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Macroeconomic Shocks and Trade Flows within Sub-Saharan Africa

Macroeconomic Shocks and Trade Flows within Sub-Saharan Africa PDF Author: Mr.Tamim Bayoumi
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1451927495
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 34

Book Description
Africa has more countries than any other continent, and hence the largest number of potential monetary and exchange rate arrangements. This paper looks at whether the existing highly fractured monetary arrangements in Sub-Saharan Africa correspond to what might be expected from the theory of optimum currency areas. This is done by analyzing both the size and correlation of real disturbances across countries and the level of intra-regional trade. The results indicate little evidence that Sub-Saharan African countries would benefit in the near future from larger currency unions.

Macroeconomic Shocks and Trade Flows within Sub-Saharan Africa

Macroeconomic Shocks and Trade Flows within Sub-Saharan Africa PDF Author: Mr.Tamim Bayoumi
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1451927495
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 34

Book Description
Africa has more countries than any other continent, and hence the largest number of potential monetary and exchange rate arrangements. This paper looks at whether the existing highly fractured monetary arrangements in Sub-Saharan Africa correspond to what might be expected from the theory of optimum currency areas. This is done by analyzing both the size and correlation of real disturbances across countries and the level of intra-regional trade. The results indicate little evidence that Sub-Saharan African countries would benefit in the near future from larger currency unions.

Macroeconomic Shocks and Trade Flows within Sub-Saharan Africa

Macroeconomic Shocks and Trade Flows within Sub-Saharan Africa PDF Author: Tamim Bayoumi
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 34

Book Description
Africa has more countries than any other continent, and hence the largest number of potential monetary and exchange rate arrangements. This paper looks at whether the existing highly fractured monetary arrangements in Sub-Saharan Africa correspond to what might be expected from the theory of optimum currency areas. This is done by analyzing both the size and correlation of real disturbances across countries and the level of intra-regional trade. The results indicate little evidence that Sub-Saharan African countries would benefit in the near future from larger currency unions.

Macroeconomic Shocks and Trade Flows Within Sub-Saharan Africa

Macroeconomic Shocks and Trade Flows Within Sub-Saharan Africa PDF Author: Tamim A. Bayoumi
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 0

Book Description


Macroeconomic Shocks and Trade Flows Within Sub-Saharan Africa

Macroeconomic Shocks and Trade Flows Within Sub-Saharan Africa PDF Author: Tamim A. Bayoumi
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 0

Book Description


Macroeconomic Fluctuations in Sub-Saharan Africa

Macroeconomic Fluctuations in Sub-Saharan Africa PDF Author: Alexander W. Hoffmaister
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Business cycles
Languages : en
Pages : 36

Book Description


Economic Fluctuations in Sub-Saharan Africa

Economic Fluctuations in Sub-Saharan Africa PDF Author: Mr.Giovanni Melina
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1484394534
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 32

Book Description
We compare business cycle fluctuations in Sub-Saharan African (SSA) countries vis-à-vis the rest of the world. Our main results are as follows: (i) African economies stand out by their macroeconomic volatility, which is is reflected in the volatility of output and other macro variables; (ii) inflation and output tend to be negatively correlated; (iii) unlike advanced economies and emerging markets (EMs), trade balances and current accounts are acyclical in SSA; (iv) the volatility of consumption and investment relative to GDP is larger than in other countries; (v) the cyclicality of consumption and investment is smaller than in advanced economies and EMs; (vi) there is little comovement between consumption and investment; (vii) consumption and investment are strongly positively correlated with imports.

Trade Integration and Global Value Chains in Sub-Saharan Africa

Trade Integration and Global Value Chains in Sub-Saharan Africa PDF Author: Céline Allard
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1498349900
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 43

Book Description
This analysis of the extent of trade integration of sub-Saharan African (SSA) countries in the global economy as well as within the region over the 1995–2013 period focuses on four key concepts: (1) trade openness, captured by import and export flows; (2) the centrality in the global and regional trade network, a measure that takes into account not only the size of trade but also the number of trade partners and the respective weight of these trade partners in global trade; (3) gravity model estimates that account for country- and region-specific determinants of bilateral trade flows; and (4) global value chain (GVC) integration. Using both existing data and a newly available dataset based on multiregion input and output tables, this analysis led to several findings: (1) trade openness has increased strongly; (2) integration in the global economy has made the region more vulnerable to external shocks; (3) levels of trade flows emanating from sub-Saharan Africa are still only half the magnitude of those experienced elsewhere in the world; (4) the region still has ways to go to better integrate in GVCs; and (5) it is more critical than ever to make progress in filling the infrastructure gap by lowering tariff and nontariff barriers, improving the business climate and access to credit, and continuing to enhance education outcomes.

Regional Growth Spillovers in Sub-Saharan Africa

Regional Growth Spillovers in Sub-Saharan Africa PDF Author: Francisco Arizala
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1513508806
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 29

Book Description
This paper documents the steady increase in intraregional trade in sub-Saharan Africa since 1980, links this rise to important growth spillovers in the region, and identifies the main source countries and those most vulnerable to the economic conditions of others. Estimates show that in the short run, positive idiosyncratic shocks to regional trading partners’ growth significantly increase growth in the average sub-Saharan African country, while in the long-run the annual impact of growth in regional trading partner’s is smaller in magnitude. Policy implications including the need to support further continent-wide integration and the associated growth spillovers are discussed. Actions policymakers in sub-Saharan Africa can take to capture the benefits of these spillovers, while limiting exposure to the associated risks, are also proposed.

Post-Stabilization Economics in Sub-Saharan Africa

Post-Stabilization Economics in Sub-Saharan Africa PDF Author: Mr.Shanaka J. Peiris
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1589066774
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 407

Book Description
Mozambique is an economic success story in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). Its remarkable achievements offer valuable lessons to other low-income countries in a post-stabilization economic phase, including how they can efficiently manage a scaling up of foreign aid aimed at poverty reduction. Of special interest to other sub-Saharan countries are the book's discussions of Mozambique's progress toward consolidating macroeconomic and financial stability, and the challenges it faces in ensuring long-term sustainability, creating a virtuous cycle of natural resource use, and implementing second-generation structural reforms to sustain its growth. This book also provides a summary of the most recent research on issues related to post-stabilization economics in SSA.

Real Overvaluation, Terms of Trade Shocks, and the Cost to Agriculture in Sub-Saharan Africa

Real Overvaluation, Terms of Trade Shocks, and the Cost to Agriculture in Sub-Saharan Africa PDF Author: Ibrahim Elbadawi
Publisher: World Bank Publications
ISBN:
Category : Africa
Languages : en
Pages : 72

Book Description
The observed decline of agriculture and the general worsening of economic conditions in Sub-Saharan Africa are linked to economic distortions, which limit growth.