Inflation Targeting Lite' in Small Open Economies PDF Download

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Inflation Targeting Lite' in Small Open Economies

Inflation Targeting Lite' in Small Open Economies PDF Author: International Monetary Fund
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1451861915
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 26

Book Description
This paper develops a new macrofinance model for small open economies, allowing the investigation of Mauritius's experience with 'inflation targeting lite' as described in Stone (2003). It finds that this monetary policy regime has been associated with a general reduction in inflation, principally through a reduction in inflation expectations. The credibility the Bank of Mauritius has established with its 'inflation targeting lite' regime has allowed it to shift from an emphasis on exchange rate targeting towards inflation targeting. By estimating a model in which the yield curve is modeled explicitly we are able to obtain estimates of inflation expectations.

Inflation Targeting Lite' in Small Open Economies

Inflation Targeting Lite' in Small Open Economies PDF Author: International Monetary Fund
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1451861915
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 26

Book Description
This paper develops a new macrofinance model for small open economies, allowing the investigation of Mauritius's experience with 'inflation targeting lite' as described in Stone (2003). It finds that this monetary policy regime has been associated with a general reduction in inflation, principally through a reduction in inflation expectations. The credibility the Bank of Mauritius has established with its 'inflation targeting lite' regime has allowed it to shift from an emphasis on exchange rate targeting towards inflation targeting. By estimating a model in which the yield curve is modeled explicitly we are able to obtain estimates of inflation expectations.

Inflation Targeting in a Small Open Economy

Inflation Targeting in a Small Open Economy PDF Author: Alan Sutherland
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Anti-inflationary policies
Languages : en
Pages : 48

Book Description


Hybrid Inflation Targeting Regimes

Hybrid Inflation Targeting Regimes PDF Author: Jorge Restrepo
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1451873816
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 59

Book Description
This paper uses a DSGE model to examine whether including the exchange rate explicitly in the central bank's policy reaction function can improve macroeconomic performance. It is found that including an element of exchange rate smoothing in the policy reaction function is helpful both for financially robust advanced economies and for financially vulnerable emerging economies in handling risk premium shocks. As long as the weight placed on exchange rate smoothing is relatively small, the effects on inflation and output volatility in the event of demand and cost-push shocks are minimal. Financially vulnerable emerging economies are especially likely to benefit from some exhange rate smoothing because of the perverse impact of exchange rate movements on activity.

Monetary Policy and Exchange Rate Volatility in a Small Open Economy

Monetary Policy and Exchange Rate Volatility in a Small Open Economy PDF Author: Jordi Galí
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Anti-inflationary policies
Languages : en
Pages : 64

Book Description
We lay out a small open economy version of the Calvo sticky price model, and show how the equilibrium dynamics can be reduced to a tractable canonical system in domestic inflation and the output gap. We employ this framework to analyze the macroeconomic implications of three alternative monetary policy regimes for the small open economy: domestic inflation targeting, CPI targeting and an exchange rate peg. We show that a key difference among these regimes lies in the relative amount of exchange rate volatility that they entail. We also discuss a special case for which domestic inflation targeting constitutes the optimal policy, and where a simple second order approximation to the utility of the representative consumer can be derived and used to evaluate the welfare losses associated with suboptimal regimes.

Monetary Policy and Exchange Rate Volatility in a Small Open Economy

Monetary Policy and Exchange Rate Volatility in a Small Open Economy PDF Author: Jonas Böhmer
Publisher: GRIN Verlag
ISBN: 3640438590
Category : Political Science
Languages : en
Pages : 18

Book Description
Seminar paper from the year 2008 in the subject Business economics - Economic Policy, grade: 1,3, University of Bonn (Wirtschaftspolitische Abteilung der Rechts- und Staatswissenschaftlichen Fakultät), course: Geldtheorie- und politik, language: English, abstract: Does inflation reduce welfare? What is worse, a volatile exchange rate or a high inflation rate? And is the central bank able to drive these variables? These questions are the topic of a paper by Jordi Gali and Tommaso Monacelli, published in 2005 and titled “Monetary Policy and Exchange Rate Volatility in a Small Open Economy”. As apparent by the title Gali and Monacelli (G+M) analyze the influence of monetary policy on the volatility of the exchange rate, more precisely the nominal exchange rate and the terms of trade. For this purpose they create a small open economy with sticky prices of Calvo-type. Due to its minor size this economy does not influence the world economy. However, depending on the degree of openness this economy is affected by the rest of the world. Having specified this framework, G+M introduce three different monetary regimes and evaluate the resulting exchange rate volatilities . Using a central bank loss function G+M rank these three rules according to the implied welfare which shows a positive correlation between welfare and exchange rate volatility. Thence G+M prefer Taylor rules over an exchange rate pegging. To get a general idea of Gali and Monacelli`s argumentation this expose will start in chapter 2 with an abbreviated overlook over G+M’s model of a small open economy. In the following chapter there will be the introduction of the three central bank rules, necessary to close the model, as well as an analysis of the underlying welfare levels. Since the welfare evaluation is based on some special assumptions, chapter 4 will give an overview of recent literature which discusses possible extensions as well as their implications for G+M’s ranking of implied welfare. Concluding chapter 5 will summarize G+M’s most important results as well as evaluate if the possible extensions render G+M’s analysis, respectively their results, worthless.

Exchange Rate Effects and Inflation Targeting in a Small Open Economy

Exchange Rate Effects and Inflation Targeting in a Small Open Economy PDF Author: Reserve Bank of New Zealand
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Foreign exchange rates
Languages : en
Pages : 32

Book Description


Inflation Targeting in a Small Open Economy

Inflation Targeting in a Small Open Economy PDF Author: Nargis Bharucha
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Inflation (Finance)
Languages : en
Pages : 42

Book Description
This paper investigates the merits of aggregate inflation targeting compared with non-traded inflation targeting using a model of a small open economy producing traded and non-traded goods. An important innovation of our approach is that we isolate the effects of exchange rate, supply and demand shocks by analysing the conditional variance of macroeconomic variables. We show that monetary policy should be more activist in response to exchange rate shocks for a flexible aggregate inflation target than for a flexible non-traded inflation target. However, in response to demand and supply shocks monetary policy is more activist for a flexible non-traded inflation target. The result is robust to the inclusion of forward-looking expectations, gradual exchange rate pass-through, and discretionary policy. In order to avoid excessive volatility in product and financial markets, it may be preferable to target inflation over a medium-term horizon.

Inflation Targeting and Exchange Rate Management In Less Developed Countries

Inflation Targeting and Exchange Rate Management In Less Developed Countries PDF Author: Mr.Marco Airaudo
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1513567438
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 65

Book Description
We analyze coordination of monetary and exchange rate policy in a two-sector model of a small open economy featuring imperfect substitution between domestic and foreign financial assets. Our central finding is that management of the exchange rate greatly enhances the efficacy of inflation targeting. In a flexible exchange rate system, inflation targeting incurs a high risk of indeterminacy where macroeconomic fluctuations can be driven by self-fulfilling expectations. Moreover, small inflation shocks may escalate into much larger increases in inflation ex post. Both problems disappear when the central bank leans heavily against the wind in a managed float.

Price-level Versus Inflation Targeting in a Small Open Economy

Price-level Versus Inflation Targeting in a Small Open Economy PDF Author: Gabriel Srour
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 20

Book Description


Inflation Targeting and Exchange Rate Rules in an Open Economy

Inflation Targeting and Exchange Rate Rules in an Open Economy PDF Author: Mr.Eric Parrado
Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND
ISBN: 9781451921892
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 37

Book Description
This paper provides a simple dynamic neo-Keynesian model that can be used to analyze the impact of monetary policy that considers inflation targeting in a small open economy. This economy is characterized by imperfect competition and short-run price rigidity. The main findings of the paper are that, depending on what shocks affect the economy, the effects of inflation targeting on output and inflation volatility depend crucially on the exchange rate regime and the inflation index being targeted. First, in the presence of real shocks, flexible exchange rates dominate managed exchange rates, while for nominal shocks the reverse is true. Second, domestically generated inflation targeting is preferable to CPI inflation targeting, because the former is more stabilizing not only in relation to both measures of inflation, but also to the output gap and the real exchange rate. Finally, flexible inflation targeting outperforms strict inflation targeting in terms of welfare.