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Author: Alfredo Coutino Publisher: ISBN: Category : Languages : en Pages : 0
Book Description
In this paper we evaluate Mexico's potential scenario for 2018-2020 period, in which the economy will be immersed in the ups and downs of the business cycle, a traditional pattern determined by the political cycle every six years of change of government. In 2018 the economy will be under the expansionary effects of the political cycle in a year of presidential election. In 2019 the economy will lose strength and decelerate in the first year of the new administration. In the medium term, reforms will increase production capacity and the economy will advance at a slightly higher rates. Few risks remain in the horizon and could still materialize.
Author: Alfredo Coutino Publisher: ISBN: Category : Languages : en Pages : 0
Book Description
In this paper we evaluate Mexico's potential scenario for 2018-2020 period, in which the economy will be immersed in the ups and downs of the business cycle, a traditional pattern determined by the political cycle every six years of change of government. In 2018 the economy will be under the expansionary effects of the political cycle in a year of presidential election. In 2019 the economy will lose strength and decelerate in the first year of the new administration. In the medium term, reforms will increase production capacity and the economy will advance at a slightly higher rates. Few risks remain in the horizon and could still materialize.
Author: Elisa Servín Publisher: Duke University Press ISBN: 0822389932 Category : History Languages : en Pages : 423
Book Description
This important collection explores how Mexico’s tumultuous past informs its uncertain present and future. Cycles of crisis and reform, of conflict and change, have marked Mexico’s modern history. The final decades of the eighteenth, nineteenth, and twentieth centuries each brought efforts to integrate Mexico into globalizing economies, pressures on the country’s diverse peoples, and attempts at reform. The crises of the late eighteenth century and the late nineteenth led to revolutionary mobilizations and violent regime changes. The wars for independence that began in 1810 triggered conflicts that endured for decades; the national revolution that began in 1910 shaped Mexico for most of the twentieth century. In 2000, the PRI, which had ruled for more than seventy years, was defeated in an election some hailed as “revolution by ballot.” Mexico now struggles with the legacies of a late-twentieth-century crisis defined by accelerating globalization and the breakdown of an authoritarian regime that was increasingly unresponsive to historic mandates and popular demands. Leading Mexicanists—historians and social scientists from Mexico, the United States, and Europe—examine the three fin-de-siècle eras of crisis. They focus on the role of the country’s communities in advocating change from the eighteenth century to the present. They compare Mexico’s revolutions of 1810 and 1910 and consider whether there might be a twenty-first-century recurrence or whether a globalizing, urbanizing, and democratizing world has so changed Mexico that revolution is improbable. Reflecting on the political changes and social challenges of the late twentieth century, the contributors ask if a democratic transition is possible and, if so, whether it is sufficient to address twenty-first-century demands for participation and justice. Contributors. Antonio Annino, Guillermo de la Peña, François-Xavier Guerra, Friedrich Katz, Alan Knight, Lorenzo Meyer, Leticia Reina, Enrique Semo, Elisa Servín, John Tutino, Eric Van Young
Author: Roger Bartra Publisher: University of Wales Press ISBN: 0708326854 Category : Political Science Languages : en Pages : 228
Book Description
This book is a collection of essays on the Mexican transition to democracy that offers reflections on different aspects of civic culture, the political process, electoral struggles, and critical junctures. They were written at different points in time and even though they have been corrected and adapted, they have kept the tension and fervour with which they were originally created. They provide the reader with a vision of what goes on behind those horrifying images that depict Mexico as a country plagued by narcotrafficking groups and subjected to unbridled homicidal violence. These images hide the complex political reality of the country and the accidents and shocks democracy has suffered.
Author: Judith Gentleman Publisher: Routledge ISBN: 0429721749 Category : Political Science Languages : en Pages : 293
Book Description
Initiated in the mid-1970s, Mexico's program of political reform was designed to provide a new opportunity for political competition. In this book, contributors examine the significance political mobilization has had and the extent to which the reform has served as a vehicle for defusing discontent in the wake of Mexico's failed oil-based developme
Author: Joseph S. Tulchin Publisher: Lynne Rienner Publishers ISBN: 9781588261045 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 388
Book Description
An exploration of the interrelated trends of Mexico's transitional politics and society. Offering perspectives on the problems on the Mexican agenda, the authors discuss the politics of change, the challenges of social development, and how to build a mutually beneficial US-Mexico relationship.
Author: María Inclán Publisher: Oxford University Press ISBN: 0190869488 Category : Political Science Languages : en Pages : 185
Book Description
Transitions from authoritarian to democratic governments can provide ripe scenarios for the emergence of new, insurgent political actors and causes. During peaceful transitions, such movements may become influential political players and gain representation for previously neglected interests and sectors of the population. But for this to happen, insurgent social movements need opportunities for mobilization, success, and survival. What happens to insurgent social movements that emerge during a democratic transition but fail to achieve their goals? How influential are they? Are they able to survive their initial mobilizing boom? To answer these questions, María Inclán looks at Mexico's Zapatista movement, whose emergence she argues was caught between "sliding doors" of opportunity. The Zapatistas were able to mobilize sympathy and support for the indigenous agenda inside and outside of the country, yet failed to achieve their goals vis-à-vis the Mexican state. Nevertheless, the movement has survived and sustained its autonomy despite lacking legal recognition. Inclán examines the vitality of the movement during various tests of the emergent democracy (during more competitive elections, under various political parties, and amid various repressive measures). She also looks at state responsiveness to movement demands and the role of transnational networks in the movement's survival. Framing the relative achievements and failures of the Zapatista movement within Mexico's democratization is essential to understand how social movements develop and survive and how responsive an electoral democracy really is. As such, this book offers a test to the quality of Mexico's democracy and to the resilience of the Zapatista movement, as it identifies the extent to which emerging political forces have failed to incorporate dissident and previously excluded political actors into the new polity.
Author: Daniel C Levy Publisher: Westview Press ISBN: Category : History Languages : en Pages : 320
Book Description
"Mexico is immersed in deep transformations. The country has opened to the world, liberalized its economy and moved to a more democratic system. There is an obvious need to understand the process. Dan Levy and Kate Bruhn's book is a well-balanced portrayal of Mexico's contemporary history, and of the role played by the United States. A must for those interested in understanding what is going on in Mexico."--Sergio Aguayo, author of "Myths and (Mis)Perceptions: Changing U.S. Elite Visions of Mexico" "A wonderful guide to the social, economic, and political changes in contemporary Mexico. It goes a long way to explaining the concurrent rise of narco-traffic, the victory of Fox, and the transformation of the Mexican economy in the 1990s. I learned a great deal from it."--Miguel Centeno, author of "Democracy Within Reason: Technocratic Revolution in Mexico"
Author: Alfredo Coutino
Author: Alfredo Coutino
Author: Elisa Servín
Author: Roger Bartra
Author: Judith Gentleman
Author: Joseph S. Tulchin
Author: Joe Foweraker
Author: Robert Edwin Scott
Author: María Inclán
Author: Wayne A. Cornelius
Author: Daniel C Levy