International investment and interest rate linkages under flexible exchange rates PDF Download

Author: Pentti J. K. Kouri
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : sv
Pages : 68

View

Book Description

Author: Robert Cumby
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Foreign exchange
Languages : en
Pages : 38

View

Book Description
"In an open economy, the scope for activist stabilization policy depends on the nature of the linkages between domestic and international markets for goods and assets. Two important relationships--purchasing power parity and uncovered interest-rate parity--have received extensive empirical attention in recent years and are fundamental building blocks of several empirical ex- change rate models. This paper reviews and extends recent econometric findings on these two classical parity relationships and on their corollary, the international equality of expected real interest rates. Econometric tests assuming rationality of expectations are on the whole unfavorable to the classical parity relationships: with few exceptions, they are strongly rejected. A central theme in the review of empirical work is the conditional heteroskedasticity of inflation and exchange rate forecast errors and the bias this statistical problem may impart to tests of inter- national parity relationships. The paper proposes and implements a test for conditional heteroskedasticity which in many cases produces strong evidence that the problem is indeed important"--NBER website.

Author: John Murray
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Capital movements
Languages : en
Pages : 68

View

Book Description

Author: Masahiro Kawai
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Foreign exchange
Languages : en
Pages : 546

View

Book Description

Author: Rupa Duttagupta
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN:
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 36

View

Book Description
A growing number of countries are adopting flexible exchange rate regimes because flexibility offers more protection against external shocks and greater monetary independence. Other countries have made the transition under disorderly conditions, with the sharp depreciation of their currency during a crisis. Regardless of the reason for adopting a flexible exchange rate, a successful transition depends on the effective management of a number of institutional and operational issues. The authors of this Economic Issue describe the necessary ingredients for moving to a flexible regime, as well as the optimal pace and sequencing under different conditions.

Author: Mr.Nicolas E. Magud
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1463936427
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 24

View

Book Description
The prospects of expansionary monetary policies in the advanced countries for the foreseeable future have renewed the debate over policy options to cope with large capital inflows that are, at least partly, driven by low interest rates in the financial centers. Historically, capital flow bonanzas have often fueled sharp credit expansions in advanced and emerging market economies alike. Focusing primarily on emerging markets, we analyze the impact of exchange rate flexibility on credit markets during periods of large capital inflows. We show that bank credit grows more rapidly and its composition tilts to foreign currency in economies with less flexible exchange rate regimes, and that these results are not explained entirely by the fact that the latter attract more capital inflows than economies with more flexible regimes. Our findings thus suggest countries with less flexible exchange rate regimes may stand to benefit the most from regulatory policies that reduce banks' incentives to tap external markets and to lend/borrow in foreign currency; these policies include marginal reserve requirements on foreign lending, currency-dependent liquidity requirements, and higher capital requirement and/or dynamic provisioning on foreign exchange loans.

Author: Mr.Joshua Aizenman
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN:
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 38

View

Book Description
This paper investigates the factors determining the impact of exchange rate regimes on the behavior of domestic investment and foreign direct investment (FDI). Producers may diversify internationally in order to increase the flexibility of production. We characterize the possible equilibria in a macro model that allows for the presence of a short-run Phillips curve. It is shown that a fixed exchange rate regime is more conducive to FDI relative to a flexible exchange rate, and this conclusion applies for both real and nominal shocks. If the dominant shocks are nominal (real) we will observe a negative (a positive) correlation between exchange rate volatility and the level of investment.

Author: Klaas Knot
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1451896530
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 30

View

Book Description
This paper investigates international co-movement in bond yields by testing for uncovered interest parity (UIP). Existing work is supplemented by focusing on long instead of short-term interest rates and by employing exchange rate expectations derived from purchasing power parity (PPP) instead of actual outcomes. Among the major currencies during 1975-97, the paper does not find a further increase in co-movement beyond that associated with the wave of financial market liberalization in the early 1980s. Given the similarity between PPP-based UIP tests and those employing actual exchange rate outcomes, the value added of the former lies mainly with data availability.

Author: Mr.Julian Di Giovanni
Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND
ISBN: 9781451862973
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 46

View

Book Description
This paper explores the connection between interest rates in major industrial countries and annual real output growth in other countries. The results show that high large-country interest rates have a contractionary effect on annual real GDP growth in the domestic economy, but that this effect is centered on countries with fixed exchange rates. The paper then examines the potential channels through which large-country interest rates affect small economies. The direct monetary policy channel is the most likely channel when compared with other possibilities, such as a general capital market effect or a trade effect.

Author: John F. Bilson
Publisher: University of Chicago Press
ISBN: 0226050998
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 542

View

Book Description
This volume grew out of a National Bureau of Economic Research conference on exchange rates held in Bellagio, Italy, in 1982. In it, the world's most respected international monetary economists discuss three significant new views on the economics of exchange rates - Rudiger Dornbusch's overshooting model, Jacob Frenkel's and Michael Mussa's asset market variants, and Pentti Kouri's current account/portfolio approach. Their papers test these views with evidence from empirical studies and analyze a number of exchange rate policies in use today, including those of the European Monetary System.