Author: Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : National security
Languages : en
Pages : 351
Book Description
Managing Strategic Surprise
Author: Managing Strategic Surprise
Author: Paul J. BrackenPublisher:
ISBN: 9781107185753
Category : Electronic books
Languages : en
Pages : 318
Book Description
Asks whether risk management techniques can be successfully applied to contemporary national security challenges.
Managing strategic surprise by response to weak signals
Author: H. Igor AnsoffManaging Strategic Surprise
Author: Paul BrackenPublisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 9780521709606
Category : Political Science
Languages : en
Pages : 336
Book Description
The scope and applicability of risk management have expanded greatly over the past decade. Banks, corporations, and public agencies employ its new technologies both in their daily operations and long-term investments. It would be unimaginable today for a global bank to operate without such systems in place. Similarly, many areas of public management, from NASA to the Centers for Disease Control, have recast their programs using risk management strategies. It is particularly striking, therefore, that such thinking has failed to penetrate the field of national security policy. Venturing into uncharted waters, Managing Strategic Surprise brings together risk management experts and practitioners from different fields with internationally-recognized national security scholars to produce the first systematic inquiry into risk and its applications in national security. The contributors examine whether advance risk assessment and management techniques can be successfully applied to address contemporary national security challenges.
'The Management of Strategic Surprise'.
Author: Management of Strategic Surprise and Discontinuity
Author: Harry Igor AnsoffTransformation and Strategic Surprise
Author: Publisher: DIANE Publishing
ISBN: 1428910166
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 46
Book Description
Though discounted by Clausewitz in the circumstances of his era, strategic surprise has enjoyed considerable popularity over the past century. The possibility of achieving decisive results from attacks launched on short, or zero, warning has appeared to improve greatly with advances in technology. It follows that surprise has been recognized as offering what seem to be both golden opportunities and lethal dangers. Since surprise is an ironbound necessity for the tactical success of terrorism, it is understandable that it attracts a major degree of attention today. There is no real novelty about this. After all, for 40 years the United States and its North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) allies perpetually worried about surprise attack on the Central Front in Europe, as well as about a surprise first strike designed to disarm the United States of its ability to retaliate with its strategic nuclear forces.
Management of Strategic Surprise and Discontinuity
Author: Harry Igor AnsoffSurprise Attack
Author: Ephraim KAMPublisher: Harvard University Press
ISBN: 0674039297
Category : History
Languages : en
Pages : 295
Book Description
Ephraim Kam observes surprise attack through the eyes of its victim in order to understand the causes of the victim's failure to anticipate the coming of war. Emphasing the psychological aspect of warfare, Kam traces the behavior of the victim at various functional levels and from several points of view in order to examine the difficulties and mistakes that permit a nation to be taken by surprise. He argues that anticipation and prediction of a coming war are more complicated than any other issue of strategic estimation, involving such interdependent factors as analytical contradictions, judgemental biases, organizational obstacles, and political as well as military constraints. Surprise Attack: The Victim's Perspective offers implications based on the intelligence perspective, providing both historical background and scientific analysis that draws from the author's vast experience. The book is of utmost value to all those engaged in intelligence work, and to those whose operational or political responsibility brings them in touch with intelligence assessments and the need to authenticate and then adopt them or discount them. Similarly, the book will interest any reader intrigued by decision-making processes that influence individuals and nations at war, and sometimes even shape national destiny. --Ehud Barak, Former Prime Minister of Israel
Author: H. Igor Ansoff