Methods of Future and Scenario Analysis PDF Download

Author: Hannah Kosow
Publisher:
ISBN: 9783889853752
Category : Economic development
Languages : en
Pages : 120

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Author: Mats Lindgren
Publisher: Springer
ISBN: 0230233589
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 216

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Book Description
Recent research in the field of business strategy has shown that strategic flexibility can be achieved through a scenario planning perspective for long-term competition and performance. The authors have drawn upon examples and case studies to develop a new model for scenario planning that is closely integrated with strategy and innovation.

Author: Rosanna Fornasiero
Publisher: Springer Nature
ISBN: 3030635058
Category : Technology & Engineering
Languages : en
Pages : 298

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Book Description
This open access book explores supply chains strategies to help companies face challenges such as societal emergency, digitalization, climate changes and scarcity of resources. The book identifies industrial scenarios for the next decade based on the analysis of trends at social, economic, environmental technological and political level, and examines how they may impact on supply chain processes and how to design next generation supply chains to answer these challenges. By mapping enabling technologies for supply chain innovation, the book proposes a roadmap for the full implementation of the supply chain strategies based on the integration of production and logistics processes. Case studies from process industry, discrete manufacturing, distribution and logistics, as well as ICT providers are provided, and policy recommendations are put forward to support companies in this transformative process.

Author: J. Alcamo
Publisher: Elsevier
ISBN: 0080932983
Category : Science
Languages : en
Pages : 212

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Book Description
As scientists and policymakers try to come to grips with problems such as climate change and risks to biodiversity, they turn more and more frequently to the method of scenario analysis to better understand the future of these problems. Over the last few years scenario analysis has become one of the key tools for bridging environmental science and policy. This is the first book to sum up the current practice of environmental scenario analysis and to propose directions for improving its quality and effectiveness. Chapters are written by an international group of distinguished scenario experts and provide an excellent starting basis for first-time scenario practitioners, as well as a collection of new ideas on improving scenario practice for experienced scenario analysts. * Comprehensive coverage and overview on environmental scenario analysis from a team of international experts* First book to address key contemporary issues involved with environmental scenario analysis* Gives guidelines for best practicesBenefits:* Excellent starting base for first-time scenario practitioners* Helps the reader to interpret scenarios and to place them into the correct context

Author: George Cairns
Publisher: Springer
ISBN: 3319490672
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 287

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Book Description
Develops scenario planning methods in ways that link scenario analysis to improved decision making, engage time-poor senior decision makers, attenuate decision makers’ tendency to deflect responsibility for bleak, negative scenario outcomes, and enhance causal analysis within scenario-storyline development. What if? Two of the most powerful – and frightening – words in business. Almost as bad as “I didn’t see that coming.” Some things that transform the marketplace overnight come from nowhere. Some things that create potentially critical under-performance are genuinely unforeseeable. Sometimes it is impossible to predict how a change in an organizational strategy will play out. Some things and sometimes – but not many and not often. Decision makers in organizations face more-and-more complex and ambiguous problems that need to be addressed under time pressure - and the need for practical decision support has become essential. The range of methods in this book will enable you to be prepared, proactive and resilient no matter what the future brings. Based on up-to-date academic research and years of application and iteration in the real world, this book, illustrated with examples of the value delivered in Europe, Australia and the Middle East, will transfer practical skills in scenario thinking using step-by-step instructions. This thoroughly revised and expanded second edition introduces these new approaches in detail, with clear guidelines and examples to enable the reader to select and implement the most appropriate scenario method to suit the issue at hand – considering the timeframe for its investigation, the resources available and the outcomes expected.

Author: M. Lindgren
Publisher: Springer
ISBN: 0230511627
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 193

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Book Description
Recent research in the field of business strategy has shown that strategic flexibility can be achieved through a scenario planning perspective for long term competition and performance. The authors have drawn upon examples and cases to develop a new model for scenario planning that is closely integrated with strategy. They argue that the concept of scenario planning is as much an art as a practical management tool.

Author: G. Wright
Publisher: Springer
ISBN: 0230306896
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 111

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Book Description
Presents new methods in scenario thinking, based on a mix of high-level research and top-level consultancy experience. The authors describe the logical bases of a range of scenario methods and provide detailed 'road maps' on how to implement them - together with practical examples of their application.

Author: Roland W. Scholz
Publisher: SAGE
ISBN: 9780761919469
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 412

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Book Description
In an embedded case study, the starting and end point is the comprehension of the case as a whole in its real-world context. This book bridges the gap between quantitative and qualitative approaches to complex problems when using this methodology.

Author: Siegfried Numberger
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 111

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Author: Jerome C. Glenn
Publisher:
ISBN: 9780981894119
Category : Forecasting
Languages : en
Pages : 0

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Book Description
Comprehensive and internationally peer-reviewed handbook on tools and methods for forecasting and analysis of global change.