Long-run Inflation-unemployment Dynamics PDF Download

Author: Marika Karanassou
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 52

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Author: Pierpaolo Benigno
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1451871813
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 48

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Wage setters take into account the future consequences of their current wage choices in the presence of downward nominal wage rigidities. Several interesting implications arise. First, a closed-form solution for a long-run Phillips curve relates average unemployment to average wage inflation; the curve is virtually vertical for high inflation rates but becomes flatter as inflation declines. Second, macroeconomic volatility shifts the Phillips curve outward, implying that stabilization policies can play an important role in shaping the trade-off. Third, nominal wages tend to be endogenously rigid also upward, at low inflation. Fourth, when inflation decreases, volatility of unemployment increases whereas the volatility of inflation decreases: this implies a long-run trade-off also between the volatility of unemployment and that of wage inflation.

Author: Mr.Troy Matheson
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1484334728
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 12

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Notwithstanding persistently-high unemployment following the Great Recession, inflation in the United States has been remarkably stable. We find that a traditional Phillips curve describes the behavior of inflation reasonably well since the 1960s. Using a non-linear Kalman filter that allows for time-varying parameters, we find that three factors have contributed to the observed stability of inflation: inflation expectations have become better anchored and to a lower level; the slope of the Phillips curve has flattened; and the importance of import-price inflation has increased.

Author: Marika Karanassou
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 58

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Author: Bozzano G Luisa
Publisher: Elsevier
ISBN: 0080545327
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 746

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A Textbook on Macroeconomic Knowledge and Analysis

Author: Rod Cross
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 9780521483308
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 404

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For 25 years, theory about the causes of, and possible solutions to, the problem of unemployment has been dominated by Phelps' and Friedman's natural rate of unemployment hypothesis. This postulates that the equilibrium rate of unemployment consistent with steady inflation is determined by structural variables: sustainable reductions in unemployment can be achieved only by measures to change underlying microeconomic structures, such as benefit and pay bargaining systems. Belief in the hypothesis has faltered since the 1980s, the hypothesis being unable to explain the dramatic upward shifts in European unemployment rates. These essays reflect upon the fundamental structures underlying the hypothesis, assess the related evidence, and look forwards, suggesting possible modifications. In contrast to the single rate postulated by the natural rate hypothesis, several of the contributors propose that there are ranges of unemployment rates consistent with steady inflation.

Author: Marika Karanassou
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 0

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The conventional wisdom that inflation and unemployment are unrelated in the long run implies the compartmentalization of macroeconomics. While one branch of the literature models inflation dynamics and estimates the unemployment rate compatible with inflation stability, another one determines the real economic factors that drive the natural rate of unemployment. In the context of the new Phillips curve, we show that frictional growth, i.e. the interplay between lags and growth, generates an inflation-unemployment trade-off in the long run. We thus argue that a holistic framework, such as the chain reaction theory (CRT), should be used to jointly explain the evolution of inflation and unemployment. A further attraction of the CRT approach is that it provides a synthesis of the traditional structural macroeconometric models and the (structural) vector autoregressions.

Author: Charles C. Holt
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 120

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Economic research report on the limitations of present government policies for the elimination of unemployment and inflation in the USA - covers economic theories on the dynamics of prices and wages, economic implications of employment policy for the maintenance of full employment, the efficiency of monetary policy and fiscal policy formulation, social implications of labour force training programmes, etc. Bibliography pp. 103 to 107.

Author: Robert M. Solow
Publisher: MIT Press
ISBN: 9780262692229
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 140

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Edited and with an introduction by Benjamin M. Friedman The connection between price inflation and real economic activity has been a focus of macroeconomic research--and debate--for much of the past century. Although this connection is crucial to our understanding of what monetary policy can and cannot accomplish, opinions about its basic properties have swung widely over the years. Today, virtually everyone studying monetary policy acknowledges that, contrary to what many modern macroeconomic models suggest, central bank actions often affect both inflation and measures of real economic activity, such as output, unemployment, and incomes. But the nature and magnitude of these effects are not yet understood. In this volume, Robert M. Solow and John B. Taylor present their views on the dilemmas facing U.S. monetary policymakers. The discussants are Benjamin M. Friedman, James K. Galbraith, N. Gregory Mankiw, and William Poole. The aim of this lively exchange of views is to make both an intellectual contribution to macroeconmics and a practical contribution to the solution of a public policy question of central importance.

Author: Samuel A. Morley
Publisher:
ISBN: 9780030410161
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 214

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