International Spillovers and Volatility Asymmetries PDF Download

Author: Kee-hong Bae
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Investments, Foreign
Languages : en
Pages : 32

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Author: Zihui Yang
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :

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We document asymmetric networks of implied volatility spillovers across global stock and commodity markets as well as the US Treasury market. There are significant asymmetries in the roles of US stock and bond markets as volatility suppliers to other countries and markets. Shocks from the US generate intensifying volatility spillovers across countries and asset classes. Our findings offer new evidence for the recent theory that shocks from an individual market or sector can lead to sizable aggregate fluctuations if network linkages are sufficiently asymmetric. We also provide a new tool for event studies in a network setting.

Author: Mr.Ashvin Ahuja
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1475515057
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 23

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Over the past decade, China’s growth model has become more reliant on investment and its footprint in global imports has widened substantially. Several economies within China’s supply chain are increasingly exposed to its investment-led growth and face growing risks from a deceleration in investment in China. This note quantifies potential global spillovers from an investment slowdown in China. It finds that a one percentage point slowdown in investment in China is associated with a reduction of global growth of just under one-tenth of a percentage point. The impact is about five times larger than in 2002. Regional supply chain economies and commodity exporters with relatively less diversified economies are most vulnerable to an investment slowdown in China. The spillover effects also register strongly across a range of macroeconomic, trade, and financial variables among G20 trading partners.

Author: Bo Guan
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 0

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This paper uses a Multiplicative Error Model (MEM) framework to investigate the asymmetric volatility spillovers among four major global asset markets: stock, bond, gold, and crude oil. It provides evidence that those spillovers are influenced by different events and economic conditions that vary across time. It identifies markets that are net providers and net takers of spillovers in each market. Specifically, we find that the stock market is the net provider, while the bond and gold markets play a mixed role. We also show that the spillover effects are mostly negative for the stock and crude oil markets and mostly positive for the bond market. We further shed light on the role of safe-haven assets at times of market turmoil by showing that these assets can play a significant role in mitigating spillover effects and providing investors with hedging opportunities. These findings have important implications for investors, who are seeking to manage risks, and policymakers, who are interested in stabilizing the markets. Keywords: asymmetric volatility spillovers, global asset markets, Multiplicative Error Model (MEM), spillover balance index.

Author: Mark Watson
Publisher: Oxford University Press
ISBN: 0199549494
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 432

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A volume that celebrates and develops the work of Nobel Laureate Robert Engle, it includes original contributions from some of the world's leading econometricians that further Engle's work in time series economics

Author: Nicholas Apergis
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :

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We investigate cross-market volatility spillover effects across New York and London foreign exchange and equity markets. By using several daily data-sets, each relating to a different time of the day, and the generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity approach, the empirical analysis found volatility spillover effects (meteor shower effects) from the foreign exchange market in London and New York to the equity market in New York and London, respectively. By contrast, the results did not show volatility spillover effects from the equity markets to the foreign exchange markets across New York and London. Copyright 2001 by Blackwell Publishers Ltd and The Victoria University of Manchester.

Author: Francis X. Diebold
Publisher: Oxford University Press
ISBN: 0199338329
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 285

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Connections among different assets, asset classes, portfolios, and the stocks of individual institutions are critical in examining financial markets. Interest in financial markets implies interest in underlying macroeconomic fundamentals. In Financial and Macroeconomic Connectedness, Frank Diebold and Kamil Yilmaz propose a simple framework for defining, measuring, and monitoring connectedness, which is central to finance and macroeconomics. These measures of connectedness are theoretically rigorous yet empirically relevant. The approach to connectedness proposed by the authors is intimately related to the familiar econometric notion of variance decomposition. The full set of variance decompositions from vector auto-regressions produces the core of the 'connectedness table.' The connectedness table makes clear how one can begin with the most disaggregated pair-wise directional connectedness measures and aggregate them in various ways to obtain total connectedness measures. The authors also show that variance decompositions define weighted, directed networks, so that these proposed connectedness measures are intimately related to key measures of connectedness used in the network literature. After describing their methods in the first part of the book, the authors proceed to characterize daily return and volatility connectedness across major asset (stock, bond, foreign exchange and commodity) markets as well as the financial institutions within the U.S. and across countries since late 1990s. These specific measures of volatility connectedness show that stock markets played a critical role in spreading the volatility shocks from the U.S. to other countries. Furthermore, while the return connectedness across stock markets increased gradually over time the volatility connectedness measures were subject to significant jumps during major crisis events. This book examines not only financial connectedness, but also real fundamental connectedness. In particular, the authors show that global business cycle connectedness is economically significant and time-varying, that the U.S. has disproportionately high connectedness to others, and that pairwise country connectedness is inversely related to bilateral trade surpluses.

Author: Martin Feldstein
Publisher: University of Chicago Press
ISBN: 0226241807
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 500

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Recent changes in technology, along with the opening up of many regions previously closed to investment, have led to explosive growth in the international movement of capital. Flows from foreign direct investment and debt and equity financing can bring countries substantial gains by augmenting local savings and by improving technology and incentives. Investing companies acquire market access, lower cost inputs, and opportunities for profitable introductions of production methods in the countries where they invest. But, as was underscored recently by the economic and financial crises in several Asian countries, capital flows can also bring risks. Although there is no simple explanation of the currency crisis in Asia, it is clear that fixed exchange rates and chronic deficits increased the likelihood of a breakdown. Similarly, during the 1970s, the United States and other industrial countries loaned OPEC surpluses to borrowers in Latin America. But when the U.S. Federal Reserve raised interest rates to control soaring inflation, the result was a widespread debt moratorium in Latin America as many countries throughout the region struggled to pay the high interest on their foreign loans. International Capital Flows contains recent work by eminent scholars and practitioners on the experience of capital flows to Latin America, Asia, and eastern Europe. These papers discuss the role of banks, equity markets, and foreign direct investment in international capital flows, and the risks that investors and others face with these transactions. By focusing on capital flows' productivity and determinants, and the policy issues they raise, this collection is a valuable resource for economists, policymakers, and financial market participants.

Author: OECD
Publisher: OECD Publishing
ISBN: 9264272321
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 136

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This report describes the development of the green bond market as an innovative instrument for green finance, and provides a review of policy actions and options to promote further market development and growth. Since 2007-08, so-called “green bonds” have emerged and the market has risen from ...

Author: Lloyd P Blenman
Publisher: World Scientific
ISBN: 9814467871
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 445

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Book Description
This timely collection of papers probes into the major issues that are at the heart of our current financial market crises. The coverage of banking topics include the changing nature of intra and inter-bank markets, bank lending behavior, risk and risk-taking, the role of liquidity, return and maturity transformation issues. Issues on international financial market volatility and spillover effects are analyzed in detail, and intense discussions on capital adequacy and regulation in banking, and the potential role of banks' activities in the triggering of financial crises provide forward-looking insights.This volume will offer readers current and innovative approaches to assessing extant issues in banking and financial markets. In particular, it provides new ideas about the role of corporate governance institutions as signaling devices in exercising regulatory authority and protection of the shareholders' rights. What this volume covers in breadth, it also delves in depth with critical analyses and commentaries on the possible role of bank lending in triggering international crises, value creation in international joint ventures and the pricing of risk in international financial markets.