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Forecasting and the Social Sciences

Forecasting and the Social Sciences PDF Author: Social Science Research Council (Great Britain)
Publisher: London : published for the Social Science Research Council by Heinemann, London
ISBN:
Category : Economic forecasting
Languages : en
Pages : 196

Book Description


Forecasting and the Social Sciences

Forecasting and the Social Sciences PDF Author: Social Science Research Council (Great Britain)
Publisher: London : published for the Social Science Research Council by Heinemann, London
ISBN:
Category : Economic forecasting
Languages : en
Pages : 196

Book Description


Forecasting and the Social Sciences

Forecasting and the Social Sciences PDF Author: Social Science Research Council (United Kingdom)
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Economic forecasting
Languages : en
Pages : 166

Book Description


Time Series Analysis for the Social Sciences

Time Series Analysis for the Social Sciences PDF Author: Janet M. Box-Steffensmeier
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 1316060500
Category : Political Science
Languages : en
Pages : 297

Book Description
Time series, or longitudinal, data are ubiquitous in the social sciences. Unfortunately, analysts often treat the time series properties of their data as a nuisance rather than a substantively meaningful dynamic process to be modeled and interpreted. Time Series Analysis for the Social Sciences provides accessible, up-to-date instruction and examples of the core methods in time series econometrics. Janet M. Box-Steffensmeier, John R. Freeman, Jon C. Pevehouse and Matthew P. Hitt cover a wide range of topics including ARIMA models, time series regression, unit-root diagnosis, vector autoregressive models, error-correction models, intervention models, fractional integration, ARCH models, structural breaks, and forecasting. This book is aimed at researchers and graduate students who have taken at least one course in multivariate regression. Examples are drawn from several areas of social science, including political behavior, elections, international conflict, criminology, and comparative political economy.

Forecasting in the Social and Natural Sciences

Forecasting in the Social and Natural Sciences PDF Author: Kenneth C. Land
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 9400940114
Category : Science
Languages : en
Pages : 376

Book Description
Social and natural scientists often are called upon to produce, or participate, in the pro duction of forecasts. This volume assembles essays that (a) describe the organizational and political context of applied forecasting, (b) review the state-of-the-art for many fore casting models and methods, and (c) discuss issues of predictability, the implications of forecaSt errors, and model construction, linkage and verification. The essays should be of particular interest to social and natural scientists concerned with forecasting large-scale systems. This project had its origins in discussions of social forecasts and forecasting method ologies initiated a few years ago by several social and natural science members of the Social Science Research Council's Committee on Social Indicators. It became appar ent in these discussions that certain similar problems were confronted in forecasting large-scale systems-be they social or natural. In response, the Committee hypothesized that much could be learned through more extended and systematic interchanges among social and natural scientists focusing on the formal methodologies applied in forecasting. To put this conjecture to the test, the Committee sponsored a conference at the National Center for Atmospheric Research in Boulder, Colorado, on June 10-13, 1984, on forecasting in the social and natural sciences. The conference was co-chaired by Committee members Kenneth C. Land and Stephen H. Schneider representing, respectively, the social and natural science mem bership of the Committee. Support for the conference was provided by a grant to the Council from the Division of Social and Economic Science of the National Science Foundation.

Time Series Analysis in the Social Sciences

Time Series Analysis in the Social Sciences PDF Author: Youseop Shin
Publisher: Univ of California Press
ISBN: 0520293169
Category : Law
Languages : en
Pages : 244

Book Description
"This book focuses on fundamental elements of time-series analysis that social scientists need to understand to employ time-series analysis for their research and practice. Avoiding extraordinary mathematical materials, this book explains univariate time-series analysis step-by-step, from the preliminary visual analysis through the modeling of seasonality, trends, and residuals to the prediction and the evaluation of estimated models. Then, this book explains smoothing, multiple time-series analysis, and interrupted time-series analysis. At the end of each step, this book coherently provides an analysis of the monthly violent-crime rates as an example."--Provided by publisher.

Forecasting and the Social Sciences. Edited and Introduced by Michael Young. [Papers Specially Commissioned by the Social Science Research Council's Committee on the Next Thirty Years.].

Forecasting and the Social Sciences. Edited and Introduced by Michael Young. [Papers Specially Commissioned by the Social Science Research Council's Committee on the Next Thirty Years.]. PDF Author: Social Science Research Council (Great Britain). Committee on the Next Thirty Years
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 166

Book Description


Social Forecasting Methodology

Social Forecasting Methodology PDF Author: Daniel P. Harrison
Publisher: Russell Sage Foundation
ISBN: 1610446429
Category : Social Science
Languages : en
Pages : 99

Book Description
A volume in the Social Science Frontiers series, which are occasional publications reviewing new fields for social science development. These occasional publications seek to summarize recent work being done in particular areas of social research, to review new developments in the field, and to indicate issues needing further investigation. The publications are intended to help orient those concerned with developing current research programs and broadening the use of social science in the policy-making process. A Volume in the Russell Sage Foundation's Social Science Frontiers Series

Forecasting Methods in Business and the Social Sciences ...

Forecasting Methods in Business and the Social Sciences ... PDF Author: Sharon Kirk
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Business forecasting
Languages : en
Pages : 140

Book Description


Forecasting and the Social Sciences

Forecasting and the Social Sciences PDF Author: Social Science Research Council (Great Britain)
Publisher: London : published for the Social Science Research Council by Heinemann, London
ISBN:
Category : Economic forecasting
Languages : en
Pages : 184

Book Description


Forecasting in the Social and Natural Sciences

Forecasting in the Social and Natural Sciences PDF Author: Kenneth C. Land
Publisher: Springer
ISBN: 9789401082792
Category : Science
Languages : en
Pages : 384

Book Description
Social and natural scientists often are called upon to produce, or participate, in the pro duction of forecasts. This volume assembles essays that (a) describe the organizational and political context of applied forecasting, (b) review the state-of-the-art for many fore casting models and methods, and (c) discuss issues of predictability, the implications of forecaSt errors, and model construction, linkage and verification. The essays should be of particular interest to social and natural scientists concerned with forecasting large-scale systems. This project had its origins in discussions of social forecasts and forecasting method ologies initiated a few years ago by several social and natural science members of the Social Science Research Council's Committee on Social Indicators. It became appar ent in these discussions that certain similar problems were confronted in forecasting large-scale systems-be they social or natural. In response, the Committee hypothesized that much could be learned through more extended and systematic interchanges among social and natural scientists focusing on the formal methodologies applied in forecasting. To put this conjecture to the test, the Committee sponsored a conference at the National Center for Atmospheric Research in Boulder, Colorado, on June 10-13, 1984, on forecasting in the social and natural sciences. The conference was co-chaired by Committee members Kenneth C. Land and Stephen H. Schneider representing, respectively, the social and natural science mem bership of the Committee. Support for the conference was provided by a grant to the Council from the Division of Social and Economic Science of the National Science Foundation.