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Liquidity and Autocorrelations in Individual Stock Returns

Liquidity and Autocorrelations in Individual Stock Returns PDF Author: Doron Avramov
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 41

Book Description
This paper documents a strong relationship between short-run reversals and stock return illiquidity, even after controlling for trading volume. The largest reversals and the potential contrarian trading strategy profits occur in the high turnover, low liquidity stocks, as the price pressures caused by non-informational demands for immediacy are accommodated. Thus, the high frequency negative autocorrelations are more likely to result from stresses in the market for liquidity. The contrarian trading strategy profits are smaller than the likely transactions costs because the high turnover, low liquidity stocks face large transaction and market impact costs. This lack of profitability and the fact that the overall findings are consistent with rational equilibrium paradigms suggest that the violation of the efficient market hypothesis due to short-term reversals is not so egregious after all.

Liquidity and Autocorrelations in Individual Stock Returns

Liquidity and Autocorrelations in Individual Stock Returns PDF Author: Doron Avramov
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 41

Book Description
This paper documents a strong relationship between short-run reversals and stock return illiquidity, even after controlling for trading volume. The largest reversals and the potential contrarian trading strategy profits occur in the high turnover, low liquidity stocks, as the price pressures caused by non-informational demands for immediacy are accommodated. Thus, the high frequency negative autocorrelations are more likely to result from stresses in the market for liquidity. The contrarian trading strategy profits are smaller than the likely transactions costs because the high turnover, low liquidity stocks face large transaction and market impact costs. This lack of profitability and the fact that the overall findings are consistent with rational equilibrium paradigms suggest that the violation of the efficient market hypothesis due to short-term reversals is not so egregious after all.

Trading Volume and Cross-Autocorrelations in Stock Returns

Trading Volume and Cross-Autocorrelations in Stock Returns PDF Author: Tarun Chordia
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 32

Book Description
This paper finds that trading volume is a significant determinant of the lead-lag patterns observed in stock returns. Daily and weekly returns on high volume portfolios lead returns on low volume portfolios, controlling for firm size. Nonsynchronous trading or low volume portfolio autocorrelations cannot explain these findings. These patterns arise because returns on low volume portfolios respond more slowly to information in market returns. The speed of adjustment of individual stocks confirms these findings. Overall, the results indicate that differential speed of adjustment to information is a significant source of the cross-autocorrelation patterns in short-horizon stock returns.

Liquidity Risk and Expected Stock Returns

Liquidity Risk and Expected Stock Returns PDF Author: Ľuboš Pástor
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Corporations
Languages : en
Pages : 56

Book Description
This study investigates whether market-wide liquidity is a state variable important for asset pricing. We find that expected stock returns are related cross-sectionally to the sensitivities of returns to fluctuations in aggregate liquidity. Our monthly liquidity measure, an average of individual-stock measures estimated with daily data, relies on the principle that order flow induces greater return reversals when liquidity is lower. Over a 34-year period, the average return on stocks with high sensitivities to liquidity exceeds that for stocks with low sensitivities by 7.5% annually, adjusted for exposures to the market return as well as size, value, and momentum factors.

Stock Market Liquidity

Stock Market Liquidity PDF Author: François-Serge Lhabitant
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 0470181699
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 502

Book Description
Brings together today's best financial minds across the world to discuss the issue of liquidity in today's markets. It is often proxied by trade-based measures (such as trading volume, frequency of trading, dollar value of shares trade, etc), order based measures and price impact measures.

Liquidity Dynamics and Cross-Autocorrelations

Liquidity Dynamics and Cross-Autocorrelations PDF Author: Tarun Chordia
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 50

Book Description
This paper examines the mechanism by which the incorporation of information into prices leads to cross-autocorrelations in stock returns. We present a simple model where trading on private information occurs first in the large stocks and is transmitted to small stocks with a lag. Such trading impacts large stock liquidity, so that, in equilibrium, large stock illiquidity portends stronger cross-autocorrelations. Empirically, we find that the lead-lag relation between large and small stocks increases with lagged illiquidity indicators of large stocks. Further, order flows in large stocks significantly predict returns of small stocks when large stock spreads are high, at both the market and industry levels. In addition, the role of order flow and liquidity in predicting small stock returns is stronger prior to macro announcements (when information-based trading is more likely).

Liquidity Risk and Expected Stock Returns

Liquidity Risk and Expected Stock Returns PDF Author: Lubos Pastor
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 38

Book Description
This study investigates whether market-wide liquidity is a state variable important for asset pricing. We find that expected stock returns are related cross-sectionally to the sensitivities of returns to fluctuations in aggregate liquidity. Our monthly liquidity measure, an average of individual-stock measures estimated with daily data, relies on the principle that order flow induces greater return reversals when liquidity is lower. Over a 34-year period, the average return on stocks with high sensitivities to liquidity exceeds that for stocks with low sensitivities by 7.5% annually, adjusted for exposures to the market return as well as size, value, and momentum factors.

Essays on Liquidity and Stock Returns

Essays on Liquidity and Stock Returns PDF Author: Sai-Pang Chan
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Liquidity (Economics)
Languages : en
Pages : 240

Book Description


Liquidity Risk and Expect Stock Returns

Liquidity Risk and Expect Stock Returns PDF Author: Lubos Pastor
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :

Book Description
This study investigates whether marketwide liquidity is a state variable important for asset pricing. We find that expected stock returns are related cross-sectionally to the sensitivities of returns to fluctuations in aggregate liquidity. Our monthly liquidity measure, an average of individual-stock measures estimated with daily data, relies on the principle that order flow induces greater return reversals when liquidity is lower. From 1966 through 1999, the average return on stocks with high sensitivities to liquidity exceeds that for stocks with low sensitivities by 7.5 percent annually, adjusted for exposures to the market return as well as size, value, and momentum factors. Furthermore, a liquidity risk factor accounts for half of the profits to a momentum strategy over the same 34-year period.

Information-Based Trading and Autocorrelation in Individual Stock Returns

Information-Based Trading and Autocorrelation in Individual Stock Returns PDF Author: Xiangkang Yin
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 69

Book Description
Applying a recently developed approach, the paper estimates the daily arrival rates of buy and sell orders originated from different trading motives for each stock in a sample of NYSE-listed companies. Based on these arrival rates, it shows that stock return tends to continue on consecutive days when privately-informed trading prevails, leading to positive return autocorrelation. But return is more likely to reverse itself on days with continuous trading on dispersion in beliefs, leading return autocorrelation to be more negative. Contrarian trading strategies conditional on daily measures of investment disagreement can yield economically and statistically significant excess returns.

Trading Volume and Serial Correlation in Stock Returns

Trading Volume and Serial Correlation in Stock Returns PDF Author: John Y. Campbell
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Rate of return
Languages : en
Pages : 30

Book Description
This paper investigates the relationship between stock market trading volume and the autocorrelations of daily stock index returns. The paper finds that stock return autocorrelations tend to decline with trading volume. The paper explains this phenomenon using a model in which risk-averse "market makers" accommodate buying or selling pressure from "liquidity" or "non-informational" traders. Changing expected stock returns reward market makers for playing this role. The model implies that a stock price decline on a high-volume day is more likely than a stock price decline on a low-volume day to be associated with an increase in the expected stock return.