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Author: Yuen Meng Wong Publisher: ISBN: Category : Languages : en Pages : 38
Book Description
This paper reports new findings from Asia-Pacific economies on exchange rate revisions following macroeconomic shocks. Regional macroeconomic shocks are as important as the U.S. macroeconomic shocks in affecting exchange rate returns. All Asia-Pacific currencies with the exception of Thai baht react significantly to local macroeconomic shocks. Australian dollar is identified as the most elastic currency responding to macroeconomic shocks, and is more responsive than the Japanese yen. Interest-rate related shocks are generally the most influential events. We provide a ranking list on the relative impact sensitivity of macroeconomic shocks. The announcement effect of the U.S. open market actions via Fed Rate revisions is recognised as the most significant event among the 107 macroeconomic announcements examined.
Author: Yuen Meng Wong Publisher: ISBN: Category : Languages : en Pages : 38
Book Description
This paper reports new findings from Asia-Pacific economies on exchange rate revisions following macroeconomic shocks. Regional macroeconomic shocks are as important as the U.S. macroeconomic shocks in affecting exchange rate returns. All Asia-Pacific currencies with the exception of Thai baht react significantly to local macroeconomic shocks. Australian dollar is identified as the most elastic currency responding to macroeconomic shocks, and is more responsive than the Japanese yen. Interest-rate related shocks are generally the most influential events. We provide a ranking list on the relative impact sensitivity of macroeconomic shocks. The announcement effect of the U.S. open market actions via Fed Rate revisions is recognised as the most significant event among the 107 macroeconomic announcements examined.
Author: Johannes W. Fedderke Publisher: ISBN: Category : Current events Languages : en Pages : 15
Book Description
"Economic theory in the context of floating exchange rates has focussed on underlying medium and long term direction of exchange rate movements. Daily volatility is less well understood. One theory that offers an explanation for short term exchange rate movements is that of the efficient market hypothesis or EMH. Its application to the forex market allows exchange rate movements to be understood as the reaction of traders to relevant news. In an efficient market traders react to news and specifically to surprise news events which necessitate a re-evaluation of the currency value. We test for the validity of this hypothesis in the context of the daily rand/dollar forex market over a three year period, adding an emerging market case to the literature. We test the significance of macroeconomic news surprises -measured by the difference between actual and forecast data - in driving daily exchange rates. We find that surprises in both real and nominal variables cause a statistically significant reaction in the exchange rate. The results support an asymmetry between news of different origin as only surprises that originate in the U.S. prove significant. Good news also seems to receive greater attention from traders than bad news in our sample. Finally, we find that the statistical significance of variables is time-varying"--Publisher's website.
Author: Mr.Dennis P. J. Botman Publisher: International Monetary Fund ISBN: 1475513429 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 21
Book Description
During risk-off episodes, the yen is a safe haven currency and on average appreciates against the U.S. dollar. We investigate the proximate causes of yen risk-off appreciations. We find that neither capital inflows nor expectations of the future monetary policy stance can explain the yen’s safe haven behavior. In contrast, we find evidence that changes in market participants’ risk perceptions trigger derivatives trading, which in turn lead to changes in the spot exchange rate without capital flows. Specifically, we find that risk-off episodes coincide with forward hedging and reduced net short positions or a buildup of net long positions in yen. These empirical findings suggest that offshore and complex financial transactions should be part of spillover analyses and that the effectiveness of capital flow management measures or monetary policy coordination to address excessive exchange rate volatility might be limited in certain cases.
Author: Walid Ben Omrane Publisher: ISBN: Category : Languages : en Pages : 36
Book Description
This paper addresses the central open issue in exchange rate economics: the link between exchange rate volatility and economic fundamentals. In the framework of a multivariate volatility model that allows for volatility spillover, we develop a new impulse response analysis to estimate and decompose the simultaneous effect of macroeconomic news surprises on the foreign exchange volatility. We show that news announcement effects include two components; a direct and an indirect effect induced by volatility spillover. We show that more than 50% of the total accumulated news effect on the Pound and the Yen are due to volatility transmission from the two major currencies and mainly from the Euro.
Author: John Y. Campbell Publisher: University of Chicago Press ISBN: 0226092127 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 444
Book Description
Economic growth, low inflation, and financial stability are among the most important goals of policy makers, and central banks such as the Federal Reserve are key institutions for achieving these goals. In Asset Prices and Monetary Policy, leading scholars and practitioners probe the interaction of central banks, asset markets, and the general economy to forge a new understanding of the challenges facing policy makers as they manage an increasingly complex economic system. The contributors examine how central bankers determine their policy prescriptions with reference to the fluctuating housing market, the balance of debt and credit, changing beliefs of investors, the level of commodity prices, and other factors. At a time when the public has never been more involved in stocks, retirement funds, and real estate investment, this insightful book will be useful to all those concerned with the current state of the economy.
Author: Paul de Grauwe Publisher: World Scientific ISBN: 9814513199 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 585
Book Description
The book covers problems relating to international macroeconomics and international finance. The first part develops new approaches to exchange rate modeling. The second part is a collection of papers on the theory and empirical analysis of monetary unions. The third part contains criticism of the mainstream macroeconomic models and proposes alternative modeling approaches.
Author: Hali J. Edison Publisher: ISBN: Category : Languages : en Pages : 36
Book Description
This paper examines the response of exchange rates and interest rates--U.S. and foreign--to economic news. The news is associated with the surprise component of the monthly release of six U.S. macroeconomic variables. The results suggest that dollar exchange rates systematically react to news about real economic activity--a surprise of 100,000 on non-farm payroll employment leads to a 0.2 percent appreciation of the exchange rate. In general, exchange rates do not react systematically to news on inflation. By contrast, U.S. interest rates respond to both types of news, although the response continues to be extremely small, on the order of 1 to 2 basis points. Finally, Japanese interest rates systematically react, but to a very minor extent, to news about U.S. real economic activity, while German rates, in general, do not.
Author: Peter Tillmann Publisher: ISBN: Category : Languages : en Pages :
Book Description
This paper studies the demand for information about monetary policy, while the literature on central bank transparency and communication typically studies the supply of information by the central bank or the reception of the information provided. We use a new data set on the number of views of the Federal Reserve's website to measure the demand for information. We show that exogenous news about the state of the economy as re ected in U.S. macroeconomic news surprises raise the demand for information about monetary policy. Surprises trigger an increase in the number of views of the policy-relevant sections of the website, but not the other sections. Hence, market participants do not only revise their policy expectations after a surprise, but actively acquire new information. We also show that attention to the Fed matters: a high number of views on the day before the news release weakens the high-frequency response of interest rates to macroeconomic surprises.
Author: Yuen Meng Wong
Author: Yuen Meng Wong
Author: 
Author: Johannes W. Fedderke
Author: Mr.Dennis P. J. Botman
Author: Walid Ben Omrane
Author: John Y. Campbell
Author: Paul de Grauwe
Author: Matthew B. Canzoneri
Author: Hali J. Edison
Author: Peter Tillmann