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Forecasting the Term Structure of Interest Rates and Portfolio Planning Models

Forecasting the Term Structure of Interest Rates and Portfolio Planning Models PDF Author: Thomas F. Cargill
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Interest rates
Languages : en
Pages : 60

Book Description


Forecasting the Term Structure of Interest Rates and Portfolio Planning Models

Forecasting the Term Structure of Interest Rates and Portfolio Planning Models PDF Author: Thomas F. Cargill
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Interest rates
Languages : en
Pages : 60

Book Description


Yield Curve Modeling and Forecasting

Yield Curve Modeling and Forecasting PDF Author: Francis X. Diebold
Publisher: Princeton University Press
ISBN: 0691146802
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 223

Book Description
Understanding the dynamic evolution of the yield curve is critical to many financial tasks, including pricing financial assets and their derivatives, managing financial risk, allocating portfolios, structuring fiscal debt, conducting monetary policy, and valuing capital goods. Unfortunately, most yield curve models tend to be theoretically rigorous but empirically disappointing, or empirically successful but theoretically lacking. In this book, Francis Diebold and Glenn Rudebusch propose two extensions of the classic yield curve model of Nelson and Siegel that are both theoretically rigorous and empirically successful. The first extension is the dynamic Nelson-Siegel model (DNS), while the second takes this dynamic version and makes it arbitrage-free (AFNS). Diebold and Rudebusch show how these two models are just slightly different implementations of a single unified approach to dynamic yield curve modeling and forecasting. They emphasize both descriptive and efficient-markets aspects, they pay special attention to the links between the yield curve and macroeconomic fundamentals, and they show why DNS and AFNS are likely to remain of lasting appeal even as alternative arbitrage-free models are developed. Based on the Econometric and Tinbergen Institutes Lectures, Yield Curve Modeling and Forecasting contains essential tools with enhanced utility for academics, central banks, governments, and industry.

Modeling the Term Structure of Interest Rates

Modeling the Term Structure of Interest Rates PDF Author: Rajna Gibson
Publisher: Now Publishers Inc
ISBN: 1601983727
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 171

Book Description
Modeling the Term Structure of Interest Rates provides a comprehensive review of the continuous-time modeling techniques of the term structure applicable to value and hedge default-free bonds and other interest rate derivatives.

Modelling Term-Structure Dynamics for Risk Management

Modelling Term-Structure Dynamics for Risk Management PDF Author: David Jamieson Bolder
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 89

Book Description
Modelling term-structure dynamics is an important component in measuring and managing the exposure of portfolios to adverse movements in interest rates. Model selection from the enormous term-structure literature is far from obvious and, to make matters worse, a number of recent papers have called into question the ability of some of the more popular models to adequately describe interest rate dynamics. The author, in attempting to find a relatively simple term-structure model that does a reasonable job of describing interest rate dynamics for risk-management purposes, examines two sets of models. The first set involves variations of the Gaussian affine term-structure model by modestly building on the recent work of Dai and Singleton (2000) and Duffee (2002). The second set includes and extends Diebold and Li (2003). After working through the mathematical derivation and estimation of these models, the author compares and contrasts their performance on a number of in- and out-of-sample forecasting metrics, their ability to capture deviations from the expectations hypothesis, and their predictions in a simple portfolio-optimization setting. He finds that the extended Nelson-Siegel model and an associated generalization, what he terms the exponential-spline model, provide the most appealing modelling alternatives when considering the various model criteria.

An Empirical Investigation of a Multi-period Portfolio Model of the Term Structure of Interest Rates

An Empirical Investigation of a Multi-period Portfolio Model of the Term Structure of Interest Rates PDF Author: Joseph Michael Messina
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 406

Book Description


The Term Structure of Interest Rates

The Term Structure of Interest Rates PDF Author: Jacob B. Michaelsen
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 200

Book Description


The Term Structure of Interest Rates

The Term Structure of Interest Rates PDF Author: R. S. Masera
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 232

Book Description


Empirical Analysis of the EU Term Structure of Interest Rates

Empirical Analysis of the EU Term Structure of Interest Rates PDF Author: Zurab Kotchlamazashvili
Publisher: Logos Verlag Berlin GmbH
ISBN: 3832538739
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 210

Book Description
The information about the properties and dynamics of term structure and its modeling hold tremendous interest for financial practitioners and policymakers alike. Accurate forecasting of the term structure of interest rates also plays a very important role for many reasons, particularly for bond portfolio and risk management, hedging derivatives, monetary and debt policy. The present dissertation contains the empirical research for the EU term structure of interest rates. The data analyzed here cover a time series based on the Euro and currencies of other six EU countries. The goal is to examine empirical properties and analyze in-sample and out-of-sample results for corresponding spot rates using 15 competitor GARCH(1,1) models with different distributional assumptions. Alltogether, the work summarizes 1680 x GARCH(1,1) in-sample and over 60000 x GARCH(1,1) out-of-sample estimation results. Moreover, the dissertation consists of 48 figures and 98 tables.

Interest Rate, Term Structure, and Valuation Modeling

Interest Rate, Term Structure, and Valuation Modeling PDF Author: Frank J. Fabozzi
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 047144698X
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 530

Book Description
This ultimate guide contains an excellent blend of theory and practice This comprehensive guide covers various aspects of model building for fixed income securities and derivatives. Filled with expert advice, valuable insights, and advanced modeling techniques, Interest Rate, Term Structure, and Valuation Modeling is a book that all institutional investors, portfolio managers, and risk professionals should have. John Wiley & Sons, Inc. is proud to be the publisher of the esteemed Frank J. Fabozzi Series. Comprising nearly 100 titles-which include numerous bestsellers—The Frank J. Fabozzi Series is a key resource for finance professionals and academics, strategists and students, and investors. The series is overseen by its eponymous editor, whose expert instruction and presentation of new ideas have been at the forefront of financial publishing for over twenty years. His successful career has provided him with the knowledge, insight, and advice that has led to this comprehensive series. Frank J. Fabozzi, PhD, CFA, CPA, is Editor of the Journal of Portfolio Management, which is read by thousands of institutional investors, as well as editor or author of over 100 books on finance for the professional and academic markets. Currently, Dr. Fabozzi is an adjunct Professor of Finance at Yale University's School of Management and on the board of directors of the Guardian Life family of funds and the Black Rock complex of funds.

On the Estimation of Term Structure Models and An Application to the United States

On the Estimation of Term Structure Models and An Application to the United States PDF Author: International Monetary Fund
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1455209589
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 64

Book Description
This paper discusses the estimation of models of the term structure of interest rates. After reviewing the term structure models, specifically the Nelson-Siegel Model and Affine Term- Structure Model, this paper estimates the terms structure of Treasury bond yields for the United States with pre-crisis data. This paper uses a software developed by Fund staff for this purpose. This software makes it possible to estimate the term structure using at least nine models, while opening up the possibility of generating simulated paths of the term structure.