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Author: Carlos Caceres Publisher: International Monetary Fund ISBN: 1498316476 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 32
Book Description
This paper analyzes the existence of “wealth effects” derived from net equity (in the form of housing, financial assets, and total net worth) on consumption. The study uses longitudinal household-level data?from the Panel Study of Income Dynamics (PSID) ?covering about 7,000-9,000 households in the U.S., with the estimations carried over the period 1999-2017. Overall, wealth effects are found to be relatively large and significant for housing wealth, but less so for other types of wealth, including stocks. Furthermore, the analysis shows how these estimated marginal propensities to consume (MPC) from wealth are closely linked to household characteristics, including income and demographic factors. Finally, underlying structural changes in household characteristics point to potentially lower aggregate MPCs from wealth going forward.
Author: Carlos Caceres Publisher: International Monetary Fund ISBN: 1498316476 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 32
Book Description
This paper analyzes the existence of “wealth effects” derived from net equity (in the form of housing, financial assets, and total net worth) on consumption. The study uses longitudinal household-level data?from the Panel Study of Income Dynamics (PSID) ?covering about 7,000-9,000 households in the U.S., with the estimations carried over the period 1999-2017. Overall, wealth effects are found to be relatively large and significant for housing wealth, but less so for other types of wealth, including stocks. Furthermore, the analysis shows how these estimated marginal propensities to consume (MPC) from wealth are closely linked to household characteristics, including income and demographic factors. Finally, underlying structural changes in household characteristics point to potentially lower aggregate MPCs from wealth going forward.
Author: Jie Gan Publisher: ISBN: Category : Languages : en Pages : 44
Book Description
This paper uses a large panel dataset that tracks the housing wealth and spending behavior of 12,793 individuals in Hong Kong to study how housing wealth affects household consumption. Housing wealth is measured based on the repeated-sales price indices of nine districts in Hong Kong, which are estimated using government registry of all the 900,000 repeated housing transactions. Consumption is measured by credit card charges provided by the five largest credit card issuers in Hong Kong. These detailed data make it possible to identify consumption responses to housing wealth based on time-series variation within individual households (through household fixed effects). Further, rich variations across households help pin down the mechanism of the observed consumption sensitivity.I find a significant effect of housing wealth on consumption. Such an effect seems to be on account of a reduction in precautionary saving, as opposed to relaxation of borrowing constraints. In particular, consumption sensitivity exists even in the absence of refinancing and occurs only among less leveraged households and younger households who behave like quot;buffer stockquot; consumers (Gourinchas and Parker, 2002). Finally, consumption does not respond to predictable changes in housing wealth, which is inconsistent with liquidity constraints. The results highlight the importance of housing wealth in influencing consumption even in the absence of refinancing and relaxation of credit constraints.
Author: Mr. Serhan Cevik Publisher: International Monetary Fund ISBN: Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 16
Book Description
Households across Europe are struggling with a double crisis—the worst inflation shock since the World War II and a sudden correction in house prices. There is a rich literature on how housing price cycles affect consumer spending, finding mixed results with a wide range of consumption responses to changes in housing wealth. In this paper, using quarterly data on 20 countries in Europe over the period 1980–2023, we analyze the dynamic relationship between inflation-adjusted housing wealth and consumer spending and obtain statistically significant and economically intuitive results. Household consumption responds positively and swiftly to changes in real house prices and gross disposable income as expected. Using the estimated coefficients, we can deduce that the average quarter-on-quarter decline of -1.96 percent in real house prices in the first quarter of 2023 in Europe could dampen consumer spending by about -0.51 percentage points in real terms on a cumulative basis over a horizon of eight quarters.
Author: Olivier de Bandt Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media ISBN: 3642153402 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 416
Book Description
During the recession in the years 2008-2009, the most severe for mature economies in the post-war period, housing markets were often mentioned as having a special responsibility. The objective of this book is to shed light on the cyclical behaviour of the housing markets, its fundamental determinants in terms of supply and demand characteristics, and its relationship with the overall business cycle. The co-movements of house prices across countries are also considered, as well as the channel of transmission of house price changes to the rest of the economy. Particular attention is paid to the effects on private consumption, through possible wealth effects. The book is a compilation of original papers produced by economists and researchers from the four main national central banks in the euro area, also with the participation of leading academics.
Author: John Doling Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media ISBN: 940074384X Category : Social Science Languages : en Pages : 172
Book Description
Across the EU, populations are shrinking and ageing. An increasing burden is being placed on a smaller working population to generate the taxes required for pensions and care costs. Welfare states are weakening in many countries and across Europe, households are being increasingly expected to plan for their retirement and future care needs within this risky environment. At the same time, the proportion of people buying their own home in most countries has risen, so that some two-thirds of European households now own their homes. Housing equity now considerably exceeds total European GDP. This book discusses questions like: to what extent might home ownership provide a potential cure for some of the consequences of ageing populations by realizing housing equity in order to meet the consumption needs of older people? What does this mean for patterns of inheritance and longer-term inequalities across Europe? And to what extent are governments banking on their citizens utilising their housing wealth now and in the future?
Author: Susan J. Smith Publisher: John Wiley & Sons ISBN: 9781444317985 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 648
Book Description
The Blackwell Companion to the Economics of Housing willhelp students and professionals alike to explore key elements ofthe housing economy: home prices, housing wealth, mortgage debt,and financial risk. Features 24 original essays, including an editorialintroduction and three section overviews Includes 39 world-class authors from a mix of educational andfinancial organizations in the UK, Europe, Australia, and NorthAmerica Broadly-based, scholarly, and accessible, serving students andprofessionals who wish to understand how today’s housingeconomy works Profiles the role and relevance of housing wealth; themismanagement of mortgage debt; and the pitfalls and potential ofhedging housing risk Key topics include: the housing price bubble and crash; thesubprime mortgage crisis in the US and its aftermath; the linksbetween housing wealth, the macroeconomy, and the welfare ofhome-occupiers; the mitigation of credit and housing investmentrisks Specific case studies help to illustrate concepts, along withnew data sets and analyses to illustrate empirical points
Author: Linna Zhu Publisher: ISBN: Category : Languages : en Pages : 27
Book Description
The effect of housing wealth on household consumption is puzzling as existing empirical results do not match with theoretical predictions. Existing theories - life cycle theory, permanent income hypothesis and user cost model - suggest that housing wealth impact should be small. However, most prior studies find that Marginal Propensity to Consume (MPC) out of housing wealth ranges between 0.04 to 0.09, indicating material impact of housing wealth on household consumption. Motivated by this discordance, this study uses the Panel Study of Income Dynamics to provide a step by step analysis to show how the housing wealth effect decreases as biases from unobserved variables are properly addressed. Once households' unobserved preferences towards consumption and their future expected income are controlled for, our estimated MPC drops significantly. We also directly control for home equity extraction to disentangle the pure wealth effect channel and the collateral channel. Our findings show that a one percent increase in perceived housing wealth is associated with 0.01-0.02 percent increase in real, non-housing consumption after directly controlling for the collateral channel. Our estimated magnitude of housing wealth effect is much smaller than previous findings. Additionally, we find heterogeneity in MPCs across consumption categories - consumptions that are necessary in daily lives such as food and transportation do not respond to changes in perceived housing wealth while households increase their spending on clothes and recreation as housing wealth increases. We also employ an IV approach to disentangle permanent and transitory housing wealth shocks. Our results indicate that it is the deviation between perceived house price appreciation rate and the real house price appreciation rate in fundamental values that drives this small magnitude of MPC out of housing wealth in the short run (in cloth and recreation) and this housing wealth effect will move towards to zero in the long run as the perception converges with the fundamental values.
Author: Carlos Caceres
Author: Carlos Caceres
Author: Jie Gan
Author: Matteo Iacoviello
Author: Mr. Serhan Cevik
Author: Olivier de Bandt
Author: Eric S. Belsky
Author: S. Borağan Aruoba
Author: John Doling
Author: Susan J. Smith
Author: Linna Zhu