Is Foreign Exchange Market Intervention an Alternative to Monetary Policy?

Is Foreign Exchange Market Intervention an Alternative to Monetary Policy? PDF Author: Rasmus Fatum
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 33

Book Description


Foreign Exchange Intervention Rules for Central Banks: A Risk-based Framework

Foreign Exchange Intervention Rules for Central Banks: A Risk-based Framework PDF Author: Romain Lafarguette
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1513569406
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 33

Book Description
This paper presents a rule for foreign exchange interventions (FXI), designed to preserve financial stability in floating exchange rate arrangements. The FXI rule addresses a market failure: the absence of hedging solution for tail exchange rate risk in the market (i.e. high volatility). Market impairment or overshoot of exchange rate between two equilibria could generate high volatility and threaten financial stability due to unhedged exposure to exchange rate risk in the economy. The rule uses the concept of Value at Risk (VaR) to define FXI triggers. While it provides to the market a hedge against tail risk, the rule allows the exchange rate to smoothly adjust to new equilibria. In addition, the rule is budget neutral over the medium term, encourages a prudent risk management in the market, and is more resilient to speculative attacks than other rules, such as fixed-volatility rules. The empirical methodology is backtested on Banco Mexico’s FXIs data between 2008 and 2016.

Japanese Monetary Policy

Japanese Monetary Policy PDF Author: Kenneth J. Singleton
Publisher: University of Chicago Press
ISBN: 0226760685
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 208

Book Description
How has the Bank of Japan (BOJ) helped shape Japan's economic growth during the past two decades? This book comprehensively explores the relations between financial market liberalization and BOJ policies and examines the ways in which these policies promoted economic growth in the 1980s. The authors argue that the structure of Japan's financial markets, particularly restrictions on money-market transactions and the key role of commercial banks in financing corporate investments, allowed the BOJ to influence Japan's economic success. The first two chapters provide the most in-depth English-language discussion of the BOJ's operating procedures and policymaker's views about how BOJ actions affect the Japanese business cycle. Chapter three explores the impact of the BOJ's distinctive window guidance policy on corporate investment, while chapter four looks at how monetary policy affects the term structure of interest rates in Japan. The final two chapters examine the overall effect of monetary policy on real aggregate economic activity. This volume will prove invaluable not only to economists interested in the technical operating procedures of the BOJ, but also to those interested in the Japanese economy and in the operation and outcome of monetary reform in general.

Foreign-Exchange Intervention Strategies and Market Expectations

Foreign-Exchange Intervention Strategies and Market Expectations PDF Author: Jean-Yves Gnabo
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 36

Book Description
This study extends the traditional set of central bank's interventions to include official announcements in order to provide empirical evidence on two pivotal questions: i) are FX authorities able to influence market expectations with different instruments? ii) how should interventions be designed to have the greatest impact? Using Japanese data over 1992-2004 and an event-study approach, we estimate the effect of different strategies on the USD/JPY exchange rate risk neutral density. Overall, transparent policies (public and oral interventions) appear to be the most effective. Moreover, the effect is greater when policies involve a financial cost (risk) suggesting that simple announcements can only be deemed as an imperfect substitute for actual interventions.

Monetary and Exchange System Reforms in China

Monetary and Exchange System Reforms in China PDF Author: Mr.Bernard Laurens
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 9781557755629
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 108

Book Description
In 1978, China embarked on a gradual but far-reaching reform of its economic system. This paper focuses on the achievements so far in reforming the financial sector, the legal framework for financial transactions, the payments system, and the monetary policy and foreign exchange system. It also analyzes the tasks ahead to achieve the goals set in these areas for the year 2000.

Monetary and Currency Policy Management in Asia

Monetary and Currency Policy Management in Asia PDF Author: Masahiro Kawai
Publisher: Edward Elgar Publishing
ISBN: 0857933353
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 321

Book Description
Asian economies strengthened their monetary and currency management after the Asian financial crisis of 19971998, and came through the global financial crisis of 20072009 relatively well. Nevertheless, the recent global crisis has presented new challenges. This book develops recommendations for monetary and currency policy in Asian economies aimed at promoting macroeconomic and financial stability in an environment of global economic shocks and volatile capital flows. Monetary and Currency Policy Management in Asia draws lessons from crises and makes concrete macroeconomic policy recommendations aimed at minimizing the impacts of an economic and financial downturn, and setting the stage for an early return to sustainable growth. The focus is on short-term measures related to the cycle. The three main areas addressed are: monetary policy measures, both conventional and unconventional, to achieve both macroeconomic and financial stability; exchange rate policy and foreign exchange reserve management, including the potential for regional cooperation to stabilize currency movements; and ways to ease the constraints on policy resulting from the so-called 'impossible trinity' of fixed exchange rates, open capital accounts and independent monetary policy. This is one of the first books since the global financial crisis to specifically and comprehensively address the implications of the crisis for monetary and currency policy in emerging market economies, especially in Asia. Presenting a broad menu of policy options for financial reform and regulation, the book will be of great interest to finance experts and policymakers in the region as well as academics and researchers of financial and Asian economics as well as economic development.

Market Volatility and Foreign Exchange Intervention in EMEs

Market Volatility and Foreign Exchange Intervention in EMEs PDF Author: Banco de Pagos Internacionales (Basilea, Suiza). Departamento Monetario y Económico
Publisher:
ISBN: 9789291319626
Category : Banks and banking, Central
Languages : es
Pages : 0

Book Description


Unveiling the Effects of Foreign Exchange Intervention

Unveiling the Effects of Foreign Exchange Intervention PDF Author: Gustavo Adler
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1513534602
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 42

Book Description
We study the effect of foreign exchange intervention on the exchange rate relying on an instrumental-variables panel approach. We find robust evidence that intervention affects the level of the exchange rate in an economically meaningful way. A purchase of foreign currency of 1 percentage point of GDP causes a depreciation of the nominal and real exchange rates in the ranges of [1.7-2.0] percent and [1.4-1.7] percent respectively. The effects are found to be quite persistent. The paper also explores possible asymmetric effects, and whether effectiveness depends on the depth of domestic financial markets.

Dollar Overvaluation and the World Economy

Dollar Overvaluation and the World Economy PDF Author: C. Fred Bergsten
Publisher: Peterson Institute
ISBN: 9780881323511
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 334

Book Description
This report provides alternative views of how large a dollar depreciation would be needed to restore a sustainable position; analyzes the impact of currency misalignments on each of the three major economies; and discusses the role of exchange market intervention in addressing the issues.

Policy Uncertainty in Japan

Policy Uncertainty in Japan PDF Author: Ms.Elif C Arbatli
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1484302362
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 48

Book Description
We develop new economic policy uncertainty (EPU) indices for Japan from January 1987 onwards building on the approach of Baker, Bloom and Davis (2016). Each index reflects the frequency of newspaper articles that contain certain terms pertaining to the economy, policy matters and uncertainty. Our overall EPU index co-varies positively with implied volatilities for Japanese equities, exchange rates and interest rates and with a survey-based measure of political uncertainty. The EPU index rises around contested national elections and major leadership transitions in Japan, during the Asian Financial Crisis and in reaction to the Lehman Brothers failure, U.S. debt downgrade in 2011, Brexit referendum, and Japan’s recent decision to defer a consumption tax hike. Our uncertainty indices for fiscal, monetary, trade and exchange rate policy co-vary positively but also display distinct dynamics. VAR models imply that upward EPU innovations foreshadow deteriorations in Japan’s macroeconomic performance, as reflected by impulse response functions for investment, employment and output. Our study adds to evidence that credible policy plans and strong policy frameworks can favorably influence macroeconomic performance by, in part, reducing policy uncertainty.