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Author: Guido Lorenzoni Publisher: ISBN: Category : Languages : en Pages : 146
Book Description
This thesis includes four essays on the macroeconomic effects of financial market imperfections. The first essay studies the incentives for banks that participate in an interbank market to keep a sufficient level of reserves. It presents a model where, in presence of imperfect insurance against bank-specific shocks, banks keep an inefficiently low ratio of reserves to deposits. A consequence of this is that the interest rate on the money market will fluctuate too much from a second-best perspective. It discusses the potential benefits and risks associated to central bank intervention, and highlights the complementarity between regulatory reserve requirements and stabilization of the interest rate. The second essay (joint with C. Hellwig) studies the ability of banks to issue liquid liabilities while holding only a fraction of their activities in liquid assets. We study the possibility of self-sustaining equilibria in which banks are prevented from abusing their issuing privilege by the threat of losing it in case of default. The third essay is a contribution to the empirics of precautionary savings and shows evidence of a decreasing relationship between household wealth and the variability of consumption expenditure. The evidence is consistent with the presence of a precautionary motive for wealth accumulation. The fourth essay (joint with F. Broner) shows that the time series of the spreads on emerging market bonds appears consistent with the view that international investors supplying funds to these countries are liquidity constrained at times of large price drops.
Author: Guido Lorenzoni Publisher: ISBN: Category : Languages : en Pages : 146
Book Description
This thesis includes four essays on the macroeconomic effects of financial market imperfections. The first essay studies the incentives for banks that participate in an interbank market to keep a sufficient level of reserves. It presents a model where, in presence of imperfect insurance against bank-specific shocks, banks keep an inefficiently low ratio of reserves to deposits. A consequence of this is that the interest rate on the money market will fluctuate too much from a second-best perspective. It discusses the potential benefits and risks associated to central bank intervention, and highlights the complementarity between regulatory reserve requirements and stabilization of the interest rate. The second essay (joint with C. Hellwig) studies the ability of banks to issue liquid liabilities while holding only a fraction of their activities in liquid assets. We study the possibility of self-sustaining equilibria in which banks are prevented from abusing their issuing privilege by the threat of losing it in case of default. The third essay is a contribution to the empirics of precautionary savings and shows evidence of a decreasing relationship between household wealth and the variability of consumption expenditure. The evidence is consistent with the presence of a precautionary motive for wealth accumulation. The fourth essay (joint with F. Broner) shows that the time series of the spreads on emerging market bonds appears consistent with the view that international investors supplying funds to these countries are liquidity constrained at times of large price drops.
Author: Cathy Zhang Publisher: ISBN: 9781303141652 Category : Languages : en Pages : 225
Book Description
This dissertation consists of three essays on information frictions and liquidity in macroeconomics. The first chapter introduces a form of bounded rationality called adaptive learning in a news-driven economy in order to better explain the depth and persistence of recessions. In doing so, this paper adopts expectational stability ("E-stability") as a natural criterion for rationality. In examining the model's stability properties, I find that when agents do not observe current state variables when forming expectations, the rational expectations equilibrium (REE) is not learnable for calibrated parameter values capable of generating news-driven recessions. The second chapter develops an information-based theory of international currency based on search frictions, private trading histories, and imperfect recognizability of assets. Using an open-economy search model with multiple competing currencies, the value of each currency is determined without requiring agents to use a particular currency to purchase a country's goods. Strategic complementarities in portfolio choices and information acquisition decisions generate multiple equilibria with different types of payment arrangements. While some inflation can benefit the country issuing an international currency, the threat of losing international status puts an inflation discipline on the issuing country. When monetary authorities interact in a simple policy game, the temptation to inflate can lead optimal policy to deviate from the Friedman rule. The third chapter is joint work with Sebastien Lotz and studies the choice of payment instruments in a simple model where both money and credit can be used as means of payment. We endogenize the acceptability of credit by allowing retailers to invest in a costly record-keeping technology. Our framework captures the two-sided market interaction between consumers and retailers, leading to strategic complementarities that can generate multiple steady-state equilibria. In addition, limited commitment makes debt contracts self-enforcing and yields an endogenous upper bound on credit use. Our model can explain why the demand for credit declines as inflation falls, and how hold-up problems in technological adoption can prevent retailers from accepting credit as consumers continue to coordinate on cash usage.
Author: Golam Ashique Habib Publisher: ISBN: Category : Languages : en Pages :
Book Description
This thesis collects three papers studying topics related to financial frictions and macroeconomics. In Chapter 1, I study how rating agencies affect liquidity and welfare in over-the-counter (OTC) asset markets. My main finding is that when assets are rated matters for welfare and liquidity: When sellers rate the asset prior to matching, then ratings can improve liquidity but their use is fragile. However, a better arrangement is to rate the asset after buyers and sellers meet. Although this arrangement eliminates liquidity distortions and improves welfare, it is difficult to sustain if buyers are not incentivized to follow through with rating the asset. Buyers can overcome this commitment problem by constructing a semi-pooling equilibrium. I use my framework to show that policies that support buyers purchasing ratings can substantially improve market liquidity. In Chapter 2, I propose that an important channel through which financial frictions adversely impact aggregate productivity is by hindering the discovery of productive entrepreneurs. I develop a model where households have imperfect information about the quality of their business idea and show how financial frictions arising from weak contract enforcement systematically reduce access to capital for poor households with good ideas, which undermines their incentive to learn. After calibrating the model to US data, I find that with imperfect information, total factor productivity (TFP) falls by 23% when contract enforcement is lowered to developing country levels, compared to 12% with perfect information. Half of the productivity loss in the economy with imperfect information is due to financial frictions hindering the discovery of good ideas by poor households. I find that these losses can be substantially mitigated by subsidizing young entrepreneurs. In Chapter 3, I present ongoing work with Chaoran Chen and Xiaodong Zhu examining the joint role of financial and managerial frictions in explaining factor misallocation and lower productivity in developing countries. We present a model where weak contract enforcement prevents productive firms from hiring outside managers and expanding production in developing countries, and show that its key features are consistent with cross-country evidence from the IPUMS-International dataset.
Author: John Smithin Publisher: World Scientific Publishing Company ISBN: 9814525294 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 341
Book Description
This book provides a comprehensive overview, in the form of eight long essays, of the evolution of monetary theory over the three-quarters of century, from the time of Keynes to the present day. The essays are originally based on lecture notes from a graduate course on Advanced Monetary Economics offered at York University, Toronto, written in the style of academic papers. The essays are mathematical in method — but also take a historical perspective, tracing the evolution of monetary thought through the Keynesian model, the monetarist model, new classical model, etc, up to and including the neo-Wickesellian models of the early 21st century. The book will be an essential resource for both graduate and advanced undergraduate students in economics, as well as for individual researchers seeking basic information on the theoretical background of contemporary debates.
Author: Steven M. Fazzari Publisher: Routledge ISBN: 1317470575 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 209
Book Description
This collection of papers on financial instability and its impact on macroeconomic performance honours Hyman P. Minsky and his lifelong work. It is based on a conference at Washington University, St. Louis, in 1990 and includes among the authors Benjamin M. Friedman, Charles P. Kindleberger, Jan Kregel and Steven Fazzari. These papers consider Minsky's definitive analysis that yields such a clear and disturbing sequence of financial events: booms, government intervention to prevent debt contraction and new booms that cause a progressive buildup of new debt, eventually leaving the economy much more fragile financially.
Author: H.W. Arndt Publisher: Routledge ISBN: 1351762508 Category : Social Science Languages : en Pages : 370
Book Description
This title was first published in 2001. A collection of essays written by H.W. Arndt, over a 50 year period, that cover a broad range of his work, from analytical issues in monetary and fiscal theory to political economy. The earlier essays should appeal to those interested in the history of economic thought whilst the more recent essays deal with issues such as economic globalization.
Author: Brad Pasanek Publisher: Routledge ISBN: 1317979990 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 187
Book Description
‘Liquidity’, or rather lack of it, lies at the heart of the ongoing global financial crisis. In this collection of essays, the metaphor of money as liquidity, and the model of crisis it entails, is deliberated by a range of scholars from economics, history, anthropology, literature, and sociology. This volume offers a rhetorical explanation of the social, cultural, and historical contexts in which metaphors of money are produced, circulate, and fail. These essays, first presented at "After the Crash, Beyond Liquidity," a conference on money and metaphors held at the University of Virginia, USA, in October of 2009, were drafted in the wake of global uncertainty, TARP bailouts, the Great Recession, programs of stimulus and austerity, and recurrent threats of sovereign default in the EU. They question the language of liquidity and flows that is characteristic of everyday business, exposing what metaphors of money hide and explaining why the idea of liquidity has proved so durable. This book was originally published as a special issue of the Journal of Cultural Economy.
Author: Jorge Mario Uribe Gil Publisher: Ed. Universidad de Cantabria ISBN: 8417888756 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 212
Book Description
This book adds to the resolution of two problems in finance and economics: i) what is macro-financial uncertainty? : How to measure it? How is it different from risk? How important is it for the financial markets? And ii) what sort of asymmetries underlie financial risk and uncertainty propagation across the global financial markets? That is, how risk and uncertainty change according to factors such as market states or market participants. In Chapter 2, which is entitled “Momentum Uncertainties”, the relationship between macroeconomic uncertainty and the abnormal returns of a momentum trading strategy in the stock market is studies. We show that high levels of uncertainty in the economy impact negatively and significantly the returns of a portfolio of stocks that consist of buying past winners and selling past losers. High uncertainty reduces below zero the abnormal returns of momentum, extinguishes the Sharpe ratio of the momentum strategy, while increases the probability of momentum crashes both by increasing the skewness and the kurtosis of the momentum return distribution. Uncertainty acts as an economic regime that underlies abrupt changes over time of the returns generated by momentum strategies. In Chapter 3, “Measuring Uncertainty in the Stock Market”, a new index for measuring stock market uncertainty on a daily basis is proposed. The index considers the inherent differentiation between uncertainty and the common variations between the series. The second contribution of chapter 3 is to show how this financial uncertainty index can also serve as an indicator of macroeconomic uncertainty. Finally, the dynamic relationship between uncertainty and the series of consumption, interest rates, production and stock market prices, among others, is analized. In chapter 4: “Uncertainty, Systemic Shocks and the Global Banking Sector: Has the Crisis Modified their Relationship?” we explore the stability of systemic risk and uncertainty propagation among financial institutions in the global economy, and show that it has remained stable over the last decade. Additionally, a new simple tool for measuring the resilience of financial institutions to these systemic shocks is provided. We examine the characteristics and stability of systemic risk and uncertainty, in relation to the dynamics of the banking sector stock returns. This sort of evidence is supportive of past claims, made in the field of macroeconomics, which hold that during the global financial crisis the financial system may have faced stronger versions of traditional shocks rather than a new type of shock. In chapter 5, “Currency downside risk, liquidity, and financial stability”, downside risk propagation across global currency markets and the ways in which it is related to liquidity is analyzed. Two primary contributions to the literature follow. First, tail-spillovers between currencies in the global FX market are estimated. This index is easy to build and does not require intraday data, which constitutes an important advantage. Second, we show that turnover is related to risk spillovers in global currency markets. Chapter 6 is entitled “Spillovers from the United States to Latin American and G7 Stock Markets: A VAR-Quantile Analysis”. This chapter contributes to the studies of contagion, market integration and cross-border spillovers during both regular and crisis episodes by carrying out a multivariate quantile analysis. It focuses on Latin American stock markets, which have been characterized by a highly positive dynamic in recent decades, in terms of market capitalization and liquidity ratios, after a far-reaching process of market liberalization and reforms to pension funds across the continent during the 80s and 90s. We document smaller dependences between the LA markets and the US market than those between the US and the developed economies, especially in the highest and lowest quantiles.
Author: John Hicks Publisher: Oxford University Press ISBN: 0198284071 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 220
Book Description
This collection of essays on money and growth brings together the work of Sir John Hicks. Including two previously unpublished essays, this collection is sure to make readers view Hicks work in a new light.
Author: Guido Lorenzoni
Author: Guido Lorenzoni
Author: Cathy Zhang
Author: Golam Ashique Habib
Author: John Smithin
Author: Steven M. Fazzari
Author: H.W. Arndt
Author: Miranda S. Goeltom
Author: Brad Pasanek
Author: Jorge Mario Uribe Gil 
Author: John Hicks