Maximum Likelihood Vs. Minimum Sum-of-squares Estimation of the Autocorrelated Error Model PDF Download

Author: Rolla Edward Park
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Autocorrelation (Statistics)
Languages : en
Pages : 20

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Author: Rolla Edward Park
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 54

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Book Description
A Monte Carlo study is made of the small sample properties of various estimators of the linear regression model with first-order autocorrelated errors. When independent variables are trended, estimators using T transformed observations (Prais-Winsten) are much more efficient than those using T-1 (Cochrane-Orcutt). The best of the feasible estimators is iterated Prais-Winsten using a sum-of-squared-error minimizing estimate of the autocorrelation coefficient rho. None of the feasible estimators performs well in hypothesis testing; all seriously underestimate standard errors, making estimated coefficients appear to be much more significant than they actually are. (Author).

Author: L. Phlips
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 9401117950
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 261

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Book Description
In this testament to the distinguished career of H.S. Houthakker a number of Professor Houthakker's friends, former colleagues and former students offer essays which build upon and extend his many contributions to economics in aggregation, consumption, growth and trade. Among the many distinguished contributors are Paul Samuelson, Werner Hildenbrand, John Muellbauer and Lester Telser. The book also includes four previously unpublished papers and notes by its distinguished dedicatee.

Author:
Publisher:
ISBN: 0195356438
Category : Consumer behavior
Languages : en
Pages : 234

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Book Description
This study of demand analysis links economic theory to empirical analysis. It demonstrates how theory can be used to specify equation systems suitable for empirical analysis, and discusses demand systems estimation using both per capita time series and household budget data.

Author: Michael H. Kutner
Publisher: McGraw-Hill/Irwin
ISBN: 9780072386882
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 1396

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Book Description
Linear regression with one predictor variable; Inferences in regression and correlation analysis; Diagnosticis and remedial measures; Simultaneous inferences and other topics in regression analysis; Matrix approach to simple linear regression analysis; Multiple linear regression; Nonlinear regression; Design and analysis of single-factor studies; Multi-factor studies; Specialized study designs.

Author: Piet M. T. Broersen
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 1846283280
Category : Computers
Languages : en
Pages : 301

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Book Description
Spectral analysis requires subjective decisions which influence the final estimate and mean that different analysts can obtain different results from the same stationary stochastic observations. Statistical signal processing can overcome this difficulty, producing a unique solution for any set of observations but that is only acceptable if it is close to the best attainable accuracy for most types of stationary data. This book describes a method which fulfils the above near-optimal-solution criterion, taking advantage of greater computing power and robust algorithms to produce enough candidate models to be sure of providing a suitable candidate for given data.

Author: George E. P. Box
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 1118674928
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 709

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Book Description
Praise for the Fourth Edition "The book follows faithfully the style of the original edition. The approach is heavily motivated by real-world time series, and by developing a complete approach to model building, estimation, forecasting and control." —Mathematical Reviews Bridging classical models and modern topics, the Fifth Edition of Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control maintains a balanced presentation of the tools for modeling and analyzing time series. Also describing the latest developments that have occurred in the field over the past decade through applications from areas such as business, finance, and engineering, the Fifth Edition continues to serve as one of the most influential and prominent works on the subject. Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control, Fifth Edition provides a clearly written exploration of the key methods for building, classifying, testing, and analyzing stochastic models for time series and describes their use in five important areas of application: forecasting; determining the transfer function of a system; modeling the effects of intervention events; developing multivariate dynamic models; and designing simple control schemes. Along with these classical uses, the new edition covers modern topics with new features that include: A redesigned chapter on multivariate time series analysis with an expanded treatment of Vector Autoregressive, or VAR models, along with a discussion of the analytical tools needed for modeling vector time series An expanded chapter on special topics covering unit root testing, time-varying volatility models such as ARCH and GARCH, nonlinear time series models, and long memory models Numerous examples drawn from finance, economics, engineering, and other related fields The use of the publicly available R software for graphical illustrations and numerical calculations along with scripts that demonstrate the use of R for model building and forecasting Updates to literature references throughout and new end-of-chapter exercises Streamlined chapter introductions and revisions that update and enhance the exposition Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control, Fifth Edition is a valuable real-world reference for researchers and practitioners in time series analysis, econometrics, finance, and related fields. The book is also an excellent textbook for beginning graduate-level courses in advanced statistics, mathematics, economics, finance, engineering, and physics.

Author: Rand Corporation
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Statistics
Languages : en
Pages : 64

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Author: Andrew C. Harvey
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 1107717140
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 578

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Book Description
In this book, Andrew Harvey sets out to provide a unified and comprehensive theory of structural time series models. Unlike the traditional ARIMA models, structural time series models consist explicitly of unobserved components, such as trends and seasonals, which have a direct interpretation. As a result the model selection methodology associated with structural models is much closer to econometric methodology. The link with econometrics is made even closer by the natural way in which the models can be extended to include explanatory variables and to cope with multivariate time series. From the technical point of view, state space models and the Kalman filter play a key role in the statistical treatment of structural time series models. The book includes a detailed treatment of the Kalman filter. This technique was originally developed in control engineering, but is becoming increasingly important in fields such as economics and operations research. This book is concerned primarily with modelling economic and social time series, and with addressing the special problems which the treatment of such series poses. The properties of the models and the methodological techniques used to select them are illustrated with various applications. These range from the modellling of trends and cycles in US macroeconomic time series to to an evaluation of the effects of seat belt legislation in the UK.

Author: Rand Corporation
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Abstracts
Languages : en
Pages : 654

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Book Description
Includes publications previously listed in the supplements to the Index of selected publications of the Rand Corportation (Oct. 1962-Feb. 1963)