Financial Modeling with Crystal Ball and Excel PDF Download

Author: John Charnes
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 1118161130
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 449

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Book Description
Praise for Financial Modeling with Crystal Ball(r) and Excel(r) "Professor Charnes's book drives clarity into applied Monte Carlo analysis using examples and tools relevant to real-world finance. The book will prove useful for analysts of all levels and as a supplement to academic courses in multiple disciplines." -Mark Odermann, Senior Financial Analyst, Microsoft "Think you really know financial modeling? This is a must-have for power Excel users. Professor Charnes shows how to make more realistic models that result in fewer surprises. Every analyst needs this credibility booster." -James Franklin, CEO, Decisioneering, Inc. "This book packs a first-year MBA's worth of financial and business modeling education into a few dozen easy-to-understand examples. Crystal Ball software does the housekeeping, so readers can concentrate on the business decision. A careful reader who works the examples on a computer will master the best general-purpose technology available for working with uncertainty." -Aaron Brown, Executive Director, Morgan Stanley, author of The Poker Face of Wall Street "Using Crystal Ball and Excel, John Charnes takes you step by step, demonstrating a conceptual framework that turns static Excel data and financial models into true risk models. I am astonished by the clarity of the text and the hands-on, step-by-step examples using Crystal Ball and Excel; Professor Charnes is a masterful teacher, and this is an absolute gem of a book for the new generation of analyst." -Brian Watt, Chief Operating Officer, GECC, Inc. "Financial Modeling with Crystal Ball and Excel is a comprehensive, well-written guide to one of the most useful analysis tools available to professional risk managers and quantitative analysts. This is a must-have book for anyone using Crystal Ball, and anyone wanting an overview of basic risk management concepts." -Paul Dietz, Manager, Quantitative Analysis, Westar Energy "John Charnes presents an insightful exploration of techniques for analysis and understanding of risk and uncertainty in business cases. By application of real options theory and Monte Carlo simulation to planning, doors are opened to analysis of what used to be impossible, such as modeling the value today of future project choices." -Bruce Wallace, Nortel

Author: Ken Kasriel
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 1118537696
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 389

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Book Description
Please contact the authors at [email protected] for details of how to access the trial version of Crystal Ball, as well as the Excel and other files which are *not* part of the e-book version download. "This is a book no deal team should be without. It is a must for those involved in upstream oil and gas transactions, planning, budgeting, investment appraisal and portfolio management. Its step–by–step approach cuts through complexity, making it comprehensive and understandable by a wide range of users with a wide range of abilities. It can be used as a textbook, an introductory primer or as a handbook that you can dip in and out of or read cover to cover." —Michael Lynch-Bell, Senior Advisor, Oil & Gas, Ernst & Young LLP; ex-officio Chairman, UN Expert Group on Resource Classification In the upstream petroleum industry, it is the value of post–tax cashflows which matters most to companies, governments, investors, lenders, analysts, and advisors. Calculating these cashflows and understanding their “behavior,” however, is challenging, as the industry’s specialized fiscal systems can be complex, jargon–laden, and sometimes seem to be a “world of their own”. Upstream Petroleum Fiscal and Valuation Modeling in Excel: A Worked Examples Approach demystifies fiscal analysis which, unlike disciplines such as Earth sciences and engineering, can be learned from a book. Written in plain English for laymen and for experienced practitioners alike, it is a reader–friendly, clear, practical, step–by–step hands–on guide for both reference and self–paced study. The book does not catalogue the 100+ different petroleum fiscal regimes in use at the time of writing. Rather, drawing on the authors’ combined 48 years’ experience, it takes a more timeless, generic treatment, by covering the most common variants of royalties, taxation, production sharing arrangements, bonuses and abandonment funding , through a dual approach: first, showing how to model them in Excel , and then providing interactive exercises to prompt (and answer) questions that analyze impacts on cashflows. In addition to the main text, the book consists of over 120 Excel files (ranging from modular examples to full models) in Excel 2007 and 2003 formats; over 400 pages of supplementary PDF files; VBA features to enhance model functionality; and an introduction to risk modeling with exercises for the included trial version of Oracle’s Crystal Ball software. It offers both a wealth of content and models equal to or surpassing what is available from fiscal modeling courses costing several times more; and greater insights into underlying calculations than commercially available “black box” fiscal software. New US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) rules planned for 2013 will force petroleum companies to disclose more fiscal information on an individual country basis. This will make it more important than ever for analysts to understand how to model oil and gas terms and the potential impacts of the disclosed government payments on future oil and gas company profitability. Due to the heavy use of graphics and cross references used in this particular text, some readers might find that the printed book offers a more optimal reading experience than certain e-formats particularly with the Kindle eMobi format.

Author: John Charnes
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 1118240057
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 342

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Book Description
Updated look at financial modeling and Monte Carlo simulation with software by Oracle Crystal Ball This revised and updated edition of the bestselling book on financial modeling provides the tools and techniques needed to perform spreadsheet simulation. It answers the essential question of why risk analysis is vital to the decision-making process, for any problem posed in finance and investment. This reliable resource reviews the basics and covers how to define and refine probability distributions in financial modeling, and explores the concepts driving the simulation modeling process. It also discusses simulation controls and analysis of simulation results. The second edition of Financial Modeling with Crystal Ball and Excel contains instructions, theory, and practical example models to help apply risk analysis to such areas as derivative pricing, cost estimation, portfolio allocation and optimization, credit risk, and cash flow analysis. It includes the resources needed to develop essential skills in the areas of valuation, pricing, hedging, trading, risk management, project evaluation, credit risk, and portfolio management. Offers an updated edition of the bestselling book covering the newest version of Oracle Crystal Ball Contains valuable insights on Monte Carlo simulation—an essential skill applied by many corporate finance and investment professionals Written by John Charnes, the former finance department chair at the University of Kansas and senior vice president of global portfolio strategies at Bank of America, who is currently President and Chief Data Scientist at Syntelli Solutions, Inc. Risk Analytics and Predictive Intelligence Division (Syntelli RAPID) Engaging and informative, this book is a vital resource designed to help you become more adept at financial modeling and simulation.

Author: Keith A. Allman
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 1118044665
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 230

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Book Description
A practical guide to building fully operational financial cash flow models for structured finance transactions Structured finance and securitization deals are becoming more commonplace on Wall Street. Up until now, however, market participants have had to create their own models to analyze these deals, and new entrants have had to learn as they go. Modeling Structured Finance Cash Flows with Microsoft Excel provides readers with the information they need to build a cash flow model for structured finance and securitization deals. Financial professional Keith Allman explains individual functions and formulas, while also explaining the theory behind the spreadsheets. Each chapter begins with a discussion of theory, followed by a section called "Model Builder," in which Allman translates the theory into functions and formulas. In addition, the companion website features all of the modeling exercises, as well as a final version of the model that is created in the text. Note: Companion website and other supplementary materials are not included as part of eBook file.

Author: Evan Tick
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 1118160665
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 278

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Book Description
A detailed look at how object-oriented VBA should be used to model complex financial structures This guide helps readers overcome the difficult task of modeling complex financial structures and bridges the gap between professional C++/Java programmers writing production models and front-office analysts building Excel spreadsheet models. It reveals how to model financial structures using object-oriented VBA in an Excel environment, allowing desk-based analysts to quickly produce flexible and robust models. Filled with in-depth insight and expert advice, it skillfully illustrates the art of object-oriented programming for the explicit purpose of modeling structured products. Residential mortgage securitization is used as a unifying example throughout the text.

Author: John Charnes
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 1118175441
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 342

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Book Description
Updated look at financial modeling and Monte Carlo simulation with software by Oracle Crystal Ball This revised and updated edition of the bestselling book on financial modeling provides the tools and techniques needed to perform spreadsheet simulation. It answers the essential question of why risk analysis is vital to the decision-making process, for any problem posed in finance and investment. This reliable resource reviews the basics and covers how to define and refine probability distributions in financial modeling, and explores the concepts driving the simulation modeling process. It also discusses simulation controls and analysis of simulation results. The second edition of Financial Modeling with Crystal Ball and Excel contains instructions, theory, and practical example models to help apply risk analysis to such areas as derivative pricing, cost estimation, portfolio allocation and optimization, credit risk, and cash flow analysis. It includes the resources needed to develop essential skills in the areas of valuation, pricing, hedging, trading, risk management, project evaluation, credit risk, and portfolio management. Offers an updated edition of the bestselling book covering the newest version of Oracle Crystal Ball Contains valuable insights on Monte Carlo simulation—an essential skill applied by many corporate finance and investment professionals Written by John Charnes, the former finance department chair at the University of Kansas and senior vice president of global portfolio strategies at Bank of America, who is currently President and Chief Data Scientist at Syntelli Solutions, Inc. Risk Analytics and Predictive Intelligence Division (Syntelli RAPID) Engaging and informative, this book is a vital resource designed to help you become more adept at financial modeling and simulation.

Author: Eric Soubeiga
Publisher: McGraw Hill Professional
ISBN: 0071808515
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 320

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Book Description
All the precision of financial modeling--and none of the complexity Evidence-based decision making is only as good as the external evidence on which it is based. Financial models uncover potential risks on a company’s balance sheet, but the complexity of these instruments has limited their effectiveness. Now, Mastering Financial Modeling offers a simplified method for building the fast and accurate financial models serious evidencebased decision makers need. What sets this practical guide apart is its "learning-on-the-job" approach. Unlike other books that teach modeling in a vacuum, this superior method uses a diverse collection of case studies to convey each step of the building process. "Learning on the job" connects the dots between the proper Excel formulas and functions and the real-world situations where you want to use them. By learning through association, you can absorb the information quickly and have it ready to use when you need it. The book starts right off on building models--from creating a standalone cash flow model through integrating it with an income statement and balance sheet. Along the way, you will master the skill set you need to build advanced financial models. With only a basic knowledge of accounting and finance, individual investors and financial professionals alike can: Create a core model and customize it for companies in most industries Understand every working component of a financial model and what each one tells you about a company Format cells and sheets in Excel for easily repeatable modeling Written with the practitioner in mind, Mastering Financial Modeling shows you how to ensure your model is ready for real-world application by safeguarding it against modeling errors. It covers a full array of Excel's builtin auditing and testing tools and illustrates how to build customized error-checking tools of your own to catch the inaccuracies that typically fall through the cracks. Get the most out of your data with Mastering Financial Modeling. Mastering Financial Modeling brings the power of financial models down to earth and puts it in the hands of investors, bankers, and private equity professionals who don't have a passion for crunching numbers. Nowhere else can you get step-by-step instruction on building these valuable tools from an elite World Bank investment officer. Starting from the ground up, Eric Soubeiga shows you how to interpret and build financial models in Microsoft Excel that will accurately assess any company’s valuation and profit potential. Even if you have unsuccessfully tried financial modeling in the past, this book will reach you because it associates every lesson to the business world you work in daily. Chapter by chapter, you will master financial modeling, and in the end, you will: Command authority over building every aspect of a financial model Be capable of explaining the accounting and finance concepts behind the mechanics of modeling Confidently determine a company’s ability to generate cash flows for its capital investors with discounted cash flow (DCF) modeling Execute powerful spreadsheet calculations in Excel Most importantly, as a decision maker, the insight you bring to the table through your sophisticated understanding and application of financial modeling will benefit every stakeholder. See what leading professionals around the world already know--Mastering Financial Modeling is the most comprehensive guide on the market for designing, building, and implementing valuation projection models. What it does from there is up to you.

Author: Roger Staiger
Publisher: Routledge
ISBN: 1317687094
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 388

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Book Description
Foundations of Real Estate Financial Modelling is specifically designed to provide an overview of pro forma modelling for real estate projects. The book introduces students and professionals to the basics of real estate finance theory before providing a step-by-step guide for financial model construction using Excel. The idea that real estate is an asset with unique characteristics which can be transformed, both physically and financially, forms the basis of discussion. Individual chapters are separated by functional unit and build upon themselves to include information on: Amortization Single-Family Unit Multi-Family Unit Development/Construction Addition(s) Waterfall (Equity Bifurcation) Accounting Statements Additional Asset Classes Further chapters are dedicated to risk quantification and include scenario, stochastic and Monte Carlo simulations, waterfalls and securitized products. This book is the ideal companion to core real estate finance textbooks and will boost students Excel modelling skills before they enter the workplace. The book provides individuals with a step-by-step instruction on how to construct a real estate financial model that is both scalable and modular. A companion website provides the pro forma models to give readers a basic financial model for each asset class as well as methods to quantify performance and understand how and why each model is constructed and the best practices for repositioning these assets.

Author: Chandan Sengupta
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 0471789089
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 419

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Book Description
A detailed look at developing real-world financial models using C++ This book, designed for self-study, reference, and classroom use, outlines a comprehensive approach to creating both simple and advanced financial models using C++. Author and modeling expert Chandan Sengupta covers programming, the C++ language, and financial modeling from the ground up-assuming no prior knowledge in these areas-and shows through numerous examples how to combine these skills with financial theory and mathematics to develop practical financial models. Since C++ is the computer language used most often to develop large-scale financial models and systems, readers will find this work-which includes a CD-ROM containing the models and codes from the book-an essential asset in their current modeling endeavors. Chandan Sengupta (White Plains, NY) teaches finance in the MBA program at the Fordham University Graduate School of Business. He is also the author of Financial Modeling Using Excel and VBA (0-471-26768-6).

Author: Michael Samonas
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 1118921097
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 242

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Book Description
Risk analysis has become critical to modern financial planning Financial Forecasting, Analysis and Modelling provides a complete framework of long-term financial forecasts in a practical and accessible way, helping finance professionals include uncertainty in their planning and budgeting process. With thorough coverage of financial statement simulation models and clear, concise implementation instruction, this book guides readers step-by-step through the entire projection plan development process. Readers learn the tools, techniques, and special considerations that increase accuracy and smooth the workflow, and develop a more robust analysis process that improves financial strategy. The companion website provides a complete operational model that can be customised to develop financial projections or a range of other key financial measures, giving readers an immediately-applicable tool to facilitate effective decision-making. In the aftermath of the recent financial crisis, the need for experienced financial modelling professionals has steadily increased as organisations rush to adjust to economic volatility and uncertainty. This book provides the deeper level of understanding needed to develop stronger financial planning, with techniques tailored to real-life situations. Develop long-term projection plans using Excel Use appropriate models to develop a more proactive strategy Apply risk and uncertainty projections more accurately Master the Excel Scenario Manager, Sensitivity Analysis, Monte Carlo Simulation, and more Risk plays a larger role in financial planning than ever before, and possible outcomes must be measured before decisions are made. Uncertainty has become a critical component in financial planning, and accuracy demands it be used appropriately. With special focus on uncertainty in modelling and planning, Financial Forecasting, Analysis and Modelling is a comprehensive guide to the mechanics of modern finance.