Mathematical Modeling, Simulations, and AI for Emergent Pandemic Diseases PDF Download

Author: Esteban A. Hernandez-Vargas
Publisher: Elsevier
ISBN: 0323950655
Category : Computers
Languages : en
Pages : 352

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Book Description
Mathematical Modeling, Simulations, and Artificial Intelligence for Emergent Pandemic Diseases: Lessons Learned from COVID-19 includes new research, models and simulations developed during the COVID-19 pandemic into how mathematical methods and practice can impact future response. Chapters go beyond forecasting COVID-19, bringing different scale angles and mathematical techniques (e.g., ordinary differential and difference equations, agent-based models, artificial intelligence, and complex networks) which could have potential use in modeling other emergent pandemic diseases. A major part of the book focuses on preparing the scientific community for the next pandemic, particularly the application of mathematical modeling in ecology, economics and epidemiology. Readers will benefit from learning how to apply advanced mathematical modeling to a variety of topics of practical interest, including optimal allocations of masks and vaccines but also more theoretical problems such as the evolution of viral variants. Provides a comprehensive overview of the state-of-the-art in mathematical modeling and computational simulations for emerging pandemics Presents modeling techniques that go beyond COVID-19, and that can be applied to tailoring interventions to attenuate high death tolls Includes illustrations, tables and dialog boxes to explain highly specialized concepts and insights with complex algorithms, along with links to programming code

Author: Igor Nesteruk
Publisher: Springer Nature
ISBN: 9813364165
Category : Science
Languages : en
Pages : 172

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Book Description
This book highlights the estimate of epidemic characteristics for different countries/regions in the world with the use of known SIR (susceptible-infected-removed) model for the dynamics of the epidemic, the known exact solution of the linear differential equations and statistical approach developed before. The COVID-19 pandemic is of great interest to researchers due to its high mortality and a negative impact to the world economy. Correct simulation of the pandemic dynamics needs complicated mathematical models and many efforts for unknown parameters identification. The simple method of detection of the new pandemic wave is proposed and SIR model generalized. The hidden periods, epidemic durations, final numbers of cases, the effective reproduction numbers and probabilities of meeting an infected person are presented for countries like USA, Germany, UK, the Republic of Korea, Italy, Spain, France, the Republic of Moldova, Ukraine, and for the world. The presented information is useful to regulate the quarantine activities and to predict the medical and economic consequences of different/future pandemics.

Author:
Publisher: Elsevier
ISBN: 0444639691
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 514

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Book Description
Disease Modelling and Public Health, Part A, Volume 36 addresses new challenges in existing and emerging diseases with a variety of comprehensive chapters that cover Infectious Disease Modeling, Bayesian Disease Mapping for Public Health, Real time estimation of the case fatality ratio and risk factor of death, Alternative Sampling Designs for Time-To-Event Data with Applications to Biomarker Discovery in Alzheimer's Disease, Dynamic risk prediction for cardiovascular disease: An illustration using the ARIC Study, Theoretical advances in type 2 diabetes, Finite Mixture Models in Biostatistics, and Models of Individual and Collective Behavior for Public Health Epidemiology. As a two part volume, the series covers an extensive range of techniques in the field. It present a vital resource for statisticians who need to access a number of different methods for assessing epidemic spread in population, or in formulating public health policy. Presents a comprehensive, two-part volume written by leading subject experts Provides a unique breadth and depth of content coverage Addresses the most cutting-edge developments in the field Includes chapters on Ebola and the Zika virus; topics which have grown in prominence and scholarly output

Author: Till D. Frank
Publisher: Springer Nature
ISBN: 3030971783
Category : Science
Languages : en
Pages : 367

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Book Description
This book addresses the COVID-19 pandemic from a quantitative perspective based on mathematical models and methods largely used in nonlinear physics. It aims to study COVID-19 epidemics in countries and SARS-CoV-2 infections in individuals from the nonlinear physics perspective and to model explicitly COVID-19 data observed in countries and virus load data observed in COVID-19 patients. The first part of this book provides a short technical introduction into amplitude spaces given by eigenvalues, eigenvectors, and amplitudes.In the second part of the book, mathematical models of epidemiology are introduced such as the SIR and SEIR models and applied to describe COVID-19 epidemics in various countries around the world. In the third part of the book, virus dynamics models are considered and applied to infections in COVID-19 patients. This book is written for researchers, modellers, and graduate students in physics and medicine, epidemiology and virology, biology, applied mathematics, and computer sciences. This book identifies the relevant mechanisms behind past COVID-19 outbreaks and in doing so can help efforts to stop future COVID-19 outbreaks and other epidemic outbreaks. Likewise, this book points out the physics underlying SARS-CoV-2 infections in patients and in doing so supports a physics perspective to address human immune reactions to SARS-CoV-2 infections and similar virus infections.

Author: Michael Y. Li
Publisher: Springer
ISBN: 3319721224
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 163

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Book Description
This text provides essential modeling skills and methodology for the study of infectious diseases through a one-semester modeling course or directed individual studies. The book includes mathematical descriptions of epidemiological concepts, and uses classic epidemic models to introduce different mathematical methods in model analysis. Matlab codes are also included for numerical implementations. It is primarily written for upper undergraduate and beginning graduate students in mathematical sciences who have an interest in mathematical modeling of infectious diseases. Although written in a rigorous mathematical manner, the style is not unfriendly to non-mathematicians.

Author: Fred Brauer
Publisher: Springer Nature
ISBN: 1493998285
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 628

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Book Description
The book is a comprehensive, self-contained introduction to the mathematical modeling and analysis of disease transmission models. It includes (i) an introduction to the main concepts of compartmental models including models with heterogeneous mixing of individuals and models for vector-transmitted diseases, (ii) a detailed analysis of models for important specific diseases, including tuberculosis, HIV/AIDS, influenza, Ebola virus disease, malaria, dengue fever and the Zika virus, (iii) an introduction to more advanced mathematical topics, including age structure, spatial structure, and mobility, and (iv) some challenges and opportunities for the future. There are exercises of varying degrees of difficulty, and projects leading to new research directions. For the benefit of public health professionals whose contact with mathematics may not be recent, there is an appendix covering the necessary mathematical background. There are indications which sections require a strong mathematical background so that the book can be useful for both mathematical modelers and public health professionals.

Author: Jummy David
Publisher: Springer Nature
ISBN: 3031408055
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 324

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Book Description
This volume addresses SDG 3 from a mathematical standpoint, sharing novel perspectives of existing communicable disease modelling technologies of the next generation and disseminating new developments in modelling methodologies and simulation techniques. These methodologies are important for training and research in communicable diseases and can be applied to other threats to human health. The contributions contained in this collection/book cover a range of modelling techniques that have been and may be used to support decision-making on critical health related issues such as: Resource allocation Impact of climate change on communicable diseases Interaction of human behaviour change, and disease spread Disease outbreak trajectories projection Public health interventions evaluation Preparedness and mitigation of emerging and re-emerging infectious diseases outbreaks Development of vaccines and decisions around vaccine allocation and optimization The diseases and public health issues in this volume include, but are not limited to COVID-19, HIV, Influenza, antimicrobial resistance (AMR), the opioid epidemic, Lyme Disease, Zika, and Malaria. In addition, this volume compares compartmental models, agent-based models, machine learning and network. Readers have an opportunity to learn from the next generation perspective of evolving methodologies and algorithms in modelling infectious diseases, the mathematics behind them, the motivation for them, and some applications to supporting critical decisions on prevention and control of communicable diseases. This volume was compiled from the weekly seminar series organized by the Mathematics for Public Health (MfPH) Next Generation Network. This network brings together the next generation of modellers from across Canada and the world, developing the latest mathematical models, modeling methodologies, and analytical and simulation tools for communicable diseases of global public health concerns. The weekly seminar series provides a unique forum for this network and their invited guest speakers to share their perspectives on the status and future directions of mathematics of public health.

Author: Guri I. Marchuk
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 9401587981
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 356

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Book Description
Beginning his work on the monograph to be published in English, this author tried to present more or less general notions of the possibilities of mathematics in the new and rapidly developing science of infectious immunology, describing the processes of an organism's defence against antigen invasions. The results presented in this monograph are based on the construc tion and application of closed models of immune response to infections which makes it possible to approach problems of optimizing the treat ment of chronic and hypertoxic forms of diseases. The author, being a mathematician, had creative long-Iasting con tacts with immunologists, geneticist, biologists, and clinicians. As far back as 1976 it resulted in the organization of a special seminar in the Computing Center of Siberian Branch of the USSR Academy of Sci ences on mathematical models in immunology. The seminar attracted the attention of a wide circle of leading specialists in various fields of science. All these made it possible to approach, from a more or less united stand point, the construction of models of immune response, the mathematical description of the models, and interpretation of results.

Author: Zakia Hammouch
Publisher: Springer Nature
ISBN: 3031331834
Category : Science
Languages : en
Pages : 278

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Book Description
The contributions in this carefully curated volume, present cutting-edge research in applied mathematical modeling for combating COVID-19 and other potential pandemics. Mathematical modeling and intelligent control have emerged as powerful computational models and have shown significant success in combating any pandemic. These models can be used to understand how COVID-19 or other pandemics can spread, analyze data on the incidence of infectious diseases, and predict possible future scenarios concerning pandemics. This book also discusses new models, practical solutions, and technological advances related to detecting and analyzing COVID-19 and other pandemics based on intelligent control systems that assist decision-makers, managers, professionals, and researchers. Much of the book focuses on preparing the scientific community for the next pandemic, particularly the application of mathematical modeling and intelligent control for combating the Monkeypox virus and Langya Henipavirus.

Author: Praveen Agarwal
Publisher: Academic Press
ISBN: 0323904580
Category : Science
Languages : en
Pages : 346

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Book Description
Mathematical Analysis of Infectious Diseases updates on the mathematical and epidemiological analysis of infectious diseases. Epidemic mathematical modeling and analysis is important, not only to understand disease progression, but also to provide predictions about the evolution of disease. One of the main focuses of the book is the transmission dynamics of the infectious diseases like COVID-19 and the intervention strategies. It also discusses optimal control strategies like vaccination and plasma transfusion and their potential effectiveness on infections using compartmental and mathematical models in epidemiology like SI, SIR, SICA, and SEIR. The book also covers topics like: biodynamic hypothesis and its application for the mathematical modeling of biological growth and the analysis of infectious diseases, mathematical modeling and analysis of diagnosis rate effects and prediction of viruses, data-driven graphical analysis of epidemic trends, dynamic simulation and scenario analysis of the spread of diseases, and the systematic review of the mathematical modeling of infectious disease like coronaviruses. Offers analytical and numerical techniques for virus models Discusses mathematical modeling and its applications in treating infectious diseases or analyzing their spreading rates Covers the application of differential equations for analyzing disease problems Examines probability distribution and bio-mathematical applications