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Author: Vytaras Brazauskas Publisher: ISBN: Category : Languages : en Pages : 19
Book Description
A rich variety of probability distributions has been proposed in the actuarial literature for fitting of insurance loss data. Examples include: lognormal, log-t, various versions of Pareto, loglogistic, Weibull, gamma and its variants, and generalized beta of the second kind distributions, among others. In this paper, we supplement the literature by adding the log-folded-normal and log-folded-t families. Shapes of the density function and key distributional properties of the 'folded' distributions are presented along with three methods for the estimation of parameters: method of maximum likelihood, method of moments, and method of trimmed moments. Further, large- and small-sample properties of these estimators are studied in detail. Finally, we fit the newly proposed distributions to data which represent the total damage done by 827 fires in Norway for the year 1988. The fitted models are then employed in a few quantitative risk management examples, where point and interval estimates for several value-at-risk measures are calculated.
Author: Vytaras Brazauskas Publisher: ISBN: Category : Languages : en Pages : 19
Book Description
A rich variety of probability distributions has been proposed in the actuarial literature for fitting of insurance loss data. Examples include: lognormal, log-t, various versions of Pareto, loglogistic, Weibull, gamma and its variants, and generalized beta of the second kind distributions, among others. In this paper, we supplement the literature by adding the log-folded-normal and log-folded-t families. Shapes of the density function and key distributional properties of the 'folded' distributions are presented along with three methods for the estimation of parameters: method of maximum likelihood, method of moments, and method of trimmed moments. Further, large- and small-sample properties of these estimators are studied in detail. Finally, we fit the newly proposed distributions to data which represent the total damage done by 827 fires in Norway for the year 1988. The fitted models are then employed in a few quantitative risk management examples, where point and interval estimates for several value-at-risk measures are calculated.
Author: Rajan Chattamvelli Publisher: Springer Nature ISBN: 3031024354 Category : Mathematics Languages : en Pages : 145
Book Description
This is the second part of our book on continuous statistical distributions. It covers inverse-Gaussian, Birnbaum-Saunders, Pareto, Laplace, central 2, , , Weibull, Rayleigh, Maxwell, and extreme value distributions. Important properties of these distribution are documented, and most common practical applications are discussed. This book can be used as a reference material for graduate courses in engineering statistics, mathematical statistics, and econometrics. Professionals and practitioners working in various fields will also find some of the chapters to be useful. Although an extensive literature exists on each of these distributions, we were forced to limit the size of each chapter and the number of references given at the end due to the publishing plan of this book that limits its size. Nevertheless, we gratefully acknowledge the contribution of all those authors whose names have been left out. Some knowledge in introductory algebra and college calculus is assumed throughout the book. Integration is extensively used in several chapters, and many results discussed in Part I (Chapters 1 to 9) of our book are used in this volume. Chapter 10 is on Inverse Gaussian distribution and its extensions. The Birnbaum-Saunders distribution and its extensions along with applications in actuarial sciences is discussed in Chapter 11. Chapter 12 discusses Pareto distribution and its extensions. The Laplace distribution and its applications in navigational errors is discussed in the next chapter. This is followed by central chi-squared distribution and its applications in statistical inference, bioinformatics and genomics. Chapter 15 discusses Student's distribution, its extensions and applications in statistical inference. The distribution and its applications in statistical inference appears next. Chapter 17 is on Weibull distribution and its applications in geology and reliability engineering. Next two chapters are on Rayleigh and Maxwell distributions and its applications in communications, wind energy modeling, kinetic gas theory, nuclear and thermal engineering, and physical chemistry. The last chapter is on Gumbel distribution, its applications in the law of rare exceedances. Suggestions for improvement are welcome. Please send them to [email protected].
Author: Francois Longin Publisher: John Wiley & Sons ISBN: 1118650204 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 690
Book Description
A guide to the growing importance of extreme value risk theory, methods, and applications in the financial sector Presenting a uniquely accessible guide, Extreme Events in Finance: A Handbook of Extreme Value Theory and Its Applications features a combination of the theory, methods, and applications of extreme value theory (EVT) in finance and a practical understanding of market behavior including both ordinary and extraordinary conditions. Beginning with a fascinating history of EVTs and financial modeling, the handbook introduces the historical implications that resulted in the applications and then clearly examines the fundamental results of EVT in finance. After dealing with these theoretical results, the handbook focuses on the EVT methods critical for data analysis. Finally, the handbook features the practical applications and techniques and how these can be implemented in financial markets. Extreme Events in Finance: A Handbook of Extreme Value Theory and Its Applications includes: Over 40 contributions from international experts in the areas of finance, statistics, economics, business, insurance, and risk management Topical discussions on univariate and multivariate case extremes as well as regulation in financial markets Extensive references in order to provide readers with resources for further study Discussions on using R packages to compute the value of risk and related quantities The book is a valuable reference for practitioners in financial markets such as financial institutions, investment funds, and corporate treasuries, financial engineers, quantitative analysts, regulators, risk managers, large-scale consultancy groups, and insurers. Extreme Events in Finance: A Handbook of Extreme Value Theory and Its Applications is also a useful textbook for postgraduate courses on the methodology of EVTs in finance.
Author: Stelios Psarakis Publisher: ISBN: Category : Languages : en Pages : 18
Book Description
Measurements are frequently recorder without their algebraic sign. As a consequence the underlying distribution of measurements is replaced by a distribution of absolute measurements. When the underlying distribution is t the resulting distribution is called the quot;folded-t distributionquot;. Here we study this distribution, we find the relationship between the folded-t distribution and a special case of the folded normal distribution and we derive relationships of the folded-t distribution to other distributions pertaining to computer generation. Also tables are presented which give areas of the folded-t distribution.
Author: Greg Taylor Publisher: ISBN: 9780996889704 Category : Languages : en Pages : 100
Book Description
In this monograph, authors Greg Taylor and Gráinne McGuire discuss generalized linear models (GLM) for loss reserving, beginning with strong emphasis on the chain ladder. The chain ladder is formulated in a GLM context, as is the statistical distribution of the loss reserve. This structure is then used to test the need for departure from the chain ladder model and to consider natural extensions of the chain ladder model that lend themselves to the GLM framework.
Author: Mohammad Ahsanullah Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media ISBN: 9462390614 Category : Mathematics Languages : en Pages : 163
Book Description
The most important properties of normal and Student t-distributions are presented. A number of applications of these properties are demonstrated. New related results dealing with the distributions of the sum, product and ratio of the independent normal and Student distributions are presented. The materials will be useful to the advanced undergraduate and graduate students and practitioners in the various fields of science and engineering.
Author: Piet de Jong Publisher: Cambridge University Press ISBN: 1139470477 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 207
Book Description
This is the only book actuaries need to understand generalized linear models (GLMs) for insurance applications. GLMs are used in the insurance industry to support critical decisions. Until now, no text has introduced GLMs in this context or addressed the problems specific to insurance data. Using insurance data sets, this practical, rigorous book treats GLMs, covers all standard exponential family distributions, extends the methodology to correlated data structures, and discusses recent developments which go beyond the GLM. The issues in the book are specific to insurance data, such as model selection in the presence of large data sets and the handling of varying exposure times. Exercises and data-based practicals help readers to consolidate their skills, with solutions and data sets given on the companion website. Although the book is package-independent, SAS code and output examples feature in an appendix and on the website. In addition, R code and output for all the examples are provided on the website.
Author: Stuart A. Klugman Publisher: John Wiley & Sons ISBN: 0470391332 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 758
Book Description
An update of one of the most trusted books on constructing and analyzing actuarial models Written by three renowned authorities in the actuarial field, Loss Models, Third Edition upholds the reputation for excellence that has made this book required reading for the Society of Actuaries (SOA) and Casualty Actuarial Society (CAS) qualification examinations. This update serves as a complete presentation of statistical methods for measuring risk and building models to measure loss in real-world events. This book maintains an approach to modeling and forecasting that utilizes tools related to risk theory, loss distributions, and survival models. Random variables, basic distributional quantities, the recursive method, and techniques for classifying and creating distributions are also discussed. Both parametric and non-parametric estimation methods are thoroughly covered along with advice for choosing an appropriate model. Features of the Third Edition include: Extended discussion of risk management and risk measures, including Tail-Value-at-Risk (TVaR) New sections on extreme value distributions and their estimation Inclusion of homogeneous, nonhomogeneous, and mixed Poisson processes Expanded coverage of copula models and their estimation Additional treatment of methods for constructing confidence regions when there is more than one parameter The book continues to distinguish itself by providing over 400 exercises that have appeared on previous SOA and CAS examinations. Intriguing examples from the fields of insurance and business are discussed throughout, and all data sets are available on the book's FTP site, along with programs that assist with conducting loss model analysis. Loss Models, Third Edition is an essential resource for students and aspiring actuaries who are preparing to take the SOA and CAS preliminary examinations. It is also a must-have reference for professional actuaries, graduate students in the actuarial field, and anyone who works with loss and risk models in their everyday work. To explore our additional offerings in actuarial exam preparation visit www.wiley.com/go/actuarialexamprep.
Author: Vytaras Brazauskas
Author: Vytaras Brazauskas
Author: Rajan Chattamvelli
Author: Francois Longin
Author: Stelios Psarakis
Author: Mark Goldburd
Author: Greg Taylor
Author: Mohammad Ahsanullah
Author: Piet de Jong
Author: Joseph P. Snow
Author: Stuart A. Klugman