Natural Gas Price Volatility in the UK and North America PDF Download

Author: Sofya Alterman
Publisher:
ISBN: 9781907555435
Category : Gas industry
Languages : en
Pages : 50

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Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 0

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Author: Marcela Rosas
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Gas industry
Languages : en
Pages : 17

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Author: Thomas Joseph Fazzio
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 71

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This paper attempts to understand the price dynamics of the North American natural gas market through a statistical survey that includes an analysis of the variables influencing the price and volatility of this energy market. The analysis develops a theoretical model for the conditional reactions to weekly natural gas inventory reports, and develops an extended theory of errors in natural gas inventory estimates. The central objective of this thesis is to answer the fundamental question of whether the volatility of natural gas futures are conditional on the season or the level of the natural gas in inventory and how accurate are analysts at forecasting the inventory level. Commodity prices are volatile, and volatility itself varies over time. I examine the role of volatility in shortrun natural gas market dynamics and the determinants of error in inventory estimates leading to this variance. I develop a structural model that equates the conditional volatility response to the error made in analyst forecasts, inherently relating analyst sentiment to volatility and price discovery. I find that in the extremes of the inventory cycle (i.e., near peak injection/withdraw) that variance is particularly strong, and significantly higher than non-announcement days. The high announcement day volatility reflects larger price changes. With statistical significance, we can conclude that when the natural gas market is under-supplied, the near-term Henry Hub Natural Gas futures contract becomes nearly twice as volatile than in an oversupplied market. Furthemore, analysts are more prone to make errors in their estimates of weekly inventory levels around these same time periods. Natural gas is an essential natural resource and is used in myriad aspects of the global economy and society. As we look to develop more sustainable energy policies, North America's abundant clean-burning natural gas will hold an essential role in helping us to secure our future energy independence. An ability to understand the factors influencing it is supply and demand, and thus price, are and will continue to be essential.

Author: Jonathan Stern
Publisher: Oxford Institute for Energy Studies
ISBN: 9780199661060
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 0

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A volume on the pricing of gas in international trade. Gas accounts for around 25% of global energy demand and international gas trade is growing rapidly. The book covers the development of international gas pricing in all regions of the world where gas is traded, and considers whether gas could become a global market.

Author: David Long
Publisher: Elsevier
ISBN: 1855738511
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 641

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Since its launch in 2001, Gas Trading Manual (GTM) has established itself as the leading information source on the international gas market. Compiled from the contributions of some of the most senior and widely respected figures in the trade, this edition provides detailed and accurate analysis on all aspects of this complex business from the geography of gas through to the markets, trading instruments, contracts, gas pricing, accounting and taxation. This edition further enhances its reputation as the indispensable practical companion for all those involved in the trading of gas.

Author: Sandu-Daniel Kopp
Publisher: Springer
ISBN: 3658083247
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 324

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Sandu-Daniel Kopp investigates whether carbon reduction targets are compatible with market-driven competition in gas (and power) industries, and whether security of supply is compatible with competitive markets. He examines the policy trade-offs which need to be made between the three different elements, and whether these policy judgements should be economically or politically based. The analysis shows the need for a complex set of politically determined options to protect (competitive) markets from price risks and emergency events and demonstrates that this has thus far failed the policy test. Overall, the author argues that the three major elements of EU energy policy are incompatible in important respects and thereby challenges much of the conventional wisdom of EU and Member State policies of the past decade.

Author: Robert Clews
Publisher: Academic Press
ISBN: 0128005297
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 416

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This overview of project finance for the oil and gas industry covers financial markets, sources and providers of finance, financial structures, and capital raising processes. About US$300 billion of project finance debt is raised annually across several capital intensive sectors—including oil and gas, energy, infrastructure, and mining—and the oil and gas industry represents around 30% of the global project finance market. With over 25 year’s project finance experience in international banking and industry, author Robert Clews explores project finance techniques and their effectiveness in the petroleum industry. He highlights the petroleum industry players, risks, economics, and commercial/legal arrangements. With petroleum industry projects representing amongst the largest industrial activities in the world, this book ties together concepts and tools through real examples and aims to ensure that project finance will continue to play a central role in bringing together investors and lenders to finance these ventures. Combines the theory and practice of raising long-term funding for capital intensive projects with insights about the appeal of project finance to the international oil and gas industry Includes case studies and examples covering projects in the Arctic, East Africa, Latin America, North America, and Australia Emphasizes the full downstream value chain of the industry instead of limiting itself to upstream and pipeline project financing Highlights petroleum industry players, risks, economics, and commercial and legal arrangements

Author: Shell International B.V.
Publisher: Springer
ISBN: 3319597345
Category : Science
Languages : en
Pages : 515

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This book is open access under a CC BY 4.0 license. This book examines how China can increase the share of natural gas in its energy system. China’s energy strategy has global ramifications and impact, and central to this strategy is the country’s transition from coal to gas. The book presents the culmination of a two-year collaboration between the Development Research Center of the State Council (DRC) and Shell. With the Chinese government’s strategic aim to increase the share of gas in the energy mix from 5.8% in 2014 to 10% and 15% in 2020 and 2030 respectively, the book outlines how China can achieve its gas targets. Providing both quantifiable metrics and policy measures for the transition, it is a much needed addition to the literature on Chinese energy policy. The research and the resulting recommendations of this study have fed directly into the Chinese government’s 13th Five-Year Plan, and provide unique insights into the Chinese government and policy-making. Due to its global impact, the book is a valuable resource for policy makers in both China and the rest of the world.

Author: Christopher Decker
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 1139992139
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 489

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Book Description
Drawing from the most recent work on economic regulation, this book introduces readers to the main principles and examines how economic regulation is applied in four key public utility industries - electricity, gas, water and telecommunications. Written for students and practitioners with little prior knowledge of economic regulation, this is an accessible, non-technical entry point to the subject area, exploring the fundamental questions: Why do we regulate? What are alternatives to regulation? Which institutions are involved in regulation? What have been the impacts of regulation? Readers will gain a clear understanding of the basic principles that apply to all regulated sectors, as well as the regulatory choices that reflect the specific economic and physical characteristics of different industries. Case studies demonstrate connections between regulatory theory and practice, and extensive references provide readers with resources for more in-depth study.