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Identifying the Interdependence Between US Monetary Policy and the Stock Market

Identifying the Interdependence Between US Monetary Policy and the Stock Market PDF Author: Hilde C. Bjørnland
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 0

Book Description
We estimate the interdependence between US monetary policy and the S&P 500 using structural VAR methodology. A solution is proposed to the simultaneity problem of identifying monetary and stock price shocks by using a combination of short-run and long-run restrictions that maintains the qualitative properties of a monetary policy shock found in the established literature (CEE 1999). We find great interdependence between interest rate setting and stock prices. Stock prices immediately fall by 1.5 per cent due to a monetary policy shock that raises the federal funds rate by ten basis points. A stock price shock increasing stock prices by one per cent leads to an increase in the interest rate of five basis points. Stock price shocks are orthogonal to the information set in the VAR model and can be interpreted as non-fundamental shocks. We attribute a major part of the surge in stock prices at the end of the 1990s to these non-fundamental shocks.

Identifying the Interdependence Between US Monetary Policy and the Stock Market

Identifying the Interdependence Between US Monetary Policy and the Stock Market PDF Author: Hilde C. Bjørnland
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 0

Book Description
We estimate the interdependence between US monetary policy and the S&P 500 using structural VAR methodology. A solution is proposed to the simultaneity problem of identifying monetary and stock price shocks by using a combination of short-run and long-run restrictions that maintains the qualitative properties of a monetary policy shock found in the established literature (CEE 1999). We find great interdependence between interest rate setting and stock prices. Stock prices immediately fall by 1.5 per cent due to a monetary policy shock that raises the federal funds rate by ten basis points. A stock price shock increasing stock prices by one per cent leads to an increase in the interest rate of five basis points. Stock price shocks are orthogonal to the information set in the VAR model and can be interpreted as non-fundamental shocks. We attribute a major part of the surge in stock prices at the end of the 1990s to these non-fundamental shocks.

Booms, Bubbles and Bust in the US Stock Market

Booms, Bubbles and Bust in the US Stock Market PDF Author: David Western
Publisher: Routledge
ISBN: 100015906X
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 262

Book Description
An extremely user-friendly overview of the inner workings of the US stock market. Things have changed a great deal since the heady days of the 1980s and we are now entering an era of profound uncertainty, with most analysts predicting trouble ahead. Indeed, the alarming decline of the NASDAQ shows no sign of abating and the fear is that traditional industries will be the next to bite the dust. September 11th has only added to the gloomy mood. This book examines the current conditions before looking back to the events of the past century - The Great Depression, the 1970s oil crisis, the party-for-the-rich atmosphere of the 1980s and the emergence of the new economy.

Financial Markets, Banking, and Monetary Policy

Financial Markets, Banking, and Monetary Policy PDF Author: Thomas D. Simpson
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 1118872231
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 384

Book Description
An essential resource for understanding complex modern financial markets, monetary policy, and banking systems The international economic environment has evolved to the point that what constitutes money is not always clear-cut, and monetary aggregates are undependable as guides to overall policy. Central banks have had to turn to very different tactics in order to achieve their stated policy goals. In this in-depth resource, Thomas D. Simpson—a former official with the Federal Reserve System—introduces a new approach to both monetary policy and the overall financial system. Financial Markets, Banking, and Monetary Policy highlights the role of each major financial market and institution and shows how they've become a part of the overall financial system. The book also describes the important features of central banks—along with their responsibility for achieving specific macroeconomic objectives—and reveals how they pursue goals for inflation, employment, and the economy. While highlighting the United States system, Simpson's comprehensive view of banking and monetary policy is equally applicable to the financial systems and economies of other developed nations. This reliable resource is solidly grounded in economic principles and on the key term structure of interest rate relationships. Simpson explores how the term structure relationship plays a central role in the conduct of monetary policy and outlines a framework for understanding financial crises and the systemic risk faced by modern economies. The book explains in detail the evolving integration of central banks' various methods for conducting monetary and financial stability policies. Filled with illustrative examples and charts, this resource delves into the interconnection between financial markets and institutions, monetary policy, and performance of the economy. An indispensible resource for both professionals and students of finance and economics, Financial Markets, Banking, and Monetary Policy offers a clear understanding of Simpson's term structure relationship and how it works throughout the financial system.

Booms, Bubbles and Busts in US Stock Markets

Booms, Bubbles and Busts in US Stock Markets PDF Author: David L. Western
Publisher: Routledge
ISBN: 1134201710
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 278

Book Description
Examining the current conditions before looking back to the events of the last century, this volume covers the Great Depression, the 1970s oil crisis, the party-for-the-rich atmosphere of the 1980's and the emergence of the new economy.

The Federal Reserve System Purposes and Functions

The Federal Reserve System Purposes and Functions PDF Author: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
Publisher:
ISBN: 9780894991967
Category : Banks and Banking
Languages : en
Pages : 0

Book Description
Provides an in-depth overview of the Federal Reserve System, including information about monetary policy and the economy, the Federal Reserve in the international sphere, supervision and regulation, consumer and community affairs and services offered by Reserve Banks. Contains several appendixes, including a brief explanation of Federal Reserve regulations, a glossary of terms, and a list of additional publications.

Stock Prices and Monetary Policy

Stock Prices and Monetary Policy PDF Author: Paul De Grauwe
Publisher: CEPS
ISBN: 929079819X
Category : Monetary policy
Languages : en
Pages : 22

Book Description
The question of whether central banks should target stock prices so as to prevent bubbles and crashes from occurring has been hotly debated. This paper analyses this question using a behavioural macroeconomic model. This model generates bubbles and crashes. It analyses how 'leaning against the wind' strategies, which aim to reduce the volatility of stock prices, can help in reducing volatility of output and inflation. We find that such policies can be effective in reducing macroeconomic volatility, thereby improving the trade-off between output and inflation variability. The strength of this result, however, depends on the degree of credibility of the inflation-targeting regime. In the absence of such credibility, policies aiming at stabilising stock prices do not stabilise output and inflation.

Monetary Policy and the U.S. Stock Market

Monetary Policy and the U.S. Stock Market PDF Author: Marc D. Hayford
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 34

Book Description
What is the influence of stock market valuations on monetary policy? This paper uses a forward looking Taylor rule model to examine empirically if monetary policy, since the October 19, 1987 stock market crash, has been influenced by the valuation of the stock market as measured by the Samp;P 500 P/E ratio. We estimate the model using revised and real time data and find no empirical evidence that the Federal Reserve policy attempted to moderate stock market valuations during the late 1990s despite the quot;irrational exuberancequot; comments by Chairman Greenspan in late 1996. Actually, the empirical evidence suggests that the Fed accommodated the high valuations of the stock market during this period.

Identifying the Interdependence Between US Monetary Policy and the Stock Market

Identifying the Interdependence Between US Monetary Policy and the Stock Market PDF Author: Hilde C. Bjørnland
Publisher:
ISBN: 9788275534307
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 28

Book Description


21st Century Monetary Policy: The Federal Reserve from the Great Inflation to COVID-19

21st Century Monetary Policy: The Federal Reserve from the Great Inflation to COVID-19 PDF Author: Ben S. Bernanke
Publisher: W. W. Norton & Company
ISBN: 1324020474
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 448

Book Description
21st Century Monetary Policy takes readers inside the Federal Reserve, explaining what it does and why. In response to the COVID-19 pandemic, the Federal Reserve deployed an extraordinary range of policy tools that helped prevent the collapse of the financial system and the U.S. economy. Chair Jerome Powell and his colleagues lent directly to U.S. businesses, purchased trillions of dollars of government securities, pumped dollars into the international financial system, and crafted a new framework for monetary policy that emphasized job creation. These strategies would have astonished Powell’s late-20th-century predecessors, from William McChesney Martin to Alan Greenspan, and the advent of these tools raises new questions about the future landscape of economic policy. In 21st Century Monetary Policy, Ben S. Bernanke—former chair of the Federal Reserve and one of the world’s leading economists—explains the Fed’s evolution and speculates on its future. Taking a fresh look at the bank’s policymaking over the past seventy years, including his own time as chair, Bernanke shows how changes in the economy have driven the Fed’s innovations. He also lays out new challenges confronting the Fed, including the return of inflation, cryptocurrencies, increased risks of financial instability, and threats to its independence. Beyond explaining the central bank’s new policymaking tools, Bernanke also captures the drama of moments when so much hung on the Fed’s decisions, as well as the personalities and philosophies of those who led the institution.

U.S. Stock Market Crashes and Their Aftermath

U.S. Stock Market Crashes and Their Aftermath PDF Author: Frederic S. Mishkin
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 55

Book Description
This paper examines fifteen historical episodes of stock market crashes and their aftermath in the United States over the last one hundred years. Our basic conclusion from studying these episodes is that financial instability is the key problem facing monetary policy makers and not stock market crashes, even if they reflect the possible bursting of a bubble. With a focus on financial stability rather than the stock market, the response of central banks to stock market fluctuations is more likely to be optimal and maintain support for the independence of the central bank