Essays in Open Macroeconomic Dynamics PDF Download

Author: Jingxian Hu
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 0

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Author: Franz Gehrels
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 3642956599
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 194

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The large aggregates in the economy - consumption, investment, production of the domestic and the international sectors, international capital flows, financial accumulation and indebtedness - are analysed in this book as problems in time-optimisation for enterprises and households. The effects of fiscal and monetary policies along with exchange-rate variation are examined, and their simultaneous use for stabilizing demand are found to be necessary. All household decisions on consumptions, savings, and financial disposition are conditioned by uncertainty, and similarly for firms, who make more complex simultaneous decisions on production, real investment, financing, and market strategy. The marginal efficiency-of-investment function derived from these decisions is fundamentally different from the marginal productivity of capital in the neoclassical sense. An economy which grows through the accumulation of capital, increase in labor supply, and technological progress is the framework in which all of these variables move. This codetermines the allocation of factors between domestic and international production, and the development of foreign trade. The growth both of the public debt and of international investment are treated in depth.

Author: Thierry Chauvel
Publisher:
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Languages : en
Pages : 0

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The aim of this thesis is to evaluate macroeconomic interdependence between developed economies over the recent decades and, in particular, following the 2007-09 US financial crisis. For that purpose, we use several modeling assumptions across the three main chapters of the thesis to capture the international dimension of business cycles across countries: panel VAR model to model countries interdependence directly, simple VAR model with both domestic and foreign variables, and two-country DSGE model to model the real and financial mechanisms that link countries together. Our main result is that international dimension is important to explain the macroeconomic dynamics of developed economies over the last three decades and for either real, nominal and financial variables. Nevertheless, the role of foreign factors does not grow over time as would be expected with the increase in globalization of the recent decades. Also, looking at the recent economic crises in the US and the euro area, we confirm that the 2007-09 US financial crisis features a bigger shock relative to historical standards, which propagated to euro area economies through international financial linkages. In contrast, the 2011 euro area sovereign debt crisis features a standard shock, comparable to those observed in previous European crises like the 1992-1993 ERM crisis, and affecting mostly European economies.

Author: Kihyun Park
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 147

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This dissertation studies the dynamic effects of various economic shocks in a two-sector small open economy. It is divided into three essays. Essays 1 and 2 have a theoretical focus; they involve the developing of intertemporal optimizing models of a small open economy. In these essays, we use the representative-agent framework to derive dynamic macroeconomic effects. Specifically, in the first essay we examine the effects of monetary policy targeted at an inflation rate in a small open economy. We adopt a two-sector dependent economy where money is introduced through various cash-in-advance (CIA) constraints. Results are very significant and sensitive to various CIA constraints as well as relative capital intensities. Higher inflation will generate more investment in the economy leading to a higher level of capital stock and a lower level of net foreign assets in the long-run when the nontraded sector is more capital intensive and households need cash for purchasing tradable goods. However, the long-run effects are completely opposite if households need real balances for purchasing nontradable goods instead. In the second essay we examine the effects and the associated dynamics of an increase in international oil prices and domestic inflation. We show that an increase in oil prices or higher domestic inflation lowers the level of investment, production, and consumption in the long-run. The economy experiences a current account surplus along with a fall in capital stock by holding more foreign traded bonds. Transitional dynamics significantly depend on sectoral capital intensity as well. In essay 3 we investigate the explanatory power of yield spread in predicting economic activities in developing economies. We employ both the Markov regime switching model (MS) and the probit model to estimate the probability of recessions during the Asian financial crisis. We find that three-regime MS model is better predictor of recessions than tworegime MS model. The MS results are also compared with that of the standard probit model for comparison. The MS model does not significantly improve the forecasting ability of the yield spread in forecasting business cycles.

Author: Bernard Lonergan
Publisher: University of Toronto Press
ISBN: 148758878X
Category : Philosophy
Languages : en
Pages :

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Few theologians in history have matched Bernard Lonergan's range of learning. Fewer still have written on the "dismal science" of economics. Rooted so solidly in the concerns of this world, economics is not a discipline we associate with the more rarified pursuit of theology. In this long-awaited volume, Lonergan demonstrates the short-sightedness of this view. This companion volume to For A New Political Economy (Collected Works of Bernard Lonergan, Volume 21) continues the work of bringing together the various elements of Lonergan's economic thought. His economic writings span forty years and represent one of the most important intellectual achievements of the twentieth century. They have previously been inaccessible outside of the Lonergan research community as the majority of them have not been formally published, and exist only as a group of unfinished essays and material for courses on economics taught by Lonergan. Lonergan's economic ideas track a different line of thought from that taken by contemporary economists. Macroeconomic Dynamics: An Essay in Circulation Analysis represents the economic thought of Lonergan at the end of his career. His analysis, while taking a fresh look at fundamental variables, breaks from centralist theory and practice towards a radically democratic perspective on surplus income and non-political control, and explores more fully the ideas introduced in For a New Political Economy. This work will be read not only by economists but also by liberation theologians, political theologians, and others inside and outside of religious organizations interested in social justice issues and alternative approaches to economics.

Author: Jesús Fernández-Villaverde Sánchez
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 418

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Author: Ramon Antonio Gonzalez Hernandez
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :

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Research macroeconomists have witnessed remarkable methodological developments in mathematical, statistical, and computational tools during the last two decades. The three essays in this dissertation took advantage of these advances to analyze important macroeconomic issues. The first essay, " Habit Formation, Adjustments Costs, and International Business Cycle Puzzles" analyzes the extent to which incorporating habit formation and adjustment costs in investment in a one-good two-country general equilibrium model would help overcome some of the international business cycle puzzles. Unlike standard results in the literature, the model generates persistent, cyclical adjustment paths in response to shocks. It also yields positive cross-country correlations in consumption, employment, investment, and output. Cross-country correlations in output are higher than the ones in consumption. This is qualitatively consistent with the stylized facts. These results are particularly striking given the predicted negative correlations in investment, employment, and output that are typically found in the literature. The second essay, "Comparison Utility, Endogenous Time Preference, and Economic Growth," uses World War II as a natural experiment to analyze the degree to which a model where consumers' preferences exhibit comparison-based utility and endogenous discounting is able to improve upon existing models in mimicking the transitional dynamics of an economy after a shock that destroys part of its capital stock. The model outperforms existing ones in replicating the behavior of the saving rate (both on impact and along the transient paths) after this historical event. This result brings additional support to the endogenous rate of time preference being a crucial element in growth models. The last essay, "Monetary Policy under Fear of Floating: Modeling the Dominican Economy," presents a small scale macroeconomic model for a country (Dominican Republic) characterized by a strong pr

Author: Gianluca Damiano Carmelo Benigno
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 442

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Author: Pedro Pablo Álvarez Lois
Publisher:
ISBN: 9788469977866
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 142

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Author: Apostolis Philippopoulos
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 38

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