Author: Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :
Book Description
Modelling Long-Run Trends & Cycles in Financial Time Series Data
Author: Modelling Trends and Cycles in Economic Time Series
Author: Terence C. MillsPublisher: Springer Nature
ISBN: 3030763595
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 219
Book Description
Modelling trends and cycles in economic time series has a long history, with the use of linear trends and moving averages forming the basic tool kit of economists until the 1970s. Several developments in econometrics then led to an overhaul of the techniques used to extract trends and cycles from time series. In this second edition, Terence Mills expands on the research in the area of trends and cycles over the last (almost) two decades, to highlight to students and researchers the variety of techniques and the considerations that underpin their choice for modelling trends and cycles.
Modelling Long-run Trends and Cycles in Financial Time Series Data
Author: Guglielmo Maria CaporalePublisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 35
Book Description
Introduction to Modern Time Series Analysis
Author: Gebhard KirchgässnerPublisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 3642334350
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 326
Book Description
This book presents modern developments in time series econometrics that are applied to macroeconomic and financial time series, bridging the gap between methods and realistic applications. It presents the most important approaches to the analysis of time series, which may be stationary or nonstationary. Modelling and forecasting univariate time series is the starting point. For multiple stationary time series, Granger causality tests and vector autogressive models are presented. As the modelling of nonstationary uni- or multivariate time series is most important for real applied work, unit root and cointegration analysis as well as vector error correction models are a central topic. Tools for analysing nonstationary data are then transferred to the panel framework. Modelling the (multivariate) volatility of financial time series with autogressive conditional heteroskedastic models is also treated.
Time Series Analysis and Adjustment
Author: Haim Y. BleikhPublisher: CRC Press
ISBN: 1317010175
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 148
Book Description
In Time Series Analysis and Adjustment the authors explain how the last four decades have brought dramatic changes in the way researchers analyze economic and financial data on behalf of economic and financial institutions and provide statistics to whomsoever requires them. Such analysis has long involved what is known as econometrics, but time series analysis is a different approach driven more by data than economic theory and focused on modelling. An understanding of time series and the application and understanding of related time series adjustment procedures is essential in areas such as risk management, business cycle analysis, and forecasting. Dealing with economic data involves grappling with things like varying numbers of working and trading days in different months and movable national holidays. Special attention has to be given to such things. However, the main problem in time series analysis is randomness. In real-life, data patterns are usually unclear, and the challenge is to uncover hidden patterns in the data and then to generate accurate forecasts. The case studies in this book demonstrate that time series adjustment methods can be efficaciously applied and utilized, for both analysis and forecasting, but they must be used in the context of reasoned statistical and economic judgment. The authors believe this is the first published study to really deal with this issue of context.
Modelling Long-rund Trends and Cycles in Financial Time Series Data
Author: Guglielmo Maria CaporalePublisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 35
Book Description
Modelling Trends and Cycles in Economic Time Series
Author: T. MillsPublisher: Springer
ISBN: 0230595529
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 184
Book Description
Modelling trends and cycles in economic time series has a long history, with the use of linear trends and moving averages forming the basic tool kit of economists until the 1970s. Several developments in econometrics then led to an overhaul of the techniques used to extract trends and cycles from time series. Terence Mills introduces these various approaches to allow students and researchers to appreciate the variety of techniques and the considerations that underpin their choice for modelling trends and cycles.
Modeling Financial Time Series with S-PLUS®
Author: Eric ZivotPublisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 0387323481
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 998
Book Description
This book represents an integration of theory, methods, and examples using the S-PLUS statistical modeling language and the S+FinMetrics module to facilitate the practice of financial econometrics. It is the first book to show the power of S-PLUS for the analysis of time series data. It is written for researchers and practitioners in the finance industry, academic researchers in economics and finance, and advanced MBA and graduate students in economics and finance. Readers are assumed to have a basic knowledge of S-PLUS and a solid grounding in basic statistics and time series concepts. This edition covers S+FinMetrics 2.0 and includes new chapters.
Business Cycles
Author: Francis X. DieboldPublisher: Princeton University Press
ISBN: 0691219583
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 438
Book Description
This is the most sophisticated and up-to-date econometric analysis of business cycles now available. Francis Diebold and Glenn Rudebusch have long been acknowledged as leading experts on business cycles. And here they present a highly integrative collection of their most important essays on the subject, along with a detailed introduction that draws together the book's principal themes and findings. Diebold and Rudebusch use the latest quantitative methods to address five principal questions about the measurement, modeling, and forecasting of business cycles. They ask whether business cycles have become more moderate in the postwar period, concluding that recessions have, in fact, been shorter and shallower. They consider whether economic expansions and contractions tend to die of "old age." Contrary to popular wisdom, they find little evidence that expansions become more fragile the longer they last, although they do find that contractions are increasingly likely to end as they age. The authors discuss the defining characteristics of business cycles, focusing on how economic variables move together and on the timing of the slow alternation between expansions and contractions. They explore the difficulties of distinguishing between long-term trends in the economy and cyclical fluctuations. And they examine how business cycles can be forecast, looking in particular at how to predict turning points in cycles, rather than merely the level of future economic activity. They show here that the index of leading economic indicators is a poor predictor of future economic activity, and consider what we can learn from other indicators, such as financial variables. Throughout, the authors make use of a variety of advanced econometric techniques, including nonparametric analysis, fractional integration, and regime-switching models. Business Cycles is crucial reading for policymakers, bankers, and business executives.
The Econometric Modelling of Financial Time Series
Author: Terence C. MillsPublisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 9780521624923
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 386
Book Description
Provides detailed coverage of the models currently being used in the empirical analysis of financial markets. Copyright © Libri GmbH. All rights reserved.