding what drives an economy. The 2010 original has been described as a “Flintstones” take economics that entertainingly explains the beauty of free markets. The new edition has been greatly expanded in both quantity and quality. A new introduction and two new illustrated chapters bring the story up to date, and most importantly, the book makes the jump from black and white to full and vivid color. With the help of colorful cartoon illustrations, lively humor, and deceptively simple storytelling, the Schiff's bring the complex subjects of inflation, monetary policy, recession, and other important topics in economics down to Earth. The story starts with three guys on an island who barely survive by fishing barehanded. Then one enterprising islander invents a net, catches more fish, and changes the island’s economy fundamentally. Using this story the Schiffs apply their signature take-no-prisoners logic to expose the glaring fallacies and gaping holes permeating the global economic conversation. The Collector’s Edition: Provides straight answers about how economies work, without relying on nonsensical jargon and mind-numbing doublespeak the experts use to cover up their confusion Includes a new introduction that sets the stage for developing a deeper, more practical understanding of inflation and the abuses of the monetary system Adds two new chapters that dissect the Federal Reserve’s Quantitative easing policies and the European Debt Crisis. Colorizes the original book's hundreds of cartoon illustrations. The improved images, executed by artist Brendan Leach from the original book, add new vigor to the presentation Has a larger format that has been designed to fit most coffee tables. While the story may appear simple on the surface, as told by the Schiff brothers, it will leave you with a deep understanding of How an Economy Grows and Why It Crashes.
Author: Wade Donald Pfau
Author: Wade Donald Pfau
Author: Stephen Blumenthal
Author: Bernard C. Beaudreau
Author: Chandra Kumar
Author: Didier Sornette
Author: Júlio
Author: Arshad Khan
Author: Olumayowa Okediran
Author: Michael Edmondson, Ph.D.
Author: Peter D. Schiff