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European Wage Dynamics and Spillovers

European Wage Dynamics and Spillovers PDF Author: Yuanyan Sophia Zhang
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1513508628
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 29

Book Description
Wage rises have remained stubbornly low in advanced Europe in recent years, but, at the same time, newer EU members are experiencing rapid wage acceleration. This paper investigates the drivers of this wage divergence. Econometric analysis using error correction models suggests that wage growth responds more quickly to changes in unemployment in the newer EU members than in advanced Europe, where wages are more closely related to inflation and inflation expectations in the short run, implying greater inertia in nominal wage rises in advanced Europe. In the years after the global crisis, this inertia contributed to the build up of a real wage overhang relative to sharply slowing labor productivity, which subsequently dragged on nominal wage rises even as unemployment began to decline. Spillovers of subdued wage growth between euro area countries also weighed on wage rises in advanced Europe.

European Wage Dynamics and Spillovers

European Wage Dynamics and Spillovers PDF Author: Yuanyan Sophia Zhang
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1513508628
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 29

Book Description
Wage rises have remained stubbornly low in advanced Europe in recent years, but, at the same time, newer EU members are experiencing rapid wage acceleration. This paper investigates the drivers of this wage divergence. Econometric analysis using error correction models suggests that wage growth responds more quickly to changes in unemployment in the newer EU members than in advanced Europe, where wages are more closely related to inflation and inflation expectations in the short run, implying greater inertia in nominal wage rises in advanced Europe. In the years after the global crisis, this inertia contributed to the build up of a real wage overhang relative to sharply slowing labor productivity, which subsequently dragged on nominal wage rises even as unemployment began to decline. Spillovers of subdued wage growth between euro area countries also weighed on wage rises in advanced Europe.

European Wage Dynamics and Spillovers

European Wage Dynamics and Spillovers PDF Author: Yuanyan Sophia Zhang
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1498319297
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 29

Book Description
Wage rises have remained stubbornly low in advanced Europe in recent years, but, at the same time, newer EU members are experiencing rapid wage acceleration. This paper investigates the drivers of this wage divergence. Econometric analysis using error correction models suggests that wage growth responds more quickly to changes in unemployment in the newer EU members than in advanced Europe, where wages are more closely related to inflation and inflation expectations in the short run, implying greater inertia in nominal wage rises in advanced Europe. In the years after the global crisis, this inertia contributed to the build up of a real wage overhang relative to sharply slowing labor productivity, which subsequently dragged on nominal wage rises even as unemployment began to decline. Spillovers of subdued wage growth between euro area countries also weighed on wage rises in advanced Europe.

Immigration and Wage Dynamics in Germany

Immigration and Wage Dynamics in Germany PDF Author: Sabine Klinger
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1513521144
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 34

Book Description
German wages have not increased very rapidly in the last decade despite strong employment growth and a 5 percentage point decline in the unemployment rate. Our analysis shows that a large part of the decline in unemployment was structural. Micro-founded Phillips curves fit the German data rather well and suggest that relatively low wage growth can be largely attributed to low inflation expectations and low productivity growth. There is no evidence – from either aggregate or micro-level administrative data – that large immigration flows since 2012 have had dampening effects on aggregate wage growth, as complementarity effects offset composition and competition effects.

Immigration and Wage Dynamics in Germany

Immigration and Wage Dynamics in Germany PDF Author: Sabine Klinger
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1513525646
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 34

Book Description
German wages have not increased very rapidly in the last decade despite strong employment growth and a 5 percentage point decline in the unemployment rate. Our analysis shows that a large part of the decline in unemployment was structural. Micro-founded Phillips curves fit the German data rather well and suggest that relatively low wage growth can be largely attributed to low inflation expectations and low productivity growth. There is no evidence – from either aggregate or micro-level administrative data – that large immigration flows since 2012 have had dampening effects on aggregate wage growth, as complementarity effects offset composition and competition effects.

Dutch Inflation: Developments, Drivers, and the Risk of Wage-Price Spiral

Dutch Inflation: Developments, Drivers, and the Risk of Wage-Price Spiral PDF Author: Saioa Armendariz
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN:
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 31

Book Description
Global inflation surged in 2022, driven by high gas price growth. With Russia being a key supplier of energy products, the start of the war in Ukraine has led to strong inflationary pressures in the euro area (EA), given the region’s significant exposure to the Russian gas. The price shock has been particularly strong in the Netherlands, largely due to the larger share of gas on the energy mix compared to other peers, making the country vulnerable to changing market conditions.

Wage Growth and Inflation in Europe: A Puzzle?

Wage Growth and Inflation in Europe: A Puzzle? PDF Author: Vizhdan Boranova
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1513524844
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 40

Book Description
Wages have been rising faster than productivity in many European countries for the past few years, yet signs of underlying consumer price pressures remain limited. To shed light on this puzzle, this paper examines the historical link between wage growth and inflation in Europe and factors that influence the strength of the passthrough from labor costs to prices. Historically, wage growth has led to higher inflation, but the impact has weakened since 2009. Empirical analysis suggests that the passthrough from wage growth to inflation is significantly lower in periods of subdued inflation and inflation expectations, greater competitive pressures, and robust corporate profitability. Thus the recent pickup in wage growth is likely to have a more muted impact on inflation than in the past.

Norway

Norway PDF Author: International Monetary Fund. European Dept.
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1498319157
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 73

Book Description
While many advanced economies are experiencing slower growth, Norway’s output has continued to expand strongly, helped by a robust labor market, positive terms of trade, and some competitiveness gains. Core inflation has picked up to close to 21⁄4 percent. Residential house price growth has softened significantly but prices remain overvalued, and household debt continues to rise. Commercial real estate risks are also intensifying and combine with mounting external risks to cloud the outlook. The Christian Democrats have recently joined Prime Minister Solberg’s governing coalition, which now enjoys a majority in parliament.

Kingdom of the Netherlands–the Netherlands

Kingdom of the Netherlands–the Netherlands PDF Author: International Monetary Fund. European Dept.
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN:
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 83

Book Description
Kingdom of the Netherlands–the Netherlands: Selected Issues

Time Series and Panel Data Econometrics

Time Series and Panel Data Econometrics PDF Author: M. Hashem Pesaran
Publisher: Oxford University Press, USA
ISBN: 0198759983
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 1095

Book Description
The book describes and illustrates many advances that have taken place in a number of areas in theoretical and applied econometrics over the past four decades.

Regional Economic Outlook, May 2018, Europe

Regional Economic Outlook, May 2018, Europe PDF Author: International Monetary Fund. European Dept.
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1484339908
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 106

Book Description
Europe continues to enjoy a strong growth spurt. Growth has firmed up in many European economies and the forecast is for more of the same. Real GDP increased by 2.8 percent in 2017, up from 1.8 percent in 2016. The expansion is largely driven by domestic demand, with investment increasingly contributing. Credit growth has finally picked up, which is helping Europe’s banks to rebuild profitability. While leading indicators have recently begun to ease, they remain at high levels. Accordingly, the forecast is for growth to stay strong, reaching 2.6 percent in 2018 and 2.2 percent in 2019. Amid the good times, however, fiscal adjustment and structural reforms efforts are flagging.