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Author: Christopher J. Gust Publisher: DIANE Publishing ISBN: 1437939082 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 33
Book Description
The authors use a DSGE model that generates endogenous movements in risk premia to examine the positive and normative implications of alternative monetary policy rules. Variation in risk arises because households face fixed costs of transferring cash across financial accounts, implying that some households rebalance their portfolios infrequently. The model can account for the mean returns on equity and the risk-free rate, and in line with empirical evidence generates a decline in the equity premium following an unanticipated easing of monetary policy. Countercyclical monetary policy generates higher average welfare than constant money growth or zero inflation policies. Charts and tables. This is a print on demand report.
Author: Christopher J. Gust Publisher: DIANE Publishing ISBN: 1437939082 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 33
Book Description
The authors use a DSGE model that generates endogenous movements in risk premia to examine the positive and normative implications of alternative monetary policy rules. Variation in risk arises because households face fixed costs of transferring cash across financial accounts, implying that some households rebalance their portfolios infrequently. The model can account for the mean returns on equity and the risk-free rate, and in line with empirical evidence generates a decline in the equity premium following an unanticipated easing of monetary policy. Countercyclical monetary policy generates higher average welfare than constant money growth or zero inflation policies. Charts and tables. This is a print on demand report.
Author: Mr.Giovanni Dell'Ariccia Publisher: International Monetary Fund ISBN: 1484381130 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 41
Book Description
We present evidence of a risk-taking channel of monetary policy for the U.S. banking system. We use confidential data on the internal ratings of U.S. banks on loans to businesses over the period 1997 to 2011 from the Federal Reserve’s survey of terms of business lending. We find that ex-ante risk taking by banks (as measured by the risk rating of the bank’s loan portfolio) is negatively associated with increases in short-term policy interest rates. This relationship is less pronounced for banks with relatively low capital or during periods when banks’ capital erodes, such as episodes of financial and economic distress. These results contribute to the ongoing debate on the role of monetary policy in financial stability and suggest that monetary policy has a bearing on the riskiness of banks and financial stability more generally.
Author: Stefan Laseen Publisher: International Monetary Fund ISBN: 1513571214 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 46
Book Description
We introduce time-varying systemic risk in an otherwise standard New-Keynesian model to study whether a simple leaning-against-the-wind policy can reduce systemic risk and improve welfare. We find that an unexpected increase in policy rates reduces output, inflation, and asset prices without fundamentally mitigating financial risks. We also find that while a systematic monetary policy reaction can improve welfare, it is too simplistic: (1) it is highly sensitive to parameters of the model and (2) is detrimental in the presence of falling asset prices. Macroprudential policy, similar to a countercyclical capital requirement, is more robust and leads to higher welfare gains.
Author: Tyler Cowen Publisher: Routledge ISBN: 1134701519 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 182
Book Description
In this book the author argues the case for the revival of an important role for monetary causes in business cycle theory, which challenges the current trend towards favouring purely real theories.
Author: Jonathan A. Batten Publisher: Emerald Group Publishing ISBN: 1784410268 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 455
Book Description
Risk Management Post Financial Crisis: A Period of Monetary Easing provides further insights into postcrisis developments in the global economic and financial environment including advances in measuring and reporting risk and liquidity. Contributions come from leading banks, international organisations and worldrenowned universities.
Author: Mr.Plamen K Iossifov Publisher: International Monetary Fund ISBN: 1513568655 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 40
Book Description
We analyze a range of macrofinancial indicators to extract signals about cyclical systemic risk across 107 economies over 1995–2020. We construct composite indices of underlying liquidity, solvency and mispricing risks and analyze their patterns over the financial cycle. We find that liquidity and solvency risk indicators tend to be counter-cyclical, whereas mispricing risk ones are procyclical, and they all lead the credit cycle. Our results lend support to high-level accounts that risks were underestimated by stress indicators in the run-up to the 2008 global financial crisis. The policy implications of conflicting risk signals would depend on the phase of the credit cycle.
Author: Pierre De Leo Publisher: ISBN: Category : International economic relations Languages : en Pages : 0
Book Description
Conventional wisdom holds that monetary policy in emerging economies is procyclical, unlike in advanced economies. Using a large sample of countries from the mid-1990s onwards, we show that the conduct of monetary policy is not fundamentally different across these two groups of countries. Emerging and advanced economies alike lower their policy rates when economic activity decelerates, both unconditionally and following exogenous U.S. monetary policy tightening. We show that the common practice of using market rates, such as government bond rates, to proxy for the stance of monetary policy leads one to draw inaccurate conclusions about emerging economies' monetary policy cyclicality due to inherent risk premia in those market rates.
Author: Mr.Olivier J. Blanchard Publisher: International Monetary Fund ISBN: 1513555839 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 29
Book Description
We explore two issues triggered by the crisis. First, in most advanced countries, output remains far below the pre-recession trend, suggesting hysteresis. Second, while inflation has decreased, it has decreased less than anticipated, suggesting a breakdown of the relation between inflation and activity. To examine the first, we look at 122 recessions over the past 50 years in 23 countries. We find that a high proportion of them have been followed by lower output or even lower growth. To examine the second, we estimate a Phillips curve relation over the past 50 years for 20 countries. We find that the effect of unemployment on inflation, for given expected inflation, decreased until the early 1990s, but has remained roughly stable since then. We draw implications of our findings for monetary policy.
Author: T. Aubrey Publisher: Springer ISBN: 1137289708 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 227
Book Description
The Financial Crisis has led to a decade of poor returns for pension schemes and lower retirement incomes. Credit-based investment strategies that track the business cycle, are allowing preservation of investors' capital. This book provides analysis and investment strategy plans to generate equity-like-returns with bond like volatility.
Author: Christopher J. Gust
Author: Christopher J. Gust
Author: Christopher J. Gust (Economiste.)
Author: Mr.Giovanni Dell'Ariccia
Author: Stefan Laseen
Author: Tyler Cowen
Author: Jonathan A. Batten
Author: Mr.Plamen K Iossifov
Author: Pierre De Leo
Author: Mr.Olivier J. Blanchard
Author: T. Aubrey