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Naive Decision Making

Naive Decision Making PDF Author: T. W. Körner
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 1139473565
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 375

Book Description
How should one choose the best restaurant to eat in? Can one really make money at gambling? Or predict the future? Naive Decision Making presents the mathematical basis for making decisions where the outcome may be uncertain or the interests of others have to taken into consideration. Professor Körner takes the reader on an enjoyable journey through many aspects of mathematical decision making, with pithy observations, anecdotes and quotations. Topics include probability, statistics, Arrow's theorem, Game Theory and Nash equilibrium. Readers will also gain a great deal of insight into mathematics in general and the role it can play within society. Intended for those with elementary calculus, this book is ideal as a supplementary text for undergraduate courses in probability, game theory and decision making. Engaging and intriguing, it will also appeal to all those of a mathematical mind. To aid understanding, many exercises are included, with solutions available online.

Naive Decision Making

Naive Decision Making PDF Author: T. W. Körner
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 1139473565
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 375

Book Description
How should one choose the best restaurant to eat in? Can one really make money at gambling? Or predict the future? Naive Decision Making presents the mathematical basis for making decisions where the outcome may be uncertain or the interests of others have to taken into consideration. Professor Körner takes the reader on an enjoyable journey through many aspects of mathematical decision making, with pithy observations, anecdotes and quotations. Topics include probability, statistics, Arrow's theorem, Game Theory and Nash equilibrium. Readers will also gain a great deal of insight into mathematics in general and the role it can play within society. Intended for those with elementary calculus, this book is ideal as a supplementary text for undergraduate courses in probability, game theory and decision making. Engaging and intriguing, it will also appeal to all those of a mathematical mind. To aid understanding, many exercises are included, with solutions available online.

Decision and Discrete Mathematics

Decision and Discrete Mathematics PDF Author: I Hardwick
Publisher: Elsevier
ISBN: 0857099825
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 267

Book Description
This text offers a complete coverage in the Decision Mathematics module, also known as Discrete Mathematics, of the syllabuses of English A-level examination boards. it is a rewritten and modern version of Decision Mathematics (published by Ellis Horwood Ltd in 1986 for The Spode Group, so well known for its development of innovative mathematics teaching). It is also a suitable text for foundation and first year undergraduate courses in qualitative studies or operational research, or for access courses for students needing strengthening in mathematics, or for students who are moving into mathematics from another subject discipline.Compact and concise, it reflects the combined teaching skills and experience of its authors who know exactly what mathematics must be learnt at the readership level today. The text is built up in modular fashion, explaining concepts used in decision mathematics and related operational research, and electronics. It emphasises an understanding of techniques and algorithms, which it relates to real life situations and working problems that will apply throughout future working careers. Clear explanations of algorithms and all concepts Plentiful worked examples, clear diagrams Many exercises (with answers for self-study)

Decision Making Under Uncertainty

Decision Making Under Uncertainty PDF Author: Claude Greengard
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 146849256X
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 166

Book Description
In the ideal world, major decisions would be made based on complete and reliable information available to the decision maker. We live in a world of uncertainties, and decisions must be made from information which may be incomplete and may contain uncertainty. The key mathematical question addressed in this volume is "how to make decision in the presence of quantifiable uncertainty." The volume contains articles on model problems of decision making process in the energy and power industry when the available information is noisy and/or incomplete. The major tools used in studying these problems are mathematical modeling and optimization techniques; especially stochastic optimization. These articles are meant to provide an insight into this rapidly developing field, which lies in the intersection of applied statistics, probability, operations research, and economic theory. It is hoped that the present volume will provide entry to newcomers into the field, and stimulation for further research.

Mathematical Models for Decision Making with Multiple Perspectives

Mathematical Models for Decision Making with Multiple Perspectives PDF Author: Maria Isabel Gomes
Publisher: CRC Press
ISBN: 1000647579
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 301

Book Description
This book brings together, in a single volume, the fields of multicriteria decision making and multiobjective optimization that are traditionally covered separately. Both fields have in common the presence of multiple perspectives of looking at and evaluating decisions to be taken but they differ in the number of available alternatives. Multicriteria approaches deal with decision processes where a finite number of alternatives have to be evaluated while, in multiobjective optimization, this number is infinite and the space of alternatives continuous. This book is written for students of applied mathematics, engineering, and economics and management, with no assumed previous knowledge on the subject, as well as for practitioners in industry looking for techniques to support decision making. The mathematical formalism is very low, so that all materials are accessible to most readers. Nonetheless, a rich bibliography allows interested readers to access more technical literature. The textbook is organized in eleven chapters, each corresponding to a class of about two hours. A comprehensive set of examples is presented, allowing for a didactic approach when presenting the methodologies. Each chapter ends with exercises that are designed to develop problem-solving skills and to promote concepts retention.

Decision and Discrete Mathematics

Decision and Discrete Mathematics PDF Author: Spode Group
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Decision making
Languages : en
Pages : 464

Book Description


Decision Making for Finite Math

Decision Making for Finite Math PDF Author: Dale Buske
Publisher: Prentice Hall
ISBN: 9780130428837
Category : Decision making
Languages : en
Pages : 0

Book Description


Algorithms for Decision Making

Algorithms for Decision Making PDF Author: Mykel J. Kochenderfer
Publisher: MIT Press
ISBN: 0262047012
Category : Computers
Languages : en
Pages : 701

Book Description
A broad introduction to algorithms for decision making under uncertainty, introducing the underlying mathematical problem formulations and the algorithms for solving them. Automated decision-making systems or decision-support systems—used in applications that range from aircraft collision avoidance to breast cancer screening—must be designed to account for various sources of uncertainty while carefully balancing multiple objectives. This textbook provides a broad introduction to algorithms for decision making under uncertainty, covering the underlying mathematical problem formulations and the algorithms for solving them. The book first addresses the problem of reasoning about uncertainty and objectives in simple decisions at a single point in time, and then turns to sequential decision problems in stochastic environments where the outcomes of our actions are uncertain. It goes on to address model uncertainty, when we do not start with a known model and must learn how to act through interaction with the environment; state uncertainty, in which we do not know the current state of the environment due to imperfect perceptual information; and decision contexts involving multiple agents. The book focuses primarily on planning and reinforcement learning, although some of the techniques presented draw on elements of supervised learning and optimization. Algorithms are implemented in the Julia programming language. Figures, examples, and exercises convey the intuition behind the various approaches presented.

Mathematics of Decision Theory

Mathematics of Decision Theory PDF Author: Peter C. Fishburn
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Decision-making
Languages : en
Pages : 120

Book Description


Decision Making, Models and Algorithms

Decision Making, Models and Algorithms PDF Author: Saul I. Gass
Publisher: Wiley-Interscience
ISBN:
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 440

Book Description
The first book to integrate the decision-making process through mathematical modelling. Using the concept of a decision framework, the ideas of decision making, models, and algorithms are introduced to the reader by way of realistic and entertaining problems. The structure, form, illustrations, problems, and challenges in this book provide a unique presentation of the subject matter.

Set Functions, Games and Capacities in Decision Making

Set Functions, Games and Capacities in Decision Making PDF Author: Michel Grabisch
Publisher: Springer
ISBN: 3319306901
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 482

Book Description
The book provides a thorough treatment of set functions, games and capacities as well as integrals with respect to capacities and games, in a mathematical rigorous presentation and in view of application to decision making. After a short chapter introducing some required basic knowledge (linear programming, polyhedra, ordered sets) and notation, the first part of the book consists of three long chapters developing the mathematical aspects. This part is not related to a particular application field and, by its neutral mathematical style, is useful to the widest audience. It gathers many results and notions which are scattered in the literature of various domains (game theory, decision, combinatorial optimization and operations research). The second part consists of three chapters, applying the previous notions in decision making and modelling: decision under uncertainty, decision with multiple criteria, possibility theory and Dempster-Shafer theory.