Author: Richard Bernstein
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 0471735922
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 273
Book Description
Transform today's surplus of investment information into a high-level investment strategy In an investment climate characterized by rapidly increasing access to information, it has become a real problem to sort out the legitimate financial advice, grounded in traditional analysis, from the constant stream of useless information, or "noise." Such "noise", through technological advances such as the Internet, has become widespread. This overload of information is hurting investors, since it makes real analysis based on factual inference harder to come by. This book steers investors through the "noise" to show them where and how to find solid investment information. This step-by-step guide is based on a very popular presentation the author makes to new private clients at Merrill Lynch. Richard Bernstein (New York, NY) is First Vice President and Chief Quantitative Strategist at Merrill Lynch & Company. Prior to joining Merrill Lynch, he worked for E. F. Hutton and Tucker Anthony. He has been voted to the Institutional Investor All-America Research Team in each of the last eight years, and has appeared on Wall Street Week with Louis Rukeyser.
Navigate the Noise
Author: Richard Bernstein
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 0471735922
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 273
Book Description
Transform today's surplus of investment information into a high-level investment strategy In an investment climate characterized by rapidly increasing access to information, it has become a real problem to sort out the legitimate financial advice, grounded in traditional analysis, from the constant stream of useless information, or "noise." Such "noise", through technological advances such as the Internet, has become widespread. This overload of information is hurting investors, since it makes real analysis based on factual inference harder to come by. This book steers investors through the "noise" to show them where and how to find solid investment information. This step-by-step guide is based on a very popular presentation the author makes to new private clients at Merrill Lynch. Richard Bernstein (New York, NY) is First Vice President and Chief Quantitative Strategist at Merrill Lynch & Company. Prior to joining Merrill Lynch, he worked for E. F. Hutton and Tucker Anthony. He has been voted to the Institutional Investor All-America Research Team in each of the last eight years, and has appeared on Wall Street Week with Louis Rukeyser.
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 0471735922
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 273
Book Description
Transform today's surplus of investment information into a high-level investment strategy In an investment climate characterized by rapidly increasing access to information, it has become a real problem to sort out the legitimate financial advice, grounded in traditional analysis, from the constant stream of useless information, or "noise." Such "noise", through technological advances such as the Internet, has become widespread. This overload of information is hurting investors, since it makes real analysis based on factual inference harder to come by. This book steers investors through the "noise" to show them where and how to find solid investment information. This step-by-step guide is based on a very popular presentation the author makes to new private clients at Merrill Lynch. Richard Bernstein (New York, NY) is First Vice President and Chief Quantitative Strategist at Merrill Lynch & Company. Prior to joining Merrill Lynch, he worked for E. F. Hutton and Tucker Anthony. He has been voted to the Institutional Investor All-America Research Team in each of the last eight years, and has appeared on Wall Street Week with Louis Rukeyser.
Noise
Author: Joseph McCormack
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 139432426X
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 309
Book Description
Teaches managers and leaders to cut through the static and hone their focusing skills In the current digital age, it is becoming increasingly more difficult to stay focused. Smartphones, tablets, smart watches, and other devices constantly vie for our attention. In both business and life, we are constantly bombarded with tweets, likes, mentions, and a constant stream of information. The inability to pay attention impacts learning, parenting, prioritizing, and leading. Not surprisingly, attention spans have gotten shorter. Already being pulled in a dozen directions every minute, managers and business leaders often struggle to address important issues and focus on everything that needs attention. Noise: Living and Leading When Nobody Can Focus teaches managers and leaders how to help themselves and others sharpen their focusing skills. In this follow-up to his first book Brief—the proven, step-by-step approach to clear, concise, and effective communication—author Joseph McCormack helps readers cut through the static and devote their attention to what is important. This engaging, informative book will help you: Apply effective, real-world techniques to hone your focus and reduce interference Learn the lessons taught to organizations such as Harley-Davidson, BMO Harris Bank, MasterCard, and the US Army Understand how modern technology can actually strengthen your focus if used correctly Avoid becoming a casualty of “weapons of mass distraction” Noise: Living and Leading When Nobody Can Focus is a valuable resource for leaders and managers seeking to develop laser-sharp focus and apply it to everything you do.
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 139432426X
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 309
Book Description
Teaches managers and leaders to cut through the static and hone their focusing skills In the current digital age, it is becoming increasingly more difficult to stay focused. Smartphones, tablets, smart watches, and other devices constantly vie for our attention. In both business and life, we are constantly bombarded with tweets, likes, mentions, and a constant stream of information. The inability to pay attention impacts learning, parenting, prioritizing, and leading. Not surprisingly, attention spans have gotten shorter. Already being pulled in a dozen directions every minute, managers and business leaders often struggle to address important issues and focus on everything that needs attention. Noise: Living and Leading When Nobody Can Focus teaches managers and leaders how to help themselves and others sharpen their focusing skills. In this follow-up to his first book Brief—the proven, step-by-step approach to clear, concise, and effective communication—author Joseph McCormack helps readers cut through the static and devote their attention to what is important. This engaging, informative book will help you: Apply effective, real-world techniques to hone your focus and reduce interference Learn the lessons taught to organizations such as Harley-Davidson, BMO Harris Bank, MasterCard, and the US Army Understand how modern technology can actually strengthen your focus if used correctly Avoid becoming a casualty of “weapons of mass distraction” Noise: Living and Leading When Nobody Can Focus is a valuable resource for leaders and managers seeking to develop laser-sharp focus and apply it to everything you do.
MindRight
Author: Kevin Stacey
Publisher:
ISBN: 9780578486000
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :
Book Description
It's estimated that we think around 50,000 thoughts a day. That's a lot of noise. Realistically, the noise is never going to stop. Much of what we think about is negative, counterproductive, or not based on reality. Neuroscience teaches us that our brains have a negativity bias. Internal fake news is the worst kind of since it's mostly personal, negative, and repetitive. Every thought that we entertain with emotion creates a physical reaction and impacts our outputs and performance.The problem isn't that we have negative thoughts; the problem is that we believe and pay attention to them. The prerequisite for success and a peaceful life is getting your mind right. We forget that happiness does not come from a success; success comes from happiness. When your mind is right, you're thinking the right way and doing the right things to create success. It's also about what you expect or envision for yourself. This is vital since we only allow ourselves the degree of success that's consistent with our self-concept and what we believe we deserve. This book teaches you how to be more mindful, mentally tough and resilient. It offers a primer in psychological performance improvement training- how to begin re-wiring your brain to get it in tune with what you want, not what you fear. How you navigate your noise is one of the most important factors in your overall experience in life, and statements about you has a human being. Learn how to change your relationship to your thoughts as sometimes we need to ignore the noise. At times we need to turn up the volume on the noise to get clear on the outrageous blanket statements and automatic negative thoughts our brains create. At times we need to fight the inner critic by doing cognitive restructuring- editing and re-framing what you tell yourself. This helps you counter cognitive distortions, entrenched negativity, and use your mind to train your brain.At times we need to take a break and let the noise be; at times we need to quiet the noise to get our brain still.
Publisher:
ISBN: 9780578486000
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :
Book Description
It's estimated that we think around 50,000 thoughts a day. That's a lot of noise. Realistically, the noise is never going to stop. Much of what we think about is negative, counterproductive, or not based on reality. Neuroscience teaches us that our brains have a negativity bias. Internal fake news is the worst kind of since it's mostly personal, negative, and repetitive. Every thought that we entertain with emotion creates a physical reaction and impacts our outputs and performance.The problem isn't that we have negative thoughts; the problem is that we believe and pay attention to them. The prerequisite for success and a peaceful life is getting your mind right. We forget that happiness does not come from a success; success comes from happiness. When your mind is right, you're thinking the right way and doing the right things to create success. It's also about what you expect or envision for yourself. This is vital since we only allow ourselves the degree of success that's consistent with our self-concept and what we believe we deserve. This book teaches you how to be more mindful, mentally tough and resilient. It offers a primer in psychological performance improvement training- how to begin re-wiring your brain to get it in tune with what you want, not what you fear. How you navigate your noise is one of the most important factors in your overall experience in life, and statements about you has a human being. Learn how to change your relationship to your thoughts as sometimes we need to ignore the noise. At times we need to turn up the volume on the noise to get clear on the outrageous blanket statements and automatic negative thoughts our brains create. At times we need to fight the inner critic by doing cognitive restructuring- editing and re-framing what you tell yourself. This helps you counter cognitive distortions, entrenched negativity, and use your mind to train your brain.At times we need to take a break and let the noise be; at times we need to quiet the noise to get our brain still.
Kill the Noise
Author: Ryan Ries
Publisher: FaithWords
ISBN: 1546017437
Category : Religion
Languages : en
Pages : 224
Book Description
It doesn't matter who you are or what you've done—God wants a relationship with you. Social media, television, video games, drugs, pornography – there is so much noise distracting us from what is important in life that it is nearly impossible to hear God’s truth that He will take you as you are. When we finally kill the noise of the world, we’ll discover in the silence a loving Savior who is waiting to forgive us and offer us a purpose for our lives. Ryan Ries is living proof of this truth. Growing up in Los Angeles as the son of a mega-church pastor but surrounded by the music, skate, and snowboard industries, Ryan felt a tug-of-war between the church and the world. It was in the skate and music culture that he found his passion and his identity. As a result, he walked away from God and dove head first into the world, losing his way in alcohol, drugs, and sex, which led to anxiety, brokenness, and emptiness. Kill the Noise tells Ryan’s story about finding God in the messiness of life, and lets you know how you too can find peace, joy, and purpose in Jesus Christ. This book will be a tool to help you kill the noise of the world so you can hear God’s voice telling you that He loves you and that you belong to Him.
Publisher: FaithWords
ISBN: 1546017437
Category : Religion
Languages : en
Pages : 224
Book Description
It doesn't matter who you are or what you've done—God wants a relationship with you. Social media, television, video games, drugs, pornography – there is so much noise distracting us from what is important in life that it is nearly impossible to hear God’s truth that He will take you as you are. When we finally kill the noise of the world, we’ll discover in the silence a loving Savior who is waiting to forgive us and offer us a purpose for our lives. Ryan Ries is living proof of this truth. Growing up in Los Angeles as the son of a mega-church pastor but surrounded by the music, skate, and snowboard industries, Ryan felt a tug-of-war between the church and the world. It was in the skate and music culture that he found his passion and his identity. As a result, he walked away from God and dove head first into the world, losing his way in alcohol, drugs, and sex, which led to anxiety, brokenness, and emptiness. Kill the Noise tells Ryan’s story about finding God in the messiness of life, and lets you know how you too can find peace, joy, and purpose in Jesus Christ. This book will be a tool to help you kill the noise of the world so you can hear God’s voice telling you that He loves you and that you belong to Him.
Noise
Author: Daniel Kahneman
Publisher: Little, Brown
ISBN: 031645138X
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 429
Book Description
From the Nobel Prize-winning author of Thinking, Fast and Slow and the coauthor of Nudge, a revolutionary exploration of why people make bad judgments and how to make better ones—"a tour de force” (New York Times). Imagine that two doctors in the same city give different diagnoses to identical patients—or that two judges in the same courthouse give markedly different sentences to people who have committed the same crime. Suppose that different interviewers at the same firm make different decisions about indistinguishable job applicants—or that when a company is handling customer complaints, the resolution depends on who happens to answer the phone. Now imagine that the same doctor, the same judge, the same interviewer, or the same customer service agent makes different decisions depending on whether it is morning or afternoon, or Monday rather than Wednesday. These are examples of noise: variability in judgments that should be identical. In Noise, Daniel Kahneman, Olivier Sibony, and Cass R. Sunstein show the detrimental effects of noise in many fields, including medicine, law, economic forecasting, forensic science, bail, child protection, strategy, performance reviews, and personnel selection. Wherever there is judgment, there is noise. Yet, most of the time, individuals and organizations alike are unaware of it. They neglect noise. With a few simple remedies, people can reduce both noise and bias, and so make far better decisions. Packed with original ideas, and offering the same kinds of research-based insights that made Thinking, Fast and Slow and Nudge groundbreaking New York Times bestsellers, Noise explains how and why humans are so susceptible to noise in judgment—and what we can do about it.
Publisher: Little, Brown
ISBN: 031645138X
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 429
Book Description
From the Nobel Prize-winning author of Thinking, Fast and Slow and the coauthor of Nudge, a revolutionary exploration of why people make bad judgments and how to make better ones—"a tour de force” (New York Times). Imagine that two doctors in the same city give different diagnoses to identical patients—or that two judges in the same courthouse give markedly different sentences to people who have committed the same crime. Suppose that different interviewers at the same firm make different decisions about indistinguishable job applicants—or that when a company is handling customer complaints, the resolution depends on who happens to answer the phone. Now imagine that the same doctor, the same judge, the same interviewer, or the same customer service agent makes different decisions depending on whether it is morning or afternoon, or Monday rather than Wednesday. These are examples of noise: variability in judgments that should be identical. In Noise, Daniel Kahneman, Olivier Sibony, and Cass R. Sunstein show the detrimental effects of noise in many fields, including medicine, law, economic forecasting, forensic science, bail, child protection, strategy, performance reviews, and personnel selection. Wherever there is judgment, there is noise. Yet, most of the time, individuals and organizations alike are unaware of it. They neglect noise. With a few simple remedies, people can reduce both noise and bias, and so make far better decisions. Packed with original ideas, and offering the same kinds of research-based insights that made Thinking, Fast and Slow and Nudge groundbreaking New York Times bestsellers, Noise explains how and why humans are so susceptible to noise in judgment—and what we can do about it.
The Signal and the Noise
Author: Nate Silver
Publisher: Penguin
ISBN: 0143125087
Category : Political Science
Languages : en
Pages : 577
Book Description
"One of the more momentous books of the decade." —The New York Times Book Review Nate Silver built an innovative system for predicting baseball performance, predicted the 2008 election within a hair’s breadth, and became a national sensation as a blogger—all by the time he was thirty. He solidified his standing as the nation's foremost political forecaster with his near perfect prediction of the 2012 election. Silver is the founder and editor in chief of the website FiveThirtyEight. Drawing on his own groundbreaking work, Silver examines the world of prediction, investigating how we can distinguish a true signal from a universe of noisy data. Most predictions fail, often at great cost to society, because most of us have a poor understanding of probability and uncertainty. Both experts and laypeople mistake more confident predictions for more accurate ones. But overconfidence is often the reason for failure. If our appreciation of uncertainty improves, our predictions can get better too. This is the “prediction paradox”: The more humility we have about our ability to make predictions, the more successful we can be in planning for the future. In keeping with his own aim to seek truth from data, Silver visits the most successful forecasters in a range of areas, from hurricanes to baseball to global pandemics, from the poker table to the stock market, from Capitol Hill to the NBA. He explains and evaluates how these forecasters think and what bonds they share. What lies behind their success? Are they good—or just lucky? What patterns have they unraveled? And are their forecasts really right? He explores unanticipated commonalities and exposes unexpected juxtapositions. And sometimes, it is not so much how good a prediction is in an absolute sense that matters but how good it is relative to the competition. In other cases, prediction is still a very rudimentary—and dangerous—science. Silver observes that the most accurate forecasters tend to have a superior command of probability, and they tend to be both humble and hardworking. They distinguish the predictable from the unpredictable, and they notice a thousand little details that lead them closer to the truth. Because of their appreciation of probability, they can distinguish the signal from the noise. With everything from the health of the global economy to our ability to fight terrorism dependent on the quality of our predictions, Nate Silver’s insights are an essential read.
Publisher: Penguin
ISBN: 0143125087
Category : Political Science
Languages : en
Pages : 577
Book Description
"One of the more momentous books of the decade." —The New York Times Book Review Nate Silver built an innovative system for predicting baseball performance, predicted the 2008 election within a hair’s breadth, and became a national sensation as a blogger—all by the time he was thirty. He solidified his standing as the nation's foremost political forecaster with his near perfect prediction of the 2012 election. Silver is the founder and editor in chief of the website FiveThirtyEight. Drawing on his own groundbreaking work, Silver examines the world of prediction, investigating how we can distinguish a true signal from a universe of noisy data. Most predictions fail, often at great cost to society, because most of us have a poor understanding of probability and uncertainty. Both experts and laypeople mistake more confident predictions for more accurate ones. But overconfidence is often the reason for failure. If our appreciation of uncertainty improves, our predictions can get better too. This is the “prediction paradox”: The more humility we have about our ability to make predictions, the more successful we can be in planning for the future. In keeping with his own aim to seek truth from data, Silver visits the most successful forecasters in a range of areas, from hurricanes to baseball to global pandemics, from the poker table to the stock market, from Capitol Hill to the NBA. He explains and evaluates how these forecasters think and what bonds they share. What lies behind their success? Are they good—or just lucky? What patterns have they unraveled? And are their forecasts really right? He explores unanticipated commonalities and exposes unexpected juxtapositions. And sometimes, it is not so much how good a prediction is in an absolute sense that matters but how good it is relative to the competition. In other cases, prediction is still a very rudimentary—and dangerous—science. Silver observes that the most accurate forecasters tend to have a superior command of probability, and they tend to be both humble and hardworking. They distinguish the predictable from the unpredictable, and they notice a thousand little details that lead them closer to the truth. Because of their appreciation of probability, they can distinguish the signal from the noise. With everything from the health of the global economy to our ability to fight terrorism dependent on the quality of our predictions, Nate Silver’s insights are an essential read.
Symposia
Author: Defense Documentation Center (U.S.)
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Congresses and conventions
Languages : en
Pages : 290
Book Description
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Congresses and conventions
Languages : en
Pages : 290
Book Description
Aids to Navigation
Author: United States. Congress. House. Committee on Interstate and Foreign Commerce
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Lighthouses
Languages : en
Pages : 150
Book Description
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Lighthouses
Languages : en
Pages : 150
Book Description