Futures Trading and the Level and Volatility of Spot Prices PDF Download

Author: Ronald Britto
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Agricultural prices
Languages : en
Pages : 36

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Author: Hun Y. Park
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Prices
Languages : en
Pages : 56

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Book Description
This paper compares the volatility of spot prices (dealership market) with that of futures prices (auction market) to test the implications of different trading mechanisms for the volatility of prices. First, a natural estimator of the volatility is sued. Using the intraday data of the major Market Index and its futures prices, we show that the volatility of opening prices is higher than that of closing prices not only in the spot market but in the futures market, and that the intraday volatility patterns are U-shaped in both markets. Of particular interest is that futures prices do not appear to be as volatile as spot prices when the natural estimator of volatility is used, to the contrary of the conventional wisdom. We argue that the different volatility patterns during the day are not necessarily due to the different trading mechanisms, auction market versus dealership market. Instead, after developing a simple theoretical model of speculative prices, we show that at least part of the different volatility patterns during the day may be attributable to speculative behavior of investors based on heterogeneous information. In addition, we further investigate the volatilities of spot and futures prices using a temporal estimator of price volatility as an alternative to the natural estimator. Based on the temporal estimator, we cannot find any systematic pattern of volatilities during the day in both spot and futures markets, and that futures prices appear to be more volatile than spot prices in terms of how quickly the price moves beyond a given unit price level, but not in terms of how much the price changes during a given unit time interval. Some policy implications are also discussed.

Author: Rahuldeb Das
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :

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In this study, an attempt has been made to identify the relationship between the spot price and the level of futures trading in the Indian commodity market using Granger causality test. For a better explanation of causality, the procedure of forecast error variance decomposition has been used. The study indicates that for most of the commodities there is a causal relationship between unexpected futures trading volume and spot price volatility. Furthermore, there is a weak form of causality between spot price volatility and unexpected futures open interest.

Author: Russell R. Wasendorf
Publisher: McGraw Hill Professional
ISBN: 0071442987
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 383

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Book Description
Single stock futures are quickly becoming among the market's most important trading vehicles, and Russell Wasendorf's Peregrine Financial Group accounts for 20 to 50 percent of daily U.S. trading volume! In The Complete Guide to Single Stock Futures, Wasendorf provides traders with: Analyses of the latest rules and regulations How to apply technical and fundamental analysis • Best exchanges for trading Essential valuation techniques • And much more

Author: Hendrik Bessembinder
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Futures
Languages : en
Pages : 36

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Author: Antonios Antoniou
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Futures market
Languages : en
Pages : 19

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Author: Franklin R. Edwards
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 9400921934
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 201

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Author: Barry Goss
Publisher: Routledge
ISBN: 1135047502
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 227

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First published in 1986, this book discusses many important aspects of the theory and practice of Futures Markets. It describes how they, at the time, grew to be an increasingly important feature of the world's major financial centres. Indeed, they adopted the role of being efficient forward pricing mechanisms and this was reflected by the interest of economists in the study of risk, uncertainty and information. Here, the contributors focus on areas that were of concern in the late 1980s such as feasibility, forward pricing and returns, and the modelling of price determination in Futures Markets. Evidence is drawn from twenty-five different commodities representing all the major commodity groups; and from all the world's major centres of Futures Trading.

Author: Jow Duarte
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 9788126500673
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 386

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Book Description
Futures & Options For Dummies informs readers about the types of future readers can invest in and research, how to use technical analyses in relation to the futures and options market, how to safely invest in managed future funds, and basic information on financial futures and commodities. In addition, the book explains the risks and rewards involved in future trading, covers helpful pointers and tips, shares advice on how to look for a broker, and walks the reader through making a trade.· Understanding the Financial Markets· Analyzing the Markets· Financial Futures· Commodity Futures· The Trading Plan· The Part of Tens

Author: Robert W. Kolb
Publisher: Prentice Hall
ISBN:
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 680

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Book Description
This comprehensive reference book surveys the broad sweep of futures markets as they exist today. It explains everything from the basic mechanisms of the markets to the factors involved in pricing futures and managing futures portfolios. Current issues in this volatile area are addressed.