Author: Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 267
Book Description
Lights and Shadows of Domestic Life, and Other Stories
Author: Lights and Shadows of Domestic Life, and Other Stories
Author: Streetlights and Shadows
Author: Gary A. KleinPublisher: MIT Press
ISBN: 026225834X
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 355
Book Description
An expert explains how the conventional wisdom about decision making can get us into trouble—and why experience can’t be replaced by rules, procedures, or analytical methods In making decisions, when should we go with our gut and when should we try to analyze every option? When should we use our intuition and when should we rely on logic and statistics? Most of us would probably agree that for important decisions, we should follow certain guidelines—gather as much information as possible, compare the options, pin down the goals before getting started. But in practice we make some of our best decisions by adapting to circumstances rather than blindly following procedures. In Streetlights and Shadows, Gary Klein debunks the conventional wisdom about how to make decisions. He takes ten commonly accepted claims about decision making and shows that they are better suited for the laboratory than for life. The standard advice works well when everything is clear, but the tough decisions involve shadowy conditions of complexity and ambiguity. Gathering masses of information, for example, works if the information is accurate and complete—but that doesn't often happen in the real world. (Think about the careful risk calculations that led to the downfall of the Wall Street investment houses.) Klein offers more realistic ideas about how to make decisions in real-life settings. He provides many examples—ranging from airline pilots and weather forecasters to sports announcers and Captain Jack Aubrey in Patrick O’Brian’s Master and Commander novels—to make his point. All these decision makers saw things that others didn’t. They used their expertise to pick up cues and to discern patterns and trends. We can make better decisions, Klein tells us, if we are prepared for complexity and ambiguity and if we will stop expecting the data to tell us everything. “I know of no one who combines theory and observation—intellectual rigor and painstaking observation of the real world—so brilliantly and gracefully as Gary Klein.” —Malcolm Gladwell, author of Outliers and Blink
The Blithedale Romance
Author: Nathaniel HawthornePublisher:
ISBN:
Category : Collective farms
Languages : en
Pages : 312
Book Description
Home Lights and Shadows
Author: T.S. ArthurPublisher: BoD – Books on Demand
ISBN: 3734064783
Category : Fiction
Languages : en
Pages : 178
Book Description
Reproduction of the original: Home Lights and Shadows by T.S. Arthur
The Day I Met My Shadow
Author: Publisher:
ISBN: 9780692873885
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :
Book Description
When a little boy goes outside to play, he discovers something mysterious, which he can't seem to get away from, no matter how hard he tries.
Essays and Tales in Prose
Author: Barry CornwallCatalogue of the Library of the City Library Association ...
Author: Springfield City Library Association (Springfield, Mass.)Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Libraries
Languages : en
Pages : 696
Book Description
Bibliography of American Imprints to 1901: Main part
Author: Catalogue of the Mercantile Library of Philadelphia
Author: ohne AutorPublisher: BoD – Books on Demand
ISBN: 3846048054
Category : Fiction
Languages : en
Pages : 718
Book Description
Reprint of the original, first published in 1870.