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Stock Market Modeling and Forecasting

Stock Market Modeling and Forecasting PDF Author: Xiaolian Zheng
Publisher: Springer
ISBN: 1447151550
Category : Technology & Engineering
Languages : en
Pages : 166

Book Description
Stock Market Modeling and Forecasting translates experience in system adaptation gained in an engineering context to the modeling of financial markets with a view to improving the capture and understanding of market dynamics. The modeling process is considered as identifying a dynamic system in which a real stock market is treated as an unknown plant and the identification model proposed is tuned by feedback of the matching error. Like a physical system, a financial market exhibits fast and slow dynamics corresponding to external (such as company value and profitability) and internal forces (such as investor sentiment and commodity prices) respectively. The framework presented here, consisting of an internal model and an adaptive filter, is successful at considering both fast and slow market dynamics. A double selection method is efficacious in identifying input factors influential in market movements, revealing them to be both frequency- and market-dependent. The authors present work on both developed and developing markets in the shape of the US, Hong Kong, Chinese and Singaporean stock markets. Results from all these sources demonstrate the efficiency of the model framework in identifying significant influences and the quality of its predictive ability; promising results are also obtained by applying the model framework to the forecasting of major market-turning periods. Having shown that system-theoretic ideas can form the core of a novel and effective basis for stock market analysis, the book is completed by an indication of possible and likely future expansions of the research in this area.

Stock Market Modeling and Forecasting

Stock Market Modeling and Forecasting PDF Author: Xiaolian Zheng
Publisher: Springer
ISBN: 1447151550
Category : Technology & Engineering
Languages : en
Pages : 166

Book Description
Stock Market Modeling and Forecasting translates experience in system adaptation gained in an engineering context to the modeling of financial markets with a view to improving the capture and understanding of market dynamics. The modeling process is considered as identifying a dynamic system in which a real stock market is treated as an unknown plant and the identification model proposed is tuned by feedback of the matching error. Like a physical system, a financial market exhibits fast and slow dynamics corresponding to external (such as company value and profitability) and internal forces (such as investor sentiment and commodity prices) respectively. The framework presented here, consisting of an internal model and an adaptive filter, is successful at considering both fast and slow market dynamics. A double selection method is efficacious in identifying input factors influential in market movements, revealing them to be both frequency- and market-dependent. The authors present work on both developed and developing markets in the shape of the US, Hong Kong, Chinese and Singaporean stock markets. Results from all these sources demonstrate the efficiency of the model framework in identifying significant influences and the quality of its predictive ability; promising results are also obtained by applying the model framework to the forecasting of major market-turning periods. Having shown that system-theoretic ideas can form the core of a novel and effective basis for stock market analysis, the book is completed by an indication of possible and likely future expansions of the research in this area.

Neural Networks in Business Forecasting

Neural Networks in Business Forecasting PDF Author: G. Peter Zhang
Publisher: IGI Global
ISBN: 1591401763
Category : Computers
Languages : en
Pages : 311

Book Description
Forecasting is one of the most important activities that form the basis for strategic, tactical, and operational decisions in all business organizations. Recently, neural networks have emerged as an important tool for business forecasting. There are considerable interests and applications in forecasting using neural networks. Neural Networks in Business Forecasting provides for researchers and practitioners some recent advances in applying neural networks to business forecasting. A number of case studies demonstrating the innovative or successful applications of neural networks to many areas of business as well as methods to improve neural network forecasting performance are presented.

Advanced Models of Energy Forecasting

Advanced Models of Energy Forecasting PDF Author: Xun Zhang
Publisher: Frontiers Media SA
ISBN: 283250681X
Category : Technology & Engineering
Languages : en
Pages : 200

Book Description


Entropy Application for Forecasting

Entropy Application for Forecasting PDF Author: Ana Jesus Lopez-Menendez
Publisher: MDPI
ISBN: 3039364871
Category : Technology & Engineering
Languages : en
Pages : 200

Book Description
This book shows the potential of entropy and information theory in forecasting, including both theoretical developments and empirical applications. The contents cover a great diversity of topics, such as the aggregation and combination of individual forecasts, the comparison of forecasting performance, and the debate concerning the tradeoff between complexity and accuracy. Analyses of forecasting uncertainty, robustness, and inconsistency are also included, as are proposals for new forecasting approaches. The proposed methods encompass a variety of time series techniques (e.g., ARIMA, VAR, state space models) as well as econometric methods and machine learning algorithms. The empirical contents include both simulated experiments and real-world applications focusing on GDP, M4-Competition series, confidence and industrial trend surveys, and stock exchange composite indices, among others. In summary, this collection provides an engaging insight into entropy applications for forecasting, offering an interesting overview of the current situation and suggesting possibilities for further research in this field.

Proceedings of the International Conference on Intelligent Computing, Communication and Information Security

Proceedings of the International Conference on Intelligent Computing, Communication and Information Security PDF Author: Vladan Devedzic
Publisher: Springer Nature
ISBN: 981991373X
Category : Technology & Engineering
Languages : en
Pages : 467

Book Description
This book contains high quality research papers accepted and presented at the International Conference on Intelligent Computing, Communication and Information Security (ICICCIS 2022), organized by Swami Keshvanand Institute of Technology, Management & Gramothan (SKIT), Jaipur, India during 25-26, November 2022. It presents the solutions of issues and challenges in intelligent computing, communication and information security domains. This book provides a background to problem domains, considering the progress so far, assessing the potential of such approaches, and exploring possible future directions as a single readily accessible source.

Advances in Neural Networks - ISNN 2007

Advances in Neural Networks - ISNN 2007 PDF Author: Derong Liu
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 3540723951
Category : Computers
Languages : en
Pages : 1210

Book Description
This book is part of a three volume set that constitutes the refereed proceedings of the 4th International Symposium on Neural Networks, ISNN 2007, held in Nanjing, China in June 2007. Coverage includes neural networks for control applications, robotics, data mining and feature extraction, chaos and synchronization, support vector machines, fault diagnosis/detection, image/video processing, and applications of neural networks.

A Neutrosophic Forecasting Model for Time Series Based on First-Order State and Information Entropy of High-Order Fluctuation

A Neutrosophic Forecasting Model for Time Series Based on First-Order State and Information Entropy of High-Order Fluctuation PDF Author: Hongjun Guan
Publisher: Infinite Study
ISBN:
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 18

Book Description
In time series forecasting, information presentation directly affects prediction efficiency. Most existing time series forecasting models follow logical rules according to the relationships between neighboring states, without considering the inconsistency of fluctuations for a related period. In this paper, we propose a new perspective to study the problem of prediction, in which inconsistency is quantified and regarded as a key characteristic of prediction rules. First, a time series is converted to a fluctuation time series by comparing each of the current data with corresponding previous data.

Proceedings of the 2022 International Conference on Mathematical Statistics and Economic Analysis (MSEA 2022)

Proceedings of the 2022 International Conference on Mathematical Statistics and Economic Analysis (MSEA 2022) PDF Author: Gaikar Vilas Bhau
Publisher: Springer Nature
ISBN: 9464630426
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 1514

Book Description
This is an open access book. 2022 International Conference on Mathematical Statistics and Economic Analysis(MSEA 2022) will be held in Dalian, China from May 27 to 29, 2022. Based on probability theory, mathematical statistics studies the statistical regularity of a large number of random phenomena, and infers and forecasts the whole. Economic development is very important to people's life and the country. Through data statistics and analysis, we can quickly understand the law of economic development. This conference combines mathematical statistics and economic analysis for the first time to explore the relationship between them, so as to provide a platform for experts and scholars in the field of mathematical statistics and economic analysis to exchange and discuss.

Proceedings of the First International Forum on Financial Mathematics and Financial Technology

Proceedings of the First International Forum on Financial Mathematics and Financial Technology PDF Author: Zhiyong Zheng
Publisher: Springer Nature
ISBN: 9811583730
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 238

Book Description
This book contains high-quality papers presented at the First International Forum on Financial Mathematics and Financial Technology. With the rapid development of FinTech, the in-depth integration between mathematics, finance and advanced technology is the general trend. This book focuses on selected aspects of the current and upcoming trends in FinTech. In detail, the included scientific papers focus on financial mathematics and FinTech, presenting the innovative mathematical models and state-of-the-art technologies such as deep learning, with the aim to improve our financial analysis and decision-making and enhance the quality of financial services and risk control. The variety of the papers delivers added value for both scholars and practitioners where they will find perfect integration of elegant mathematical models and up-to-date data mining technologies in financial market analysis.

Evolution in Computational Intelligence

Evolution in Computational Intelligence PDF Author: Vikrant Bhateja
Publisher: Springer Nature
ISBN: 9811557888
Category : Technology & Engineering
Languages : en
Pages : 780

Book Description
This book presents the proceedings of 8th International Conference on Frontiers of Intelligent Computing: Theory and Applications (FICTA 2020), which aims to bring together researchers, scientists, engineers and practitioners to share new ideas and experiences in the domain of intelligent computing theories with prospective applications to various engineering disciplines. The book is divided into two volumes: Evolution in Computational Intelligence (Volume 1) and Intelligent Data Engineering and Analytics (Volume 2). Covering a broad range of topics in computational intelligence, the book features papers on theoretical as well as practical aspects of areas such as ANN and genetic algorithms, computer interaction, intelligent control optimization, evolutionary computing, intelligent e-learning systems, machine learning, mobile computing, and multi-agent systems. As such, it is a valuable reference resource for postgraduate students in various engineering disciplines.