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Author: Anke Weber Publisher: International Monetary Fund ISBN: 1451982631 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 43
Book Description
This paper considers optimal communication by monetary policy committees in a model of imperfect knowledge and learning. The main policy implications are that there may be costs to central bank communication if the public is perpetually learning about the committee's decision-making process and policy preferences. When committee members have heterogeneous policy preferences, welfare is greater under majority voting than under consensus decision-making. Furthermore, central bank communication under majority voting is more likely to be beneficial in this case. It is also shown that a chairman with stable policy preferences who carries significant weight in the monetary policy decision-making process is welfare enhancing.
Author: Anke Weber Publisher: International Monetary Fund ISBN: 1451982631 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 43
Book Description
This paper considers optimal communication by monetary policy committees in a model of imperfect knowledge and learning. The main policy implications are that there may be costs to central bank communication if the public is perpetually learning about the committee's decision-making process and policy preferences. When committee members have heterogeneous policy preferences, welfare is greater under majority voting than under consensus decision-making. Furthermore, central bank communication under majority voting is more likely to be beneficial in this case. It is also shown that a chairman with stable policy preferences who carries significant weight in the monetary policy decision-making process is welfare enhancing.
Author: Anke Weber Publisher: ISBN: Category : Languages : en Pages : 60
Book Description
This paper develops a theoretical model of dynamic decision-making of a monetary policy committee with heterogeneous members. It investigates the optimal transparency, and the optimal way of transmitting information of committees, by analysing the effects different communication strategies have on financial markets. It is shown that the communication strategy of the central bank committee has a significant effect on the predictability of monetary policy decisions when there is asymmetric information between the committee and market agents. Transparency about the diversity of views of the committee surrounding the economic outlook makes future monetary policy more predictable. However, communicating the diversity of views regarding monetary policy decisions may lead to less predictability of monetary policy in the short term. In addition, it is shown that communication in the form of voting records has the greatest effect on market participants' near term policy expectations. These results support findings of the empirical literature and have strong implications for the optimal communication strategies of committees including the question whether individual voting records should be published.
Author: Publisher: ISBN: 9789284689040 Category : Languages : en Pages : 40
Book Description
This paper examines the importance of communication of monetary policy in the light of the complex challenges central banks face post-GFC in their role as "crisis managers", confronting financial stability concerns, the economic consequences of the COVID-19 pandemic and the risks arising from climate change and unsustainable activities. Effective central bank communication becomes ever more critical in order to preserve credibility and legitimacy. Such communication is an important component of accountability. This paper does not deal with the supervisory function of the ECB; the focus is the monetary policy of the ECB.
Author: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System Publisher: ISBN: 9780894991967 Category : Banks and Banking Languages : en Pages : 0
Book Description
Provides an in-depth overview of the Federal Reserve System, including information about monetary policy and the economy, the Federal Reserve in the international sphere, supervision and regulation, consumer and community affairs and services offered by Reserve Banks. Contains several appendixes, including a brief explanation of Federal Reserve regulations, a glossary of terms, and a list of additional publications.
Author: Peter J. N. Sinclair Publisher: Routledge ISBN: 1135179778 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 402
Book Description
Inflation is regarded by the many as a menace that damages business and can only make life worse for households. Keeping it low depends critically on ensuring that firms and workers expect it to be low. So expectations of inflation are a key influence on national economic welfare. This collection pulls together a galaxy of world experts (including Roy Batchelor, Richard Curtin and Staffan Linden) on inflation expectations to debate different aspects of the issues involved. The main focus of the volume is on likely inflation developments. A number of factors have led practitioners and academic observers of monetary policy to place increasing emphasis recently on inflation expectations. One is the spread of inflation targeting, invented in New Zealand over 15 years ago, but now encompassing many important economies including Brazil, Canada, Israel and Great Britain. Even more significantly, the European Central Bank, the Bank of Japan and the United States Federal Bank are the leading members of another group of monetary institutions all considering or implementing moves in the same direction. A second is the large reduction in actual inflation that has been observed in most countries over the past decade or so. These considerations underscore the critical – and largely underrecognized - importance of inflation expectations. They emphasize the importance of the issues, and the great need for a volume that offers a clear, systematic treatment of them. This book, under the steely editorship of Peter Sinclair, should prove very important for policy makers and monetary economists alike.
Author: Mr.Ales Bulir Publisher: International Monetary Fund ISBN: 146393114X Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 24
Book Description
This paper examines whether the clarity of central bank communication about inflation has changed with the economic environment. We use readability statistics and content analysis to study the clarity of communication on the inflation outlook by seven central banks between 1997 and 2010. Overall, we find no strong indications that central banks were less clear in explaining their policies when faced with higher uncertainty or a less favorable inflation outlook. The global financial crisis, however, did have a negative impact on clarity of central bank communication.
Author: Paul Tucker Publisher: ISBN: Category : Languages : en Pages : 0
Book Description
In these remarks, Paul Tucker, Executive Director for Markets and Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) member, notes that social, political and historic factors affect the choice of monetary policy decision-making structures in different countries. In the United Kingdom, the MPC sets Bank Rate on a one member, one vote basis, and so compared with other central banks, is at the 'individualistic' end of the spectrum. But there are centripetal forces at work too: MPC members are incentivised to listen to one another, learn and persuade by careful analysis; and some MPC communications, such as the quarterly Inflation Report, are based on a shared understanding of the economy. The more collective Committee statements provide a backdrop for individual members' statements, and help to reduce the risk, aired by some commentators, of 'cacophony' in communications impeding the effectiveness of policy. As for the current conjuncture, he notes that because of the financial market turmoil, the short-term risk-free rate of interest may not be a summary statistic of monetary conditions in the usual way. Consequently it is necessary to undertake a richer analysis of monetary and credit conditions.
Author: Anke Weber
Author: Anke Weber
Author: Jan Marc Berk
Author: Anke Weber
Author: 
Author: Jan Marc Berk
Author: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
Author: Peter J. N. Sinclair
Author: Mr.Ales Bulir
Author: Paul Tucker
Author: Jan F. Qvigstad