Author: J. Humberto LopezPublisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : it
Pages : 30
Book Description
Explaining the dynamics of Spanish unemployment
Author: J. Humberto LopezExplaining the Dynamics of Spanish Unemployment
Author: Humberto LópezPublisher:
ISBN:
Category : Unemployed
Languages : en
Pages : 48
Book Description
One of the most important problems of the Spanish economy is unemployment. In this paper we provide an explanation for Spanish unemployment. We show that the Spanish economy is consistent with an insiders-outsiders model with full hysteresis and increasing labour supply in which output, unemployment and consumption are driven by a common monetary trend. We also show that, if we discount demographic factors and job destruction in agriculture, Spaish unemployment has followed closely, although with a lag of around two years, the evolution of Spanish monetary policy and it would have been in 1994 at the level of 1977. Finally, we provide some evidence supporting the hypothesis that the last recession was caused by the tight monetary policy of the eighties and early nineties.
Explaining Unemployment in Spain
Author: Mr.Jeffrey R. FranksPublisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1451852576
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 42
Book Description
Spain has the most serious and persistent unemployment problem in Europe, with an unemployment rate that reached 24.6 percent in early 1994. This paper explores the characteristics of this unemployment problem, its causes, and provides a brief discussion of recent labor market reform measures and their likely Impact. A demographic shift in recent years has produced a large rise in female labor force participation and a decrease in agricultural jobs to which the economy has been unable to adjust. The effects of generous unemployment benefits and the large underground economy may explain 6–12 percentage points of the resulting unemployment, but the remainder must be explained by failures and rigidities in the labor market. The paper presents econometric evidence that unemployment displays hysteresis, and that wages are not responsive to changes in the unemployment rate. This evidence supports the claim that insider-outsider factors and rigidities in the legal structure of the labor market are responsible for much of the high unemployment rate. Recent reforms have improved the functioning of the labor market, but they are unlikely to be sufficient to reduce unemployment to single digit rates without further action.
Labor Market Policies and Unemployment Dynamics in Spain
Author: Jeffrey FranksPublisher:
ISBN:
Category : Labor market
Languages : en
Pages : 72
Book Description
Análisis del papel de las políticas que afectan al mercado laboral y el desempleo en España, a través de un modelo reflejado en tres ecuaciones: fuerza de trabajo, desempleo y salarios.
Spain : Selected Issues
Author: Jeffrey R. FranksUnemployment Persistence and Mismatch
Author: Raquel FonsecaPublisher: Presses univ. de Louvain
ISBN: 9782930344089
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 208
Book Description
Since the mid-1970s Spain has suffered from persistently high unemployment, as it has occurred in other parts of Europe. Although during the last few years the unemployment level has declined, there are still enormous disparities in the unemployment rate across groups, skills and regions. This thesis attempts to shed some light on the mechanisms of unemployment persistence and skill and regional mismatch in Spain. Chapter 1 provides a first introductory analysis of Spanish data. The chapter emphasises the importance of skill and regional mismatch, which may have contributed about fifty percent to the observed increase in total unemployment over the last twenty years. The chapter also studies the cyclical pattern in the Spanish unemployment, which is a very important aspect in view of its magnitude. The following three chapters are devoted to the evaluation of different mechanisms that may have been at work. In all three chapters, the analysis relies on the specification, calibration and simulation of dynamic general equilibrium models with matching on the labour market. Chapter 2 focuses on cyclical fluctuations, with particular emphasis on the role of reallocation shocks. Chapter 3 focuses on « skill mismatch »; more precisely the chapter investigates to what extent unemployment rate disparities across skill groups can be explained in terms of a « ladder effect ». Chapter 4 focuses on regional disparities. A model is built to investigate the possible determinants of regional disparities and the role of labour mobility.
How Long is the Long Run? A Dynamic Analysis of the Spanish Business Cycle
Author: Ms.Stefania FabrizioPublisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1451849559
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 32
Book Description
This paper studies the sources of Spanish business cycles. It assumes that Spanish output is affected by two types of shocks. The first one has permanent long-run effects on output and it is identified as a supply shock. The second one has only transitory effects on output and it is identified as a demand shock. Spain seems to have long business cycles, of about 15 years. As restrictive demand policies to control the inflation rate could prove painful and disappointing, supply side policies aimed at reducing rigidities in the product and labor market would be a better way to achieve the same objective.
Measuring the NAIRU in the Spanish Economy
Author: Ángel EstradaPublisher:
ISBN:
Category : Inflation (Finance)
Languages : en
Pages : 76
Book Description
The Spanish Labor Market in a Cross-Country Perspective
Author: Ms.Florence JaumottePublisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1455211893
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 53
Book Description
The Spanish labor market is not working: the unemployment rate is structurally very high; wages are not very responsive to labor market conditions, causing a high cyclicality of unemployment; and the labor market is highly dual. Compared with the EU15, Spanish labor market institutions and policies stand out by the structure of its collective bargaining, which occurs mostly at an intermediate level, and by very high severance payments for permanent workers. Based on a quantitative analysis, the paper shows that moving away from the intermediate level of bargaining would go a long way toward bringing the unemployment rate closer to the EU15 average. The key reform needed to reduce the share of temporary workers is reducing employment protection of permanent workers. Substantially reforming the collective bargaining system and reducing the protection of permanent workers are likely to be highly complementary to secure a substantial reduction in the unemployment rate. The recent 2010 labor market reform attempts to address these issues, although its effects are still to materialize.
Dating and Forecasting the Spanish Business Cycle
Author: Humberto LópezPublisher:
ISBN:
Category : Business cycles
Languages : en
Pages : 48
Book Description