Intervention, Interest Rates, and Charts PDF Download

Author: Mr.Mark P. Taylor
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1451947038
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 31

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Book Description
This paper contains essays on sterilized intervention, on covered interest rate parity, and on chartist analysis in financial markets. Each essay contains a definition, brief survey of the empirical evidence and overall assessment of each topic.

Author: Mark P. Taylor
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 31

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Book Description
This paper contains essays on sterilized intervention, on covered interest rate parity, and on chartist analysis in financial markets. Each essay contains a definition, brief survey of the empirical evidence and overall assessment of each topic.

Author: Gustavo Adler
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1513566679
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 67

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Book Description
Foreign exchange intervention (FXI) is a highly debated topic. Yet, comprehensive and comparable data on FXI is hard to find. This paper provides a new dataset of FXI covering a large number of countries over the period 2000-20 at monthly and quarterly frequencies. It includes publicly available data for about 40 countries and carefully constructed proxies for 122 countries. Proxies are focused on both spot and derivative transactions that alter the central bank’s foreign currency position and account for a wide range of central bank operations, including vis-à-vis residents, the first proxy to do so to our knowledge. The paper discusses the merits of the new proxy relative to coarser measures traditionally used like the change in reserves, and potential definitional differences with published data. The paper also presents stylized facts using our newly constructed FXI proxies.

Author: Andreas M. Fischer
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Banks and banking, Central
Languages : en
Pages : 44

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Author: Markus Bruetsch
Publisher: GRIN Verlag
ISBN: 3638201481
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 24

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Book Description
Essay from the year 2003 in the subject Business economics - Banking, Stock Exchanges, Insurance, Accounting, grade: 1,5 (A), Oxford Brookes University (Business School), course: Synoptic Essays in International Banking & Finance, language: English, abstract: After the collapse of the Bretton-Woods-System in 1973 and the transition to a system of floating rates between the major global currencies, central banks still use interventions for exchange rate maintenance. This paper aims to examine the function of Central Bank operations in foreign exchange markets on the basis of two empirical data sets, explaining both, appreciation and depreciation. It tries to analyse the impacts on capital flows recorded in the balance of payments and the efficiency of interventions. Further it will analyse the impacts on domestic monetary supplies and if necessary how to sterilise these effects. At certain stages endnotes will refer to the appendix for more detailed explanations or data. To illustrate, how central bank interventions work, we will take the European Central Bank (ECB) as an example and concentrate on two currencies, the euro (€) and the US dollar ($). [...] If the ECB aims at an appreciation of the own currency, the bank will engage in a foreign exchange operation and buy euros against its US dollar reserves. The demand for euros increases (demand curve shifts to the right) and simultaneously supply is reduced, because the ECB takes Euro out of the market (supply curve shifts to the left). Through the forces of supply and demand the value of the euro will strengthen in international markets (the exchange rate moves from r1 to r2). Depreciation (see diagram 2) If the ECB aims at a depreciation of the own currency, the bank will sell euros against dollars. In this case, demand for euros declines (demand curve shifts to left) and the supply increases (shift to the right) because the ECB pays the purchased dollars in euro. Again, the forces of supply and demand determine the new exchange rate at r2. The value of the euro will weaken in international markets (and inversely the US dollar value will rise). [...]

Author: Romain Lafarguette
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1513569406
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 33

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Book Description
This paper presents a rule for foreign exchange interventions (FXI), designed to preserve financial stability in floating exchange rate arrangements. The FXI rule addresses a market failure: the absence of hedging solution for tail exchange rate risk in the market (i.e. high volatility). Market impairment or overshoot of exchange rate between two equilibria could generate high volatility and threaten financial stability due to unhedged exposure to exchange rate risk in the economy. The rule uses the concept of Value at Risk (VaR) to define FXI triggers. While it provides to the market a hedge against tail risk, the rule allows the exchange rate to smoothly adjust to new equilibria. In addition, the rule is budget neutral over the medium term, encourages a prudent risk management in the market, and is more resilient to speculative attacks than other rules, such as fixed-volatility rules. The empirical methodology is backtested on Banco Mexico’s FXIs data between 2008 and 2016.

Author: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
Publisher:
ISBN: 9780894991967
Category : Banks and Banking
Languages : en
Pages : 0

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Book Description
Provides an in-depth overview of the Federal Reserve System, including information about monetary policy and the economy, the Federal Reserve in the international sphere, supervision and regulation, consumer and community affairs and services offered by Reserve Banks. Contains several appendixes, including a brief explanation of Federal Reserve regulations, a glossary of terms, and a list of additional publications.

Author: Luís Brandão Marques
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1513570080
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 84

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Book Description
This paper focuses on negative interest rate policies and covers a broad range of its effects, with a detailed discussion of findings in the academic literature and of broader country experiences.

Author: Gustavo Adler
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 148433230X
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 37

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Book Description
The accumulation of large foreign asset positions by many central banks through sustained foreign exchange (FX) intervention has raised questions about its associated fiscal costs. This paper clarifies conceptual issues regarding how to measure these costs both from an ex-post and an ex-ante (relevant for decision making) perspective, and estimates both marginal and total costs for 73 countries over the period 2002-13. We find ex-ante marginal costs for the median emerging market economy (EME) in the inter-quartile range of 2-5.5 percent per year; while ex-ante total costs (of sustaining FX positions) in the range of 0.2-0.7 percent of GDP per year for light interveners and 0.3-1.2 percent of GDP per year for heavy interveners. These estimates indicate that fiscal costs of sustained FX intervention (via expanding central bank balance sheets) are not negligible.

Author: Andreas Jobst
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1475524471
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 48

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Book Description
More than two years ago the European Central Bank (ECB) adopted a negative interest rate policy (NIRP) to achieve its price stability objective. Negative interest rates have so far supported easier financial conditions and contributed to a modest expansion in credit, demonstrating that the zero lower bound is less binding than previously thought. However, interest rate cuts also weigh on bank profitability. Substantial rate cuts may at some point outweigh the benefits from higher asset values and stronger aggregate demand. Further monetary accommodation may need to rely more on credit easing and an expansion of the ECB’s balance sheet rather than substantial additional reductions in the policy rate.