Flaws and Fallacies in Statistical Thinking PDF Download
Are you looking for read ebook online? Search for your book and save it on your Kindle device, PC, phones or tablets. Download Flaws and Fallacies in Statistical Thinking PDF full book. Access full book title Flaws and Fallacies in Statistical Thinking by Stephen K. Campbell. Download full books in PDF and EPUB format.
Author: Stephen K. Campbell Publisher: Courier Corporation ISBN: 0486140512 Category : Mathematics Languages : en Pages : 210
Book Description
Nontechnical survey helps improve ability to judge statistical evidence and to make better-informed decisions. Discusses common pitfalls: unrealistic estimates, improper comparisons, premature conclusions, and faulty thinking about probability. 1974 edition.
Author: Stephen K. Campbell Publisher: Courier Corporation ISBN: 0486140512 Category : Mathematics Languages : en Pages : 210
Book Description
Nontechnical survey helps improve ability to judge statistical evidence and to make better-informed decisions. Discusses common pitfalls: unrealistic estimates, improper comparisons, premature conclusions, and faulty thinking about probability. 1974 edition.
Author: Deborah G. Mayo Publisher: Cambridge University Press ISBN: 1108563309 Category : Mathematics Languages : en Pages : 503
Book Description
Mounting failures of replication in social and biological sciences give a new urgency to critically appraising proposed reforms. This book pulls back the cover on disagreements between experts charged with restoring integrity to science. It denies two pervasive views of the role of probability in inference: to assign degrees of belief, and to control error rates in a long run. If statistical consumers are unaware of assumptions behind rival evidence reforms, they can't scrutinize the consequences that affect them (in personalized medicine, psychology, etc.). The book sets sail with a simple tool: if little has been done to rule out flaws in inferring a claim, then it has not passed a severe test. Many methods advocated by data experts do not stand up to severe scrutiny and are in tension with successful strategies for blocking or accounting for cherry picking and selective reporting. Through a series of excursions and exhibits, the philosophy and history of inductive inference come alive. Philosophical tools are put to work to solve problems about science and pseudoscience, induction and falsification.
Author: Lucy Horwitz Publisher: South End Press ISBN: 9780896080331 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 360
Book Description
Statistics for Social Change is a broadly accessible introduction to statistical techniques and their misuse in explaining everyday life situations. Each chapter of the book is divided into two parts. In the first part there is a step by step explanation of statistical techniques, including the logic of statistics, percentages, graphs, averages, index numbers, variability, probability, estimation, regression and correlation analysis. In the second part, the authors provide applications of these techniques as well as show how they are abused by the advertising industry, the media, and the government when selling their products and policies to the American people. This is a book for everyone who wants to get a handle on the world and the ways it is statistically distorted.
Author: Jianqing Wu Publisher: Jianqing Wu ISBN: Category : Health & Fitness Languages : en Pages : 595
Book Description
In this book, the authors make extensive comparison between medical treatments and health optimization methods (an improved mind-body model) in order to determine their relative and TRUE benefits for cancer patients. For the health optimization method, they examine its use history, acceptance, and performance throughout its history; and for medicine, they examine medical treatment history, leading cancer theories, standard of care formation, formation of legal frameworks, and overwhelming performance data we could find from the massive medical literature. We can show with irrefutable evidence why medicine cannot cure cancer and what role it is actually playing. The book (1) discloses a systematic methodology for curing cancer in confidence; (2) extensively discusses how to do right things to win a speed contest in fighting cancer; (3) extensively discusses how to do right things to control cancer cell population, a critical strategy for survival; (4) provides detailed analysis of fatal common mistakes that have taken nine of ten cancer patient lives; (5) exposes flaws in the cancer treatment models, medical research model, the foundation of medicine; and (6) conduct a detailed analysis of four killer factors which are routinely found in nearly all cancer care. The approach used to similar to one used in Health Optimization Engineering, a new branch of health art. The book teaches the decisive roles of SPEED, NUMBER and MULTIPLE FACTORS and how to fight cancer by using a two-way optimization methodology. Those three terms and optimization method are not mentioned in medical books, cancer research articles, and are not part of the language used in hospitals. Our simulation and our kinetic studies show that both cancer development and reversal processes would take many years. The rates of reversals for cancer and all chronic diseases are so slow that medicine cannot accurately evaluate. This is why medicine cannot recognize or refuses to acknowledge any cure that requires half a year to several years to accomplish. The approach we use in this book is directly in conflict with three core concepts in medicine: dualism, reductionism, and population-based approach. Moreover, we found that medical treatments can partially neutralize and totally nullify the curative benefits of our optimization method. Based on our own findings and the results from reanalyzing massive existing medical publications, we inevitably found that medical treatments are primarily responsible for creating the cancer panic and the treatments shorten lives in a super majority of cases. We try to analyze every issue in the most comprehensive way. Our analysis covers medical model and its legal framework, leading cancer theories, treatment development histories, formation of standard of care, control selections in drug trials, the massive cancer controversies, and mountains of actual performance data. The most convincing evidence is the performance verdicts by recent medical studies and latest meta reviews. We try to built a watertight case that precludes any of those arguments that have been made by proponents of the reductionist medical model.
Author: Maureen Daly Goggin Publisher: Routledge ISBN: 1135658501 Category : Language Arts & Disciplines Languages : en Pages : 312
Book Description
Authoring a Discipline traces the post-World War II emergence of rhetoric and composition as a discipline within departments of English in institutions of higher education in the United States. Goggin brings to light both the evolution of this discipline and many of the key individuals involved in its development. Drawing on archival and oral evidence, this history offers a comprehensive and systematic investigation of scholarly journals, the editors who directed them, and the authors who contributed to them, demonstrating the influence that publications and participants have had in the emergence of rhetoric and composition as an independent field of study. Goggin considers the complex struggles in which scholars and teachers engaged to stake ground and to construct a professional and disciplinary identity. She identifies major debates and controversies that ignited as the discipline emerged and analyzes how the editors and contributors to the major scholarly journals helped to shape, and in turn were shaped by, the field of rhetoric and composition. She also coins a new term--discipliniographer--to describe those who write the field through authoring and authorizing work, thus creating the social and political contexts in which the discipline emerged. The research presented here demonstrates clearly how disciplines are social products, born of political struggles for both intellectual and material spaces.
Author: Richard A. DeFusco Publisher: John Wiley & Sons ISBN: 1119104599 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 634
Book Description
Your complete guide to quantitative analysis in the investment industry Quantitative Investment Analysis, Third Edition is a newly revised and updated text that presents you with a blend of theory and practice materials to guide you through the use of statistics within the context of finance and investment. With equal focus on theoretical concepts and their practical applications, this approachable resource offers features, such as learning outcome statements, that are targeted at helping you understand, retain, and apply the information you have learned. Throughout the text's chapters, you explore a wide range of topics, such as the time value of money, discounted cash flow applications, common probability distributions, sampling and estimation, hypothesis testing, and correlation and regression. Applying quantitative analysis to the investment process is an important task for investment pros and students. A reference that provides even subject matter treatment, consistent mathematical notation, and continuity in topic coverage will make the learning process easier—and will bolster your success. Explore the materials you need to apply quantitative analysis to finance and investment data—even if you have no previous knowledge of this subject area Access updated content that offers insight into the latest topics relevant to the field Consider a wide range of subject areas within the text, including chapters on multiple regression, issues in regression analysis, time-series analysis, and portfolio concepts Leverage supplemental materials, including the companion Workbook and Instructor's Manual, sold separately Quantitative Investment Analysis, Third Edition is a fundamental resource that covers the wide range of quantitative methods you need to know in order to apply quantitative analysis to the investment process.
Author: Egan J Chernoff Publisher: IAP ISBN: 1623967023 Category : Education Languages : en Pages : 501
Book Description
The teaching and learning of mathematics in Alberta - one of three Canadian provinces sharing a border with Montana - has a long and storied history. An integral part of the past 50 years (1962-2012) of this history has been delta-K: Journal of the Mathematics Council of the Alberta Teachers' Association. This volume, which presents ten memorable articles from each of the past five decades, that is, 50 articles from the past 50 years of the journal, provides an opportunity to share this rich history with a wide range of individuals interested in the teaching and learning of mathematics and mathematics education. Each decade begins with an introduction, providing a historical context, and concludes with a commentary from a prominent member of the Alberta mathematics education community. As a result, this monograph provides a historical account as well as a contemporary view of many of the trends and issues in the teaching and learning of mathematics. This volume is meant to serve as a resource for a variety of individuals, including teachers of mathematics, mathematics teacher educators, mathematics education researchers, historians, and undergraduate and graduate students. Most importantly, this volume is a celebratory retrospective on the work of the Mathematics Council of the Alberta Teachers' Association.
Author: Paul Sagan Publisher: iUniverse ISBN: 0595313949 Category : Science Languages : en Pages : 502
Book Description
In BALL LIGHTNING: Paradox of Physics, Paul Sagan lists 230 unpublished cases from Oak Ridge National Laboratories. By their mysterious propulsion, navigation, confinement and flight against winds, fireballs "defy" gravity. His novel Sagan-Hill Hypothesis explains fireball propulsion (inertialess negative gravity) and also the Flatwoods event of September 12, 1952. A witness, Sagan publishes his interviews with other witnesses and speculates that machine intelligences hide inside comet belts. Sagan explores atmospheric physics, lightning, network analysis, quantum physics, the EPR Paradox, Wolfram computation, MONDs, WIMPs, Multiverse Theory, chaoplexity, M-Theory and more. Sagan illuminates the profound changes necessary for post-modern physics to accommodate something that is foreign to our current physics. Written for the intelligent reader, this book's remarkable clarity and minimum of mathematical notation make it accessible to both the scientist and casual reader.
Author: Stephen K. Campbell
Author: Stephen K. Campbell
Author: Stephen K. Campbell
Author: Deborah G. Mayo
Author: Lucy Horwitz
Author: Jianqing Wu
Author: Library of Congress. Copyright Office
Author: Maureen Daly Goggin
Author: Richard A. DeFusco
Author: Egan J Chernoff
Author: Paul Sagan