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How Does Financial Globalization Affect Risk Sharing? Patterns and Channels

How Does Financial Globalization Affect Risk Sharing? Patterns and Channels PDF Author: M. Ayhan Kose
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN:
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 48

Book Description
In theory, one of the main benefits of financial globalization is that it should allow for more efficient international risk sharing. This paper provides a comprehensive empirical evaluation of the patterns of risk sharing among different groups of countries and examines how international financial integration has affected the evolution of these patterns. Using a variety of empirical techniques, we conclude that there is at best a modest degree of international risk sharing, and certainly nowhere near the levels predicted by theory. In addition, only industrial countries have attained better risk sharing outcomes during the recent period of globalization. Developing countries have, by and large, been shut out of this benefit. The most interesting result is that even emerging market economies, which have experienced large increases in cross-border capital flows, have seen little change in their ability to share risk. We find that the composition of flows may help explain why emerging markets have not been able to realize this presumed benefit of financial globalization. In particular, our results suggest that portfolio debt, which has dominated the external liability stocks of most emerging markets until recently, is not conducive to risk sharing.

How Does Financial Globalization Affect Risk Sharing? Patterns and Channels

How Does Financial Globalization Affect Risk Sharing? Patterns and Channels PDF Author: M. Ayhan Kose
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN:
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 48

Book Description
In theory, one of the main benefits of financial globalization is that it should allow for more efficient international risk sharing. This paper provides a comprehensive empirical evaluation of the patterns of risk sharing among different groups of countries and examines how international financial integration has affected the evolution of these patterns. Using a variety of empirical techniques, we conclude that there is at best a modest degree of international risk sharing, and certainly nowhere near the levels predicted by theory. In addition, only industrial countries have attained better risk sharing outcomes during the recent period of globalization. Developing countries have, by and large, been shut out of this benefit. The most interesting result is that even emerging market economies, which have experienced large increases in cross-border capital flows, have seen little change in their ability to share risk. We find that the composition of flows may help explain why emerging markets have not been able to realize this presumed benefit of financial globalization. In particular, our results suggest that portfolio debt, which has dominated the external liability stocks of most emerging markets until recently, is not conducive to risk sharing.

How Does Financial Globalization Affect Risk Sharing? Patterns and Channels

How Does Financial Globalization Affect Risk Sharing? Patterns and Channels PDF Author: M. Ayhan Kose
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 43

Book Description
In theory, one of the main benefits of financial globalization is that it should allow for more efficient international risk sharing. This paper provides a comprehensive empirical evaluation of the patterns of risk sharing among different groups of countries and examines how international financial integration has affected the evolution of these patterns. Using a variety of empirical techniques, we conclude that there is at best a modest degree of international risk sharing, and certainly nowhere near the levels predicted by theory. In addition, only industrial countries have attained better risk sharing outcomes during the recent period of globalization. Developing countries have, by and large, been shut out of this benefit. The most interesting result is that even emerging market economies, which have experienced large increases in cross-border capital flows, have seen little change in their ability to share risk. We find that the composition of flows may help explain why emerging markets have not been able to realize this presumed benefit of financial globalization. In particular, our results suggest that portfolio debt, which has dominated the external liability stocks of most emerging markets until recently, is not conducive to risk sharing.

International Risk Sharing and Gains from Financial Globalization

International Risk Sharing and Gains from Financial Globalization PDF Author: Julian Fischer
Publisher: GRIN Verlag
ISBN: 3668516812
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 42

Book Description
Seminar paper from the year 2017 in the subject Economics - International Economic Relations, grade: 2,0, University of Göttingen (Professur für Empirische Außenwirtschaft), course: International Financial Markets, language: English, abstract: In this paper, potential of international risk sharing for emerging markets will be investigated, particularly in terms of financial integration and liberalization. The incentives of financial integration will be surveyed in terms of international risk sharing, indicate benefits for emerging market economies. In addition, it will be investigated if huge foreign capital inflows show positive effects of risk sharing for them. Several government leaders all over the world recognize the potential of financial globalization for their country. A strong incentive for deeper financial linking can be observed. Three of the development countries in Africa already grew up to the so called emerging markets: Egypt, Morocco and South Africa. To keep up with the fast growing population and facilitating the economic growth, they want to stimulate employments for agriculture and infrastructure by investment partnerships with the G20, whereas Donald Trump, the President of the USA, would like to cut funding World Bank programs like credit guarantees or small business access to finance for these countries. Indeed, these development countries, also including emerging markets, need to implement more structural changes like liberalizing financial markets and financial transparency for these intentions. Is international risk sharing able to smooth uncertainties in the emerging markets? Will they catch up the distance to industrial countries? In light of ongoing financial integration and economic development, the influence of international risk sharing in terms of financial globalization for emerging markets will be investigated. Just little evidence of risk sharing can be seen throughout the last decades, but still some persuasive inquiries are to be considered. Improvements in international risk sharing potentially lead to stabilizing effects, scarcer sudden stops and smaller risk premiums. Structural policy changes and better financial integration could surmount the threshold effect.

International Risk Sharing During the Globalization Era

International Risk Sharing During the Globalization Era PDF Author: Mr.Akito Matsumoto
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1451873565
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 40

Book Description
Though theory suggests financial globalization should improve international risk sharing, empirical support has been limited. We develop a simple welfare-based measure that captures how far countries are from the ideal of perfect risk sharing. We then take it to data and find international risk sharing has, indeed, improved during globalization. Improved risk sharing comes mostly from the convergence in rates of consumption growth among countries rather than from synchronization of consumption at the business cycle frequency. Our finding explains why many existing measures fail to detect improved risk sharing-they focus only on risk sharing at the business cycle frequency.

Financial Globalization, International Business Cycles, and Consumption Risk Sharing

Financial Globalization, International Business Cycles, and Consumption Risk Sharing PDF Author: Michael J. Artis
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 36

Book Description


Reaping the Benefits of Financial Globalization

Reaping the Benefits of Financial Globalization PDF Author: Mr.Ayhan Kose
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1589067487
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 46

Book Description
Financial globalization has increased dramatically over the past three decades, particularly for advanced economies, while emerging market and developing countries experienced more moderate increases. Divergences across countries stem from different capital control regimes, and factors such as institutional quality and domestic financial development. Although, in principle, financial globalization should enhance international risk sharing, reduce macroeconomic volatility, and foster economic growth, in practice its effects are less clear-cut. This paper envisages a gradual and orderly sequencing of external financial liberalization and complementary reforms in macroeconomic policy framework as essential components of a successful liberalization strategy.

Financial Globalization, International Business Cycles and Consumption Risk Sharing

Financial Globalization, International Business Cycles and Consumption Risk Sharing PDF Author: Stefan Gerlach
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 28

Book Description


Financial Globalization and Risk Sharing

Financial Globalization and Risk Sharing PDF Author: Andrey Ukhov
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 62

Book Description
To study the welfare effects of investment barriers and the opening of markets to foreigners, we construct an equilibrium model of international asset pricing without agency costs that allows endogenous market participation among heterogeneous agents. Equilibrium prices and the set of participating and non-participating agents are jointly determined in equilibrium and the ability of agents to choose to participate in the market affects prices of domestic and foreign assets. We examine the welfare effects of non-participation and find that when a country moves from complete segmentation to open markets for foreigners, the cost of capital falls in the domestic market. This is consistent with empirical findings in the international asset pricing literature. Through the endogenous participation mechanism, our model is able to capture sources of economic growth. Contrary to previous models, however, we show that opening markets is not Pareto-optimal and we identify a class of domestic agents whose welfare is lower after the opening of markets. These finding have political economy interpretations and policy implications.

Financial Globalization and Monetary Policy

Financial Globalization and Monetary Policy PDF Author: Michael B. Devereux
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN:
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 38

Book Description
What does financial globalization imply for the design of monetary policy? Does the case for price stability change in an environment of large cross country gross asset holdings?. This paper is concerned with the effects of monetary policy under endogenous international portfolio choice and incomplete markets. With endogenous portfolios, monetary policy takes on new importance due to its impact on the distribution of returns on nominal assets. Surprisingly, we find an even stronger case for price stability in this environment. Even without nominal rigidities, price stability has a welfare benefit by enhancing the risk sharing capacity of nominal bond returns.

Effects of Financial Globalization on Developing Countries

Effects of Financial Globalization on Developing Countries PDF Author: Mr.Ayhan Kose
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 9781589062214
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 68

Book Description
This study provides a candid, systematic, and critical review of recent evidence on this complex subject. Based on a review of the literature and some new empirical evidence, it finds that (1) in spite of an apparently strong theoretical presumption, it is difficult to detect a strong and robust causal relationship between financial integration and economic growth; (2) contrary to theoretical predictions, financial integration appears to be associated with increases in consumption volatility (both in absolute terms and relative to income volatility) in many developing countries; and (3) there appear to be threshold effects in both of these relationships, which may be related to absorptive capacity. Some recent evidence suggests that sound macroeconomic frameworks and, in particular, good governance are both quantitatively and qualitatively important in affecting developing countries’ experiences with financial globalization.