Forecasting Retention in the United States Marine Corps Reserve PDF Download
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Author: Publisher: ISBN: Category : Logistics Languages : en Pages : 53
Book Description
This is an empirical study using a logistic regression model to assess the impact of mobilization and unemployment on an individual's decision to stay in or leave the reserves. The goal is to find out the attrition behavior of USMCR participants in order to better establish recruiting and retention goals in the Reserve population. Questions regarding attrition influencers, effects of mobilization, and applicability to both officer and enlisted personnel were reviewed in this process. The effects of being called to active service are shown to have a positive effect on retention in the reserves. Similarly, serving in the SMCR and Stand-by Reserves are both shown in the model to have a positive effect on reserve retention. This makes sense, in that when an individual volunteers in the Marine Reserves, he or she evidences a desire to serve his country when called to do so. The negative effect of an increase in the number of days served on active duty, as shown in the results of the model, follows similar logic. Had the individual wanted to serve on a full-time active duty basis he would have volunteered for the active duty component. The longer he is asked to remain on active duty, the more dissatisfied he is, on average, with his participation in the reserves. The negative effect of an increase in the individual's home of record unemployment rate is also consistent with previous findings, and when combined with the negative effect of continued mobilization and recall from the IRR or a retired status, a significant negative impact is seen on the individual's decision to stay in. The findings indicate that multiple short activations have a positive impact, whereas the impact of fewer, lengthy activations is negative This study validated previous research regarding the likelihood to continue to serve in the Marine Corps Reserves. As a result, the Marine Corps has the potential to better allocate resources and schedule individual activations, reducing attrition. This can assist in shaping the force structure when the Marine Corps are needed.
Author: Publisher: ISBN: Category : Logistics Languages : en Pages : 53
Book Description
This is an empirical study using a logistic regression model to assess the impact of mobilization and unemployment on an individual's decision to stay in or leave the reserves. The goal is to find out the attrition behavior of USMCR participants in order to better establish recruiting and retention goals in the Reserve population. Questions regarding attrition influencers, effects of mobilization, and applicability to both officer and enlisted personnel were reviewed in this process. The effects of being called to active service are shown to have a positive effect on retention in the reserves. Similarly, serving in the SMCR and Stand-by Reserves are both shown in the model to have a positive effect on reserve retention. This makes sense, in that when an individual volunteers in the Marine Reserves, he or she evidences a desire to serve his country when called to do so. The negative effect of an increase in the number of days served on active duty, as shown in the results of the model, follows similar logic. Had the individual wanted to serve on a full-time active duty basis he would have volunteered for the active duty component. The longer he is asked to remain on active duty, the more dissatisfied he is, on average, with his participation in the reserves. The negative effect of an increase in the individual's home of record unemployment rate is also consistent with previous findings, and when combined with the negative effect of continued mobilization and recall from the IRR or a retired status, a significant negative impact is seen on the individual's decision to stay in. The findings indicate that multiple short activations have a positive impact, whereas the impact of fewer, lengthy activations is negative This study validated previous research regarding the likelihood to continue to serve in the Marine Corps Reserves. As a result, the Marine Corps has the potential to better allocate resources and schedule individual activations, reducing attrition. This can assist in shaping the force structure when the Marine Corps are needed.
Author: Nathan N. Emery Publisher: ISBN: Category : Management Languages : en Pages : 34
Book Description
This thesis developed a manpower model to forecast Selected Marine Corps Reserve end strength by forecasting losses with exponential smoothing. The data came from the Reserve Manpower Model (legacy model) and the results were compared with the historical strength data to determine if the research model provided more desirable results. This model is specific to the Marine Corps Selected Reserve. The proposed model's predictions were closer to actual strength numbers than the legacy model's predictions were, as measured by standard deviation and range.
Author: Kneale T. Marshall Publisher: ISBN: Category : Languages : en Pages : 35
Book Description
This report develops a model to forecast the total enlisted Marine Corps strength at the end of each quarter for one or two years into the future. The method involves a simple cohort model. The model is programmed in APL with a number of features which allow the user to interact in the forecasting procedure. He can introduce further projected retention policy changes or changes in the recruit population which might affect future predictions.
Author: Kneale T. Marshall Publisher: ISBN: Category : Languages : en Pages :
Book Description
This report develops a model to forecast the total enlisted Marine Corps strength at the end of each quarter for one or two years into the future. The method involves a simple cohort model. The model is programmed in APL with a number of features which allow the user to interact in the forecasting procedure. He can introduce further projected retention policy changes or changes in the recruit population which might affect future predictions.
Author: Christine Wiggins Balisle Publisher: ISBN: Category : Employee retention Languages : en Pages : 174
Book Description
Given the current political and military climate, it appears that our service men and women will be involved in many conflicts within the next few years. In order to maintain the strength of force in use, it is essential to maintain a high number of active-duty personnel. The ability to predict retention intentions is likely to require greater understanding of the individual's commitment to the military's values, as well as factors related to the individual's work and non-work experiences within the military environment. To date, the consideration of such factors has been neglected in studies regarding retention. This project addressed this gap by considering the role of military values, job factors, and family support in the prediction of retention intention. The goal was to identify important influences on retention, thereby allowing the military to address its need to maintain personnel and military strength. This study employed the use of a hierarchical multiple regression to examine the role of life satisfaction as a mediator for four predictor variables (military values, job satisfaction, work-place support, and spousal support) on retention intention. Life satisfaction was found to partially mediate the effects of military values and spousal support onto retention intention. A hierarchical multiple regression was used to assess predictor variable importance when predicting retention intention. Results indicated that, when considered in this multivariate context, job satisfaction was the only significant predictor of retention intention. Results of this study are consistent with the spillover hypothesis, and indicate the importance of day-to-day experiences Marines face at work and at home. Although commitment to the Military Values the Marine Corps espouses is related to intention to reenlist, the military may be more successful at retaining personnel if it focuses on factors that are more proximate to soldier's lives: that is, aspects of their work and home lives. In particular, characteristics that influence job satisfaction may be especially important to consider. If these factors are addressed, a greater number of active-duty personnel may opt to stay in the military, thus ensuring the security of the nation.
Author: Publisher: ISBN: Category : Languages : en Pages : 0
Book Description
A model for predicting retention of regular Marine Corps officers is formulated. Using data from the three cohorts 1956 - 58, a statistical test is used to show that the lifetimes on active duty of members of each cohort follow the same distribution. Unknown parameters for this distribution are estimated from the data. Retention figures for various lengths of service of the cohorts 1959 -63 are calculated with the model and compared with actual data. Confidence intervals for the predictions are given. Use of the model and follow-on studies are suggested and examples given. (Author).
Author: 
Author: 
Author: Nathan N. Emery
Author: Kneale T. Marshall
Author: Kneale T. Marshall
Author: Heidi L. W. Golding
Author: Christine Wiggins Balisle
Author: 
Author: U.S. marine Corps
Author: United States. General Accounting Office
Author: United States. Marine Corps Reserve