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Author: Björn Döhring Publisher: ISBN: Category : European Economic Community countries Languages : en Pages : 72
Book Description
This paper assesses the implications of EMU for world macroeconomic and financial stability. After reviewing the predictions made by the literature, it looks at the evidence of the first ten years of EMU. In so doing, it distinguishes the effect of EMU from global factors at work since the 1980s, often referred to as zthe Great Moderationy. The paper concludes that EMU is on the whole having a stabilising effect on the world economy, particularly in neighbouring countries. By helping to stabilise interest rates, inflation and GDP growth in the euro area, EMU has contributed to greater stability of those variables in other advanced countries. There is also evidence that EMU is facilitating international risk sharing and consumption smoothing. Predictions that EMU would increase exchange rate volatility are, in general, not confirmed by the data. However, the amplitude of mediumterm exchange rate swings has increased for some currency pairs. Moreover, there is little evidence so far that EMU has facilitated international policy coordination, partly reflecting the still fragmented representation of the euro area in multilateral fora. -- EU Bookshop.
Author: Björn Döhring Publisher: ISBN: Category : European Economic Community countries Languages : en Pages : 72
Book Description
This paper assesses the implications of EMU for world macroeconomic and financial stability. After reviewing the predictions made by the literature, it looks at the evidence of the first ten years of EMU. In so doing, it distinguishes the effect of EMU from global factors at work since the 1980s, often referred to as zthe Great Moderationy. The paper concludes that EMU is on the whole having a stabilising effect on the world economy, particularly in neighbouring countries. By helping to stabilise interest rates, inflation and GDP growth in the euro area, EMU has contributed to greater stability of those variables in other advanced countries. There is also evidence that EMU is facilitating international risk sharing and consumption smoothing. Predictions that EMU would increase exchange rate volatility are, in general, not confirmed by the data. However, the amplitude of mediumterm exchange rate swings has increased for some currency pairs. Moreover, there is little evidence so far that EMU has facilitated international policy coordination, partly reflecting the still fragmented representation of the euro area in multilateral fora. -- EU Bookshop.
Author: M. Ayhan Kose Publisher: World Bank Publications ISBN: 1464815453 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 403
Book Description
The global economy has experienced four waves of rapid debt accumulation over the past 50 years. The first three debt waves ended with financial crises in many emerging market and developing economies. During the current wave, which started in 2010, the increase in debt in these economies has already been larger, faster, and broader-based than in the previous three waves. Current low interest rates mitigate some of the risks associated with high debt. However, emerging market and developing economies are also confronted by weak growth prospects, mounting vulnerabilities, and elevated global risks. A menu of policy options is available to reduce the likelihood that the current debt wave will end in crisis and, if crises do take place, will alleviate their impact.
Author: International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department Publisher: International Monetary Fund ISBN: 1616352477 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 94
Book Description
The April 2012 Global Financial Stability Report assesses changes in risks to financial stability over the past six months, focusing on sovereign vulnerabilities, risks stemming from private sector deleveraging, and assessing the continued resilience of emerging markets. The report probes the implications of recent reforms in the financial system for market perception of safe assets, and investigates the growing public and private costs of increased longevity risk from aging populations.
Author: Fabian Amtenbrink Publisher: Oxford University Press, USA ISBN: 019879374X Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 1649
Book Description
An authoritative reference work on the legal framework of European economic and monetary union, this book comprehensively analyses the legal foundations, institutions, and substantive legal issues in EU monetary integration.
Author: Noah Berlatsky Publisher: Greenhaven Publishing LLC ISBN: 0737747269 Category : Young Adult Nonfiction Languages : en Pages : 264
Book Description
This book explores possible causes of the global economic crisis, including lack of banking regulation, greed of financial institutions, decisions of the Federal Reserve, and the abandonment of the gold standard. Examines the differing impacts of the crisis on wealthy nations and developing nations, and why some nations are weathering the crisis better than others. Discusses potential solutions to the crisis, such as regulatory reform and lowering restrictions on trade.
Author: Davide Furceri Publisher: International Monetary Fund ISBN: 1484334205 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 34
Book Description
The aim of this paper is to assess the effectiveness of risk sharing mechanisms in the euro area and whether a supranational fiscal risk sharing mechanism could insure countries against very severe downturns. Using an unbalanced panel of 15 euro area countries over the period 1979-2010, the results of the paper show that: (i) the effectiveness of risk sharing mechanisms in the euro area is significantly lower than in existing federations (such as the U.S. and Germany) and (ii) it falls sharply in severe downturns just when it is needed most; (iii) a supranational fiscal stabilization mechanism, financed by a relatively small contribution, would be able to fully insure euro area countries against very severe, persistent and unanticipated downturns.
Author: Mr.Nathaniel G Arnold Publisher: International Monetary Fund ISBN: 1484348206 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 57
Book Description
This note outlines a concrete proposal for a euro area CFC that could help smooth both country-specific and common shocks. Specifically, it proposes a macroeconomic stabilization fund financed by annual contributions from countries used to build up assets in good times and make transfers to countries in bad times, as well as a borrowing capacity in case large or persistent shocks exhaust the fund’s assets. The note also discusses several features aimed at avoiding permanent transfers between countries and making the CFC function as automatically as possible—to limit the scope for disputes over its operation—both of which are important points to make it politically acceptable.
Author: Jaejoon Woo Publisher: International Monetary Fund ISBN: 145520157X Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 49
Book Description
This paper explores the impact of high public debt on long-run economic growth. The analysis, based on a panel of advanced and emerging economies over almost four decades, takes into account a broad range of determinants of growth as well as various estimation issues including reverse causality and endogeneity. In addition, threshold effects, nonlinearities, and differences between advanced and emerging market economies are examined. The empirical results suggest an inverse relationship between initial debt and subsequent growth, controlling for other determinants of growth: on average, a 10 percentage point increase in the initial debt-to-GDP ratio is associated with a slowdown in annual real per capita GDP growth of around 0.2 percentage points per year, with the impact being somewhat smaller in advanced economies. There is some evidence of nonlinearity with higher levels of initial debt having a proportionately larger negative effect on subsequent growth. Analysis of the components of growth suggests that the adverse effect largely reflects a slowdown in labor productivity growth mainly due to reduced investment and slower growth of capital stock.
Author: Michael Emerson Publisher: ISBN: 9780198773245 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 356
Book Description
The European Community is negotiating a new treaty to establish the constitutional foundations of an economic and monetary union in the course of the 1990s. This study provides the only comprehensive guide to the economic implications of economic and monetary union. The work of an economist inside the Commission of the European Community, it reflects the considerations influencing the design of the union. The study creates a unique bridge between the insights of modern economic analysis and the work of the policy makers preparing for economic and monetary union.
Author: Björn Döhring
Author: Björn Döhring
Author: M. Ayhan Kose
Author: Björn Döhring
Author: International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department
Author: Fabian Amtenbrink
Author: Noah Berlatsky
Author: Davide Furceri
Author: Mr.Nathaniel G Arnold
Author: Jaejoon Woo
Author: Michael Emerson