Four Essays on International Real Business Cycle and Asset Pricing Models PDF Download

Author: Jai-Hyung Yoon
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Business cycles
Languages : en
Pages : 167

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Author: Michele Boldrin
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Banks and banking, International
Languages : en
Pages : 70

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Book Description
We develop a model which accounts for the observed equity premium and average risk free rate, without implying counterfactually high risk aversion. The model also does well in accounting for business cycle phenomena. With respect to the conventional measures of business cycle volatility and comovement with output, the model does roughly as well as the standard business cycle model. On two other dimensions, the model's business cycle implications are actually improved. Its enhanced internal propagation allows it to account for the fact that there is positive persistence in output growth, and the model also provides a resolution to the 'excess sensitivity puzzle' for consumption and income. Key features of the model are habit persistence preferences, and a multisector technology with limited intersectoral mobility of factors of production.

Author: Edward R. Lawrence
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 280

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Author: Terence Khoo
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Business cycles
Languages : en
Pages : 62

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Author: Hugo Alejandro Garduño Arredondo
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Investments
Languages : en
Pages : 324

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Author: Amir Akbari
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :

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"This thesis explores the role of borrowing frictions, exchange rate risk, and intertemporal demand in stock prices across international financial markets. Specifically, I study how global asset prices are governed, considering the constraints and incentives that investors face when making investment decisions. The first essay adds a new dimension to the research on the dynamics of global market integration, providing an explanation for reversals in market integration via funding illiquidity. I show that when funding capital dries out, investors, unable to borrow and trade freely, fail to facilitate the integration process. Therefore, international asset prices during these periods are explained more by country-specific asset pricing factors than by global asset pricing factors. The second essay explores the role of exchange rate risk and intertemporal demand in international markets. These sources of risk are linked via the interest rate channel and are both likely proxies of the state variables that affect asset prices over time. We carefully disentangle the two risk factors and study the international equity market indices with multiple risk factors in a large cross-section through time. We show that the evidence of global pricing of risk crucially hinges on pooling assets with substantial cross-sectional variation. The third essay introduces a methodological innovation to study the dynamics of the compensation for the intertemporal risk in business cycles. Specifically, we contribute to the empirical asset pricing literature by studying the relative importance of prices of intertemporal risk during recessions, recoveries, and expansions." --

Author: Mary Tian
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 115

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This thesis consists of three chapters in asset pricing and international finance. In Chapter 1, I examine the effect of tradability, the proportion of a firm's output that is exported, on its stock returns. The empirical patterns are consistent with the adjustment of the relative price of tradable to non-tradable goods, due to endowment shocks. I find firms that produce tradable goods have asset returns and earnings that are twice as cyclical as firms that produce non-tradable goods. A tradable minus nontradable portfolio of stock returns can predict changes in real exchange rates and the relative quantity of exports. A two-country endowment economy model formalizing the relative price mechanism is able to match the empirical facts. In Chapter 2, joint with Leonid Kogan and Roberto Rigobon, we take an openeconomy perspective on consumption growth predictability. We find that the combination of the U.S. and the world real interest rates predicts U.S. consumption growth. Predictability is highly significant, both statistically and economically, and is strongest at horizons of two to three years. The growth rate of consumption of services is more predictable than the growth rate of consumption of nondurable goods. We interpret this evidence using a two-country equilibrium exchange economy model and conclude that the predictive relation between interest rates and consumption growth is likely generated by output shocks in the non-tradable good sector. In Chapter 3, joint with Leonid Kogan, we examine the effects of data snooping on the performance of linear factor models at explaining asset pricing anomalies. We gather 22 anomalies established in the literature and create three-factor models from sorting firms into portfolios with respect to these anomalies. From 1950-2007, half of the factor models we construct can explain 31% or more of anomalies. In comparison, the CAPM and Fama French models rank in the 20th and 40th percentile of models respectively. Factors constructed from sorting by external financing characteristics (net stock issues and composite issuance) are able to explain a large proportion of anomalies. None of the models are able to explain momentum.

Author: Ulrich Johannes Hammerich
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :

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This dissertation is not only a pioneer work in the new finance sphere cultural finance, but also a feat of fundamental research in international empirical asset pricing. I present significant evidence that the most basic stock characteristic, the nominal price, is consequential for stock returns (and associated with higher statistical moments) in a comprehensive cross-country dataset comprising 41 countries and a culture-dependent capital market anomaly (as it was already shown e.g. for the momentum effect). For the case of Germany, I additionally provide an in-depth analysis of the price effect (i.e. a high/low price of an asset goes hand in hand with high/low subsequent returns) as this country offers a unique possibility to investigate the evolution and trigger of this genuinely price-based capital market anomaly due to a rapid and dramatic countrywide dispersion of stock prices in the aftermath of law amendments. Furthermore, I find the explanatory power of risk factor mimicking hedge portfolios (especially RMRF, HML, and WML, i.e. the beta, value, and momentum factors), which are consistently implemented in empirical asset pricing models (like the FF 3-, 5-, and 6-factor models and the Carhart 4-factor model), as well as their effectiveness as investment styles to vary across cultures. That is, the spectrum of this dissertation strikes both implications of the weak EMH that time series data (like the price) should have no informational value for future returns and assumptions of theoretical asset pricing models that (only) systematic risk (CAPM), future investment opportunities (ICAPM) or consumption risk (CCAPM) drives asset returns (universally). Finally, yet importantly, I find evidence that even cultural characteristics in itself (measured via the cultural dimensions of Hofstede and others) have explanatory and predictive power for global, cross-sectional stock returns as well as characteristics-based (hedge) portfolio returns. By virtue of these contributions to pertinent financial research, this dissertation is an empirical primer for possible future fields of research culture-based/culture-neutral asset pricing, asset management, and asset allocation.

Author: Man Li
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 382

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This thesis undertakes empirical and theoretical research in asset pricing in both US and Global financial markets, with a particular focus on the financial impact of socially responsible investment (SRI) and implementation of the ICAPM and CCAPM frameworks in the US market. We aim to provide a comprehensive analysis of the financial impact of SRI on the US and Global equity markets and to resolve issues relating to the CCAPM that remain in the asset pricing literature. Prior studies that examine the financial impact of SRI produce mixed findings. Therefore, we begin by reviewing the relevant international literature and stress the importance of selecting appropriate SRI proxies in asset pricing tests. We enrich the literature by identifying areas that need to be carefully considered in constructing an SRI proxy and this will shed new light on the question of what measure of SRI should be used. In the first empirical chapter, we examine the financial impact of SRI on global equity returns, assessing our SRI proxies in the context of standard asset pricing models. We find that SRI has no significant impact on the global equity market. However, since SRI has become an increasingly popular practice only recently, our results may be hampered by data constraints. This motivates the next stage of the analysis wherein we employ the ICAPM framework. In Chapter 3, we formulate a two-factor empirical model under the ICAPM framework and construct SRI proxies by using the economic tracking portfolio method of Lamont (2001) to further examine whether SRI has financial impacts on the US equity market. Our findings in Chapter 3 are consistent with those of Chapter 2. The combined import of our findings in both chapters suggests that investors are free to implement SRI mandates without fear of breaching their fiduciary duties from inferior performance due to incorporating an SRI process. This will encourage the adoption of socially responsible investment strategies in practice. In the final chapter, we examine the empirical validity of the CCAPM that assumes investor's utility is non-separable across states of nature. To our knowledge, it is the first to evaluate the cross-sectional implications of the recursive utility function of Epstein and Zin (1991) by using innovations in consumption growth. Based on these analyses, we conclude that a variable capturing innovations in consumption growth is significantly priced in asset returns.

Author: James Hartley
Publisher: Routledge
ISBN: 1134694792
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 684

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Book Description
Real Business Cycle theory combines the remains of monetarism with the new classical macroeconomics, and has become one of the dominant approaches within contemporary macroeconomics today. This volume presents: * the authoritative anthology in RBC. The work contains the major articles introducing and extending the theory as well as critical literature * an extensive introduction which contains an expository summary and critical evaluation of RBC theory * comprehensive coverage and balance between seminal papers and extensions; proponents and critics; and theory and empirics. Macroeconomics is a compulsory element in most economics courses, and this book will be an essential guide to one of its major theories.