Extreme Dependence Between Crude Oil and Stock Markets in Asia-Pacific Regions : Evidence from Quantile Regression PDF Download

Author: Huiming Zhu
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :

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Author: Amirdha Vasani Sankarkumar
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 1

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An attempt has been made in this paper, to investigate the effect of oil prices on the exchange rate of 13 Asia - Pacific sample countries against USD, for the period from 04th January 2000 to 31st March 2020. OLS and QR Models were adopted for the analysis. Japanese Yen and Hong Kong Dollar were not affected by the oil prices during the study period. Sample currencies responded differently to oil price shocks under current market conditions. The results of this study would be useful to the policy makers, in the context of variations of oil and currency markets.

Author: J. A. Tenreiro Machado
Publisher: Springer Nature
ISBN: 9811641692
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 191

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This book explores recent developments in theoretical research and mathematical modelling of real-world complex systems, organized in four parts. The first part of the book is devoted to the mathematical tools for the design and analysis in engineering and social science study cases. We discuss the periodic evolutions in nonlinear chemical processes, vibro-compact systems and their behaviour, different types of metal–semiconductor self-assembled samples, made of silver nanowires and zinc oxide nanorods. The second part of the book is devoted to mathematical description and modelling of the critical events, climate change and robust emergency scales. In three chapters, we consider a climate-economy model with endogenous carbon intensity and the behaviour of Tehran Stock Exchange market under international sanctions. The third part of the book is devoted to fractional dynamic and fractional control problems. We discuss the novel operational matrix technique for variable-order fractional optimal control problems, the nonlinear variable-order time fractional convection–diffusion equation with generalized polynomials The fourth part of the book concerns solvability and inverse problems in differential and integro-differential equations. The book facilitates a better understanding of the mechanisms and phenomena in nonlinear dynamics and develops the corresponding mathematical theory to apply nonlinear design to practical engineering. It can be read by mathematicians, physicists, complex systems scientists, IT specialists, civil engineers, data scientists and urban planners.

Author: Arif Billah Dar
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 15

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We use data set of five Asian countries to estimate the frequency and quantile based relationship between stock price index and exchange rate. We apply simple correlation and wavelet based correlation and in accordance with the portfolio balance effect, we find that the two variables are negatively related at all frequencies. Moreover it is found that correlation grows stronger with higher time scales. We further apply quantile regression to observe the various relationships between stock and foreign exchange markets at different quantiles of exchange rates. The results show an interesting pattern in the relation of these two markets in Asia, which indicates that the negative relation is asymmetric across different quantiles of exchange rates and more obvious when exchange rates are extremely low or both high and low.

Author: Zhifeng Dai
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 0

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This paper combines quantile regression withtime-varying vector autoregressive model to study extreme spillover effects among high carbon emission stocks, green bond and WTI crude oil from April 21, 2010 to March 25, 2022.The results display a static total spillover index of approximately 49% at the conditional mean and conditional median estimates; while about 83% under the left tail and right tail estimates. The quantile-based spillover model is better than the mean-based one, because the former better captures the risk contagion mechanism under extreme market conditions. In addition, under extreme market conditions, green bond and WTI crude oil are net receivers of systemic shocks, while the remaining markets analyzed are net transmitters. The connectedness is time-varying in all cases, but the tail is less volatile. The analysis of relative tail dependence suggests the existence of asymmetric behavior, which implies different spillover effects in bullish and bearish markets. In addition, the European sovereign debt crisis has a much larger impact on spillovers under bearish markets than under bullish markets.

Author: Ramazan Gençay
Publisher: Elsevier
ISBN: 0080509223
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 383

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An Introduction to Wavelets and Other Filtering Methods in Finance and Economics presents a unified view of filtering techniques with a special focus on wavelet analysis in finance and economics. It emphasizes the methods and explanations of the theory that underlies them. It also concentrates on exactly what wavelet analysis (and filtering methods in general) can reveal about a time series. It offers testing issues which can be performed with wavelets in conjunction with the multi-resolution analysis. The descriptive focus of the book avoids proofs and provides easy access to a wide spectrum of parametric and nonparametric filtering methods. Examples and empirical applications will show readers the capabilities, advantages, and disadvantages of each method. - The first book to present a unified view of filtering techniques - Concentrates on exactly what wavelets analysis and filtering methods in general can reveal about a time series - Provides easy access to a wide spectrum of parametric and non-parametric filtering methods

Author: Mr.Faisal Ahmed
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1463926529
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 26

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Staff Discussion Notes showcase the latest policy-related analysis and research being developed by individual IMF staff and are published to elicit comment and to further debate. These papers are generally brief and written in nontechnical language, and so are aimed at a broad audience interested in economic policy issues. This Web-only series replaced Staff Position Notes in January 2011.

Author: Wing-Keung Wong
Publisher: Mdpi AG
ISBN: 9783036530802
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 232

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The Efficient Market Hypothesis believes that it is impossible for an investor to outperform the market because all available information is already built into stock prices. However, some anomalies could persist in stock markets while some other anomalies could appear, disappear and re-appear again without any warning. A Special Issue on "Efficiency and Anomalies in Stock Markets" will be devoted to advancements in the theoretical development of market efficiency and anomaly in the Stock Market, as well as applications in Stock Market efficiency and anomalies.

Author: M. Ayhan Kose
Publisher: World Bank Publications
ISBN: 1464815453
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 403

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The global economy has experienced four waves of rapid debt accumulation over the past 50 years. The first three debt waves ended with financial crises in many emerging market and developing economies. During the current wave, which started in 2010, the increase in debt in these economies has already been larger, faster, and broader-based than in the previous three waves. Current low interest rates mitigate some of the risks associated with high debt. However, emerging market and developing economies are also confronted by weak growth prospects, mounting vulnerabilities, and elevated global risks. A menu of policy options is available to reduce the likelihood that the current debt wave will end in crisis and, if crises do take place, will alleviate their impact.

Author: Ms.Camelia Minoiu
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1475554257
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 44

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The global financial crisis has reignited interest in models of crisis prediction. It has also raised the question whether financial connectedness - a possible source of systemic risk - can serve as an early warning indicator of crises. In this paper we examine the ability of connectedness in the global network of financial linkages to predict systemic banking crises. Our results indicate that increases in a country's financial interconnectedness and decreases in its neighbors' connectedness are associated with a higher probability of banking crises after controlling for macroeconomic fundamentals.