Author: Shin-Ichi NishiyamaPublisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :
Book Description
Monetary Policy Lag, Zero Lower Bound, and Inflation Targeting
Author: Shin-Ichi NishiyamaMonetary Policy Lag, Zero Lower Bound, and Inflation Targeting. January 2009
Author: Bank of CanadaInflation Targeting, the Zero Lower Bound and Post-crisis Monetary Policy
Author: Alexandru CiunguWhy Inflation Targeting?
Author: Charles FreedmanPublisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 145187233X
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 27
Book Description
This is the second chapter of a forthcoming monograph entitled "On Implementing Full-Fledged Inflation-Targeting Regimes: Saying What You Do and Doing What You Say." We begin by discussing the costs of inflation, including their role in generating boom-bust cycles. Following a general discussion of the need for a nominal anchor, we describe a specific type of monetary anchor, the inflation-targeting regime, and its two key intellectual roots-the absence of long-run trade-offs and the time-inconsistency problem. We conclude by providing a brief introduction to the way in which inflation targeting works.
Monetary Policy in a Low Inflation Economy with Learning
Author: John C. WilliamsPublisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 28
Book Description
In theory, monetary policies that target the price level, as opposed to the inflation rate, should be highly effective at stabilizing the economy and avoiding deflation in the presence of the zero lower bound on nominal interest rates. With such a policy, if the short-term interest rate is constrained at zero and the inflation rate declines below its trend, the public expects that policy will eventually engineer a period of above-trend inflation that restores the price level to its target level. Expectations of future monetary accommodation stimulate output and inflation today, mitigating the effects of the zero bound. The effectiveness of such a policy strategy depends crucially on the alignment of the public's and the central bank's expectations of future policy actions. In this paper, we consider an environment where private agents have imperfect knowledge of the economy and therefore continuously reestimate the forecasting model that they use to form expectations. We find that imperfect knowledge on the part of the public, especially regarding monetary policy, can undermine the effectiveness of price-level-targeting strategies that would work well if the public had complete knowledge. For low inflation targets, the zero lower bound can cause a dramatic deterioration in macroeconomic performance with severe recessions occurring with alarming frequency. However, effective communication of the policy strategy that reduces the public's confusion about the future course of monetary policy significantly reduces the stabilization costs associated with the zero bound. Finally, the combination of learning and the zero bound implies the need for a stronger policy response to movements in the price level than would otherwise be optimal and such a rule is effective at stabilizing both inflation and output in the presence of learning and the zero bound even with a low inflation target.
Monetary Policy, Asset-price Bubbles and the Zero Lower Bound
Author: Tim RobinsonPublisher:
ISBN:
Category : Deflation (Finance)
Languages : en
Pages : 68
Book Description
"We use a simple model of a closed economy to study the recommendations of monetary policy-makers, attempting to respond optimally to an asset-price bubble whose stochastic properties they understand. We focus on the impact which the zero lower bound (ZLB) on nominal interest rates has on the recommendations of such policy-makers. For a given target inflation rate, we identify several different forms of 'insurance' which policy-makers could potentially take out against encountering the ZLB due to the future bursting of a bubble. Even with perfect knowledge of the bubble process, however, which of these will be optimal varies from one type of bubble to another and, for certain bubbles, from one period to the next. It is therefore difficult to say whether the ZLB should cause policy-makers to operate policy more tightly or loosely than they would otherwise do, while a bubble is growing -- even after abstracting from the informational difficulties they face in practice. We also examine the implications of the ZLB for policy-makers' preferences as to their inflation target. Policy-makers who wish to avoid concerns about the ZLB should take care not to set too low a target -- especially if the neutral real interest rate is low"--National Bureau of Economic Research web site.
Monetary Policy and the Lost Decade
Author: Mr.Daniel LeighPublisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1451873794
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 35
Book Description
This paper investigates how monetary policy can help ward off a protracted deflationary slump when policy rates are near the zero bound by studying the experience of Japan during the "Lost Decade" which followed the asset-price bubble collapse in the early 1990s. Estimation results based on a structural model suggest that the Bank of Japan's interest-rate policy fits a conventional forward-looking reaction function with an inflation target of about 1 percent. The disappointing economic performance thus seems primarily due to a series of adverse economic shocks rather than an extraordinary policy error. In addition, counterfactual policy simulations based on the estimated structural model suggest that simply raising the inflation target would not have yielded a lasting improvement in performance. However, a price-targeting rule or a policy rule that combined a higher inflation target with a more aggressive response to output would have achieved superior stabilization results.
Monetary Policy, Asset-price Bubble and the Zero Lower Bound
Author: Tim RobinsonPublisher:
ISBN:
Category : Deflation (Finance) - Mathematical models
Languages : en
Pages : 46
Book Description
Monetary Policy Under Flexible Exchange Rates
Author: Pierre-Richard AgénorPublisher: World Bank Publications
ISBN:
Category : Economic stabilization
Languages : en
Pages : 100
Book Description
Monetary Policy and the Housing Bubble
Author: Jane DokkoPublisher:
ISBN:
Category : Monetary policy
Languages : en
Pages : 76
Book Description